Part of: UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)

O/U 2.5 Rounds

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,584.

Notable Trades

Sharp UFC round bettor

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 82% resolved win rate and $232k lifetime profit bought Under 2.5 rounds at 39¢.

This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades and is up $232k lifetime.
They have traded across 79 events and over $1.0M in volume, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
Buying Under at 39¢ goes against the current 60% Over price, implying a focused contrarian read on the fight length.

$1,327 on Under | Wallet win rate: 84%

96% winner buying Over

Elite profitable UFC/sports bettor with a 96% resolved win rate and $1.22M lifetime profit is buying Over 2.5 rounds at 60¢.

This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.22M lifetime.
They have traded 131 events across 149 markets with the same 96% hit rate.
Entry at 60¢ implies they see value despite the market already leaning Over.

$2,257 on Over | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

0x86e9...4cdf — Outcome 19580840, $12,144 (93% win rate)
0xd81e...e3d0 — Outcome 19580840, $3,807 (96% win rate)
0x1518...2652 — Outcome 19580840, $3,500 (85% win rate)
0xe94b...5abe — Outcome 19580840, $1,300 (73% win rate)
0x224f...514a — Outcome 19580840, $993 (85% win rate)
0x605b...b479 — Outcome 19580840, $559
0x9cf8...7f09 — Outcome 19580840, $500
0xe5d7...6530 — Outcome 19580840, $410
0x9a3b...b968 — Outcome 19580840, $295
0x52f2...5a5d — Outcome 19580840, $151

Related Theses

Spurs cover, game stays under

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 1 related market

Covers 2 related markets

Covers 1 related market

O/U 2.5 Rounds

ResolvedUFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)$3,584 tracked2 signalsSportsUFCGames

Each market will resolve to “Over” if the fight between Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to “Under” if the fight between Ciryl Gane and Alex Pereira at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje, scheduled for June 14, 2026, does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: “Over 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. “Under 2.5 Rounds” will resolve “Yes” if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold (e.g., 2:30 of Round 3 for a 2.5 line), it will resolve “50-50.” If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond June 28, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve “50-50.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.