Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 15?
5 smart money signals detected, totaling $21,244.
Categories: Crypto Prices, Recurring, Bitcoin, Up or Down, Today 🚀, Daily, Daily-Close, Crypto
Notable Trades
Profitable serial BTC trader
Serial cross-market trader with a long profitable history is buying Down amid a major pre-event volume spike and strong market move.
- This bettor has a large track record: 1,505 resolved bets, 60% wins, and $388K lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 51 events with $625K in flagged activity.
- Volume is 304x normal and the market has moved sharply toward Down, supporting the same direction.
$2,163 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable serial cross-market trader
A highly experienced cross-market trader with strong lifetime profits bought Down amid a major pre-event volume surge and sharp price move.
- This bettor is up $391K lifetime across 1,861 resolved markets, with $35M in total traded volume.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 138 events and 245 markets.
- Down has already moved hard, and this buy follows a 304x volume spike before resolution.
$2,593 on Down | Wallet win rate: 59%
Profitable serial crypto bettor
Profitable high-volume crypto bettor with a long cross-market track record is buying the 84¢ Down side, though the trade size is modest for this liquid market.
- This bettor has 1,505 resolved trades, wins 60% of them, and is up $388k lifetime.
- They have traded across 50 events and 77 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy.
- Entry at 84¢ implies a high-conviction favorite bet on Bitcoin finishing lower.
$2,132 on Down | Wallet win rate: 60%
Profitable crypto bettor
Moderate volume-spike alert backed by a profitable high-volume crypto bettor buying Down after a large momentum move.
- This active bettor is up $323k lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved markets.
- They bought $8.1k of Down at 81¢ after heavy market momentum pushed Down to 82%.
- Market volume is far above its usual baseline, suggesting fresh money is concentrating on this direction.
$8,061 on Down | Wallet win rate: 55%
Profitable BTC regular
A highly profitable high-volume crypto bettor bought $6.3k of Down at 80% during a major breakout, despite only a moderate standalone price-impact signal.
- This bettor is up $323k lifetime across more than 1,400 resolved trades.
- They bought $6.3k of Down after a sharp 25-point breakout in the market.
- This looks like fresh conviction after previously closing a smaller Down position.
$6,295 on Down | Wallet win rate: 55%
Top Holders
- 0xfae4...299f — Outcome 69588391, $20,000
- 0xfdd3...4214 — Outcome 69588391, $10,000
- 0x0de7...8a34 — Outcome 69588391, $3,700
- 0x0e3c...6e60 — Outcome 69588391, $2,857 (73% win rate)
- 0x21f3...b993 — Outcome 69588391, $2,002
- 0x21f7...e19f — Outcome 69588391, $2,000 (46% win rate)
- 0x14f7...232c — Outcome 69588391, $1,176
- 0xd169...dd3d — Outcome 69588391, $1,000
- 0x7738...76a4 — Outcome 69588391, $1,000
- 0x2f09...f2c0 — Outcome 69588391, $1,000
Related Theses
Bitcoin rallies but stays below $90K
Covers 6 related markets
Bitcoin tops $80,000 by May 10
Covers 1 related market
