Madrid Open, Qualification: Donna Vekic vs Leolia Jeanjean
This Polymarket tracks the Madrid Open qualifying match between Donna Vekic and Leolia Jeanjean, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:30 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution due by April 27, 2026 if a winner is confirmed. Traders watching this market are following tennis prediction market odds for Vekic vs Jeanjean, including recent smart money interest on the underdog side.
This market refers to the tennis match between Donna Vekic and Leolia Jeanjean in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 20, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Donna Vekic' if Donna Vekic advances against Leolia Jeanjean. This market will resolve to 'Leolia Jeanjean' if Leolia Jeanjean advances against Donna Vekic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
6 smart money signals detected, totaling $15,774.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Serial trader caught breakout
A high-volume serial sports trader bought Leolia Jeanjean during a sharp breakout, and the market immediately moved from 76¢ to effectively 100¢.
- This wallet has bet 78 related events and wins 67% of resolved markets across 295 bets
- They bought Leolia Jeanjean at 76¢ during a fast price surge, and the market is now effectively 100¢
- The move broke far above the market's prior range after more than $213k of 24h volume, suggesting strong momentum
$1,058 on Leolia Jeanjean | Wallet win rate: 67%
New whale hitting underdog
A brand-new wallet is repeatedly making sizable bets and just put $2.9k into Leolia Jeanjean during a sharp pre-match volume spike, suggesting fresh conviction worth tracking despite limited history.
- A wallet just 30 minutes old has already triggered 3 large-bet alerts with about $7.3k total flagged
- They bought Leolia Jeanjean at 48¢ during a 33.7x volume spike, a sign of sudden conviction before the match
- This is a meaningful bet size for one click, even though the wallet's track record is still very limited
$2,856 on Leolia Jeanjean | Wallet win rate: 50%
New wallet chasing Jeanjean
A brand-new wallet repeatedly put meaningful size into Leolia Jeanjean during a sharp pre-match volume and price surge, suggesting fresh conviction rather than routine flow.
- This wallet is only 23 minutes old and has already made repeated large bets totaling about $7.3k
- The market saw a 70x volume spike, and Leolia Jeanjean jumped 28 points while this wallet traded
- The fresh buy was at 48¢, near current 50¢ pricing, showing conviction on Jeanjean despite the rapid move
$4,404 on Leolia Jeanjean | Wallet win rate: 50%
New wallet betting into spike
A brand-new wallet is making repeated sizable bets into a tennis market experiencing an extreme pre-match volume surge, and this sell of Leolia effectively backs Donna Vekic well below current odds.
- A wallet created 19 minutes ago has already made repeated large bets, with $4.4k flagged so far
- This trade sold Leolia at 20¢, which is equivalent to buying Donna around 80¢, and the market has since moved sharply
- The market saw a 315x volume spike before the match, suggesting fast money piling in on a clear view
$1,549 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 50%
New wallet underdog stab
A brand-new wallet put $4.4k into the underdog in a tennis market during a major volume spike, showing unusual early conviction despite the position immediately moving against them.
- A 10-minute-old wallet put $4.4k into this match across 2 trades, which is unusual for a first appearance
- Market volume is running 90x above normal, so this bet landed during a broader surge of interest
- The trader bought Leolia Jeanjean at 37¢, implying they saw much better than the current 18% odds
$4,433 on Leolia Jeanjean | Wallet win rate: 50%
Sharp dip-buyer in tennis
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a large positive track record bought Donna Vekic after a sharp 30-point price drop, and the market has already rebounded above their entry.
- This bettor has 370 resolved bets, wins 62% of them, and is up $122k overall
- They bought Donna Vekic at 45¢ right after a fast 30-point drop, and the price is already back to 52¢
- Entry came in a liquid match market with a tight 1¢ spread, suggesting they were buying a sudden mispricing rather than chasing illiquid noise
$1,475 on Donna Vekic | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x0997...c9f6 — Leolia Jeanjean, $26,152
- 0x871f...5ac9 — Donna Vekic, $18,756 (45% win rate)
- 0x3ef4...4f5e — Leolia Jeanjean, $13,060
- 0xee61...debf — Leolia Jeanjean, $9,318 (50% win rate)
- 0xb08f...4ea1 — Donna Vekic, $7,840 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Leolia Jeanjean, $5,507 (73% win rate)
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Leolia Jeanjean, $4,945 (52% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Leolia Jeanjean, $4,835
- 0x507e...beae — Leolia Jeanjean, $4,618 (50% win rate)
- 0x664a...fc5f — Donna Vekic, $4,341
