Part of: CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,873.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Three-wallet No conviction cluster

Three wallets deployed $18,079 on No during a 133x volume spike, including a highly profitable long-term bettor, despite the position currently trading well below entry.

  • Three wallets bought No for $18,079 during a volume spike 133 times the historical average.
  • One participant has won 70% of 87,877 resolved bets and earned $7.2 million lifetime.
  • The position moved from 63–67¢ to about 40¢, making this a notable but currently underwater contrarian thesis.

$18,079 on No

89% win-rate bettor buying Osasuna

A highly profitable bettor with an 89% win rate bought Osasuna Yes at 33¢ amid coordinated buying and a major volume spike, with the price already rising to 60¢.

  • This bettor has won 89% of 621 resolved positions and is up $2.74 million.
  • The wallet bought Yes at 33¢, while the market has since climbed to 60%, indicating strong early positioning.
  • Three wallets bought Yes together as volume reached 133 times its historical average.

$1,465 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 88%

Profitable serial bettor adds to Yes

A consistently profitable serial cross-market bettor is adding $1,991 to an existing Yes position at 34%, although the market is liquid and the trade is not fresh.

  • This bettor has won 72% of 232 resolved trades and is up $107,082 lifetime.
  • The wallet is scaling an existing Yes position, bringing its investment in Osasuna to roughly $7,850 at a 34¢ entry.
  • The 34¢ price has fallen 12% over the week, so this is a notable value-oriented addition rather than momentum chasing.

$1,991 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 72%

Profitable new wallet scaling into No

A highly active two-day-old wallet with a 100% resolved-bet win rate and $74,208 profit added a concentrated $34,335 No position, though its track record is still limited.

  • This two-day-old wallet has placed 27 flagged bets and is up $74,208 overall.
  • It added $34,335 to No at 63¢, with the position already marked up to 66%.
  • The wallet is scaling into an existing No position in a relatively quiet market, signaling increased conviction.

$34,335 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

94% win-rate bettor buys Osasuna Yes

A highly profitable bettor with a 94% win rate and substantial edge is making a fresh $2,003 purchase of Osasuna Yes at 38¢.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 3,078 resolved positions and earned $1.53 million in profit.
  • The $2,003 wager is a fresh purchase at 38¢, implying the bettor sees meaningful value in Osasuna winning.
  • The wallet has traded across 684 markets and 644 events, providing unusually strong evidence beyond a single bet.

$2,003 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 42978840, $39,590 (58% win rate)
  2. 0x11c3...c90d Outcome 42978840, $22,000 (100% win rate)
  3. 0x208c...6b98 Outcome 42978840, $5,857 (72% win rate)
  4. 0xe8c4...395d Outcome 42978840, $5,270 (94% win rate)
  5. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 69263038, $4,918
  6. 0x20b8...aa04 Outcome 42978840, $4,163 (56% win rate)
  7. 0xcc2a...9563 Outcome 42978840, $2,705
  8. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 42978840, $1,810 (74% win rate)
  9. 0xc291...5d74 Outcome 42978840, $1,780 (66% win rate)
  10. 0x99f0...9495 Outcome 42978840, $1,756 (49% win rate)

Related Theses

Thunder win, avoid 220 total

Covers 3 related markets

Thunder will beat Spurs

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Covers 1 related market

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

ResolvedCA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid$57,873 tracked5 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 19, 2026 If CA Osasuna wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.

Price History — “No
67¢
59¢
51¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

1d ago

$18,079 on No at 64¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

1d ago

$1,465 on Yes at 33¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

1d ago

$1,991 on Yes at 34¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

1d ago

$34,335 on No at 63¢

Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-19?

1d ago

$2,003 on Yes at 38¢

Related Theses