Part of: Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Édgar Cháirez at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Édgar Cháirez" if Édgar Cháirez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $184,994.

Categories: Sports, UFC, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp bettor joins a $72K Cháirez push

A large four-wallet push toward Édgar Cháirez includes one exceptionally profitable bettor, though most of the capital comes from historically losing wallets already holding the position.

  • A bettor with a 95% win rate across 343 resolved positions bought Édgar Cháirez at 49¢.
  • Four wallets committed $72,527 to Cháirez, while the market saw a 232.9× volume spike.
  • The signal is mixed because three wallets already held Cháirez and two have substantial lifetime losses.

$72,527 on Édgar Cháirez

Sharp bettor leads Elliott cluster

A $64.8K one-sided cluster backed by a highly profitable 90% bettor is buying Tim Elliott at 35¢ amid an extreme volume spike and rising price.

  • A bettor with 90% wins across 2,047 resolved positions is buying Tim Elliott at 35¢.
  • Three wallets deployed $64,772 on Elliott, while the price has risen from 35¢ to 38¢.
  • The market saw a 42,272x historical volume spike, suggesting unusually strong conviction ahead of the fight.

$64,772 on Tim Elliott

90% win-rate bettor backs Elliott

A highly profitable bettor with a 90% win rate and substantial historical edge placed a concentrated $9,528 bet on Tim Elliott at 35%.

  • This bettor wins 90% of 2,047 resolved positions and is up $3.66 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated $9,528 into Tim Elliott at 35%, while the market has moved to 38%.
  • The trade came during a major volume spike, reinforcing the signal beyond the bettor’s proven track record.

$9,528 on Tim Elliott | Wallet win rate: 91%

Experienced bettor backs Elliott

A highly experienced profitable sports trader concentrated $37,056 on Tim Elliott at 35¢, triggering an extreme pre-event volume spike and moving the price upward.

  • This bettor has won 66% of 8,429 resolved trades and is up $8.2 million lifetime.
  • They concentrated $37,056 into Tim Elliott at 35¢, with the position already moving the market to 38%.
  • The market saw an extreme 34,675× volume spike versus its historical average, suggesting unusually strong fresh conviction.

$37,056 on Tim Elliott | Wallet win rate: 67%

Sharp bettor adds to Cháirez

A highly profitable 87% win-rate bettor is adding to an existing Édgar Cháirez position at 66% in a relatively quiet fight market.

  • This bettor has won 87% of 39 resolved trades and is up $19,736.
  • The $1,111 purchase adds to an existing $1,683 Cháirez position, signaling increased conviction rather than routine entry.
  • Édgar Cháirez is priced at 66%, while the trade's large size was several times the detected 24-hour market volume.

$1,111 on Édgar Cháirez | Wallet win rate: 87%

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Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

Tim Elliott
100¢
Édgar Cháirez
0¢

This market will resolve to "Tim Elliott" if Tim Elliott is officially declared the winner of the fight against Édgar Cháirez at Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado, scheduled for September 12, 2026. It will resolve to "Édgar Cháirez" if Édgar Cháirez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond September 26, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Notable Trades

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

2026-09-12 20:58 UTC

$72,527 on Édgar Cháirez at 63¢

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

2026-09-12 20:29 UTC

$64,772 on Tim Elliott at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

$9,528 on Tim Elliott at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

2026-09-12 20:11 UTC

$37,056 on Tim Elliott at 35¢

35¢→100¢↑65¢

Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)

2026-09-11 20:36 UTC

$1,111 on Édgar Cháirez at 66¢

Related Theses