Part of: Mexico vs. Ecuador
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-30?
21 smart money signals detected, totaling $231,686.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with a 78% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Ecuador Yes at 3%, despite the market now pricing it near 1%.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved positions and is up $62k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $904k deployed across 76 events.
- Entry at 3¢ is a long-shot position, though the market has since moved down to 1¢.
$2,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
89% serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $5.1k of No as market volume spiked, though the edge is tempered by modest lifetime profit and a liquid book.
- This bettor has won 89% of 64 resolved bets across many sports markets.
- They bought $5.1k of No at 78¢, backing Ecuador not to win in regulation.
- Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.6x above its historical average.
$5,048 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Sharp serial sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with an 86% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Ecuador Yes at 24¢.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $89K lifetime.
- They have traded 72 events with the same strong 86% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
- Entry at 24¢ implies they see Ecuador as a ~4x payout opportunity.
$3,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 86%
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought Ecuador No at 78¢.
- This bettor has won 79 of 79 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events with a perfect resolved record.
- Buying No at 78¢ suggests confidence Ecuador does not win in regulation.
$1,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
87% winner buying underdog
Sharp sports bettor with an 87% record and strong edge is buying Ecuador Yes despite a highly liquid market.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $4,041 lifetime.
- Their past wins came at 34¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record finding mispriced underdogs.
- Entry at 23¢ implies they see Ecuador as a roughly 4.3x opportunity.
$1,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought Ecuador No at 78¢.
- This bettor has won 79 of 79 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events with a perfect resolved record.
- Buying No at 78¢ suggests confidence Ecuador does not win in regulation.
$1,950 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
89% serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $5.1k of No as market volume spiked, though the edge is tempered by modest lifetime profit and a liquid book.
- This bettor has won 89% of 64 resolved bets across many sports markets.
- They bought $5.1k of No at 78¢, backing Ecuador not to win in regulation.
- Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.6x above its historical average.
$5,012 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
89% serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market trader with an 89% resolved win rate bought $5.1k of No as market volume spiked, though the edge is tempered by modest lifetime profit and a liquid book.
- This bettor has won 89% of 64 resolved bets across many sports markets.
- They bought $5.1k of No at 78¢, backing Ecuador not to win in regulation.
- Market activity is heating up, with volume running 11.6x above its historical average.
$5,077 on No | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable whale leads $167K cluster
Strong copy-trade signal: a highly profitable 91% win-rate whale put $160K on Ecuador Yes, joined by a 4-wallet one-sided cluster and another sharp bettor.
- A bettor who wins 91% of resolved positions and is up $2.7M put $160K on Yes.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $167K total at 23–24¢.
- Another wallet in the group wins 86% of bets and is up $106K lifetime.
$166,670 on Yes
Perfect-record sports bettor
Sharp serial sports bettor with a 79-0 resolved record and positive P&L bought Ecuador No at 78¢.
- This bettor has won 79 of 79 resolved trades and is up $13,774 lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 57 events with a perfect resolved record.
- Buying No at 78¢ suggests confidence Ecuador does not win in regulation.
$3,900 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 14753181, $2,699,973
- 0xf031...c80c — Outcome 95900004, $1,859,123 (91% win rate)
- 0x20b8...aa04 — Outcome 95900004, $103,250 (100% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 95900004, $100,000 (47% win rate)
- 0x94d7...bef5 — Outcome 95900004, $81,200 (88% win rate)
- 0xaa07...2125 — Outcome 95900004, $80,774 (52% win rate)
- 0x85bb...9ada — Outcome 95900004, $60,737 (81% win rate)
- 0x2b3d...8db7 — Outcome 95900004, $55,220
- 0x10a6...4d8b — Outcome 95900004, $41,753 (73% win rate)
- 0x72b8...9915 — Outcome 95900004, $30,022 (100% win rate)
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