Part of: Brazil vs. Japan - More Markets

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $51,039.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster buying Under

High-score one-sided Under flow led by a proven 84% winner, with multiple wallets positioning against the market despite heavy Over momentum.

  • A bettor who wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $202,800 joined the Under side.
  • Five wallets put $19,161 on Under, mostly by selling Over around 77–79¢.
  • This goes against a liquid market where Over has climbed to 78%, suggesting a contrarian totals view.

$19,161 on Under

New whale plus 17-wallet flow

High-conviction Over buy from a 7-day-old repeat whale, backed by 17-wallet one-sided flow and a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This 7-day-old bettor has already placed $267k in flagged large bets and is up $43k on resolved positions.
  • 17 wallets bought Over in the same window, totaling $196k of one-sided flow.
  • The wallet averaged about 60¢ on Over, while the market is now around 64¢ before kickoff.

$7,830 on Over | Wallet win rate: 83%

84% sports winner buying Over

Sharp profitable bettor with an 84% record and $202k lifetime profit bought Over at 71¢, making this a copy-worthy sports trade despite the market being liquid.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $202k lifetime.
  • They have 152 resolved positions, so this is a proven track record rather than a one-off hit.
  • Entry at 71¢ means they are backing Over despite the price drifting down 3% today.

$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial trader up $2.7M

Profitable high-volume wallet with a long cross-market track record bought Under at 28¢ during a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a long record across 2,219 resolved markets and is up $2.7M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 162 events and $4.9M in similar tracked bets.
  • Market volume is spiking 52x above its historical average, adding support to the move.

$1,323 on Under | Wallet win rate: 64%

Serial sports bettor on Over

Serial cross-market sports trader with a 79% resolved win rate bought Over during a 43x pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This bettor has traded across 32 events and won 79% of 34 resolved bets.
  • The market is seeing a 43x pre-event volume spike, suggesting fresh attention before kickoff.
  • Entry at 74¢ implies they are backing a fairly strong Over position despite already-high odds.

$5,700 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

Proven sports bettor on Over

Sharp-wallet override: this sports bettor has a 78% record over 32 resolved bets with positive lifetime P&L and is buying Over at 73¢.

  • This bettor has won 78% of 32 resolved bets and is up $1,529 lifetime.
  • Their past wins beat market odds by 16 percentage points on average, suggesting a real edge.
  • Entry at 73¢ shows confidence in at least 2 total goals.

$1,467 on Over | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Surfaced because a highly profitable sharp sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.8M lifetime profit is buying Over despite only a modest trade size.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded 420 markets across 243 events, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 71¢ shows confidence in at least 2 total goals.

$1,745 on Over | Wallet win rate: 76%

Sharp 5-wallet Over surge

Five wallets bought Over in a coordinated move, including a profitable 80% winner, and the market has already repriced sharply from their 62–71¢ entries to 86¢.

  • One bettor in the cluster wins 80% of resolved bets and is up $25.9K lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side for $11.8K as volume spiked 14.4x above normal.
  • They entered at 62–71¢ before the price jumped to 86¢, so the edge may already be partly priced in.

$11,813 on Over

Top Holders

  1. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 99072328, $14,654 (54% win rate)
  2. 0xc3c3...eec8 Outcome 99072328, $10,000 (99% win rate)
  3. 0xc365...2e53 Outcome 99072328, $8,426 (62% win rate)
  4. 0x224a...a3d5 Outcome 99072328, $8,284 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 99072328, $7,853 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x2c33...0563 Outcome 99072328, $7,166 (51% win rate)
  7. 0xc522...7f28 Outcome 99072328, $7,037 (82% win rate)
  8. 0x7236...ea53 Outcome 99072328, $5,018 (88% win rate)
  9. 0x735c...55ed Outcome 99072328, $4,617
  10. 0xd202...1ef5 Outcome 99072328, $4,506 (59% win rate)

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout

Covers 14 related markets

Paraguay fails to win

Covers 3 related markets

Austria routs Argentina after halftime

Covers 9 related markets

Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless

Covers 10 related markets

Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet

Covers 8 related markets

Ecuador wins big to nil

Covers 7 related markets

Tunisia beats Japan 3-0

Covers 9 related markets

Iraq upsets toothless France

Covers 15 related markets

France wins exactly 2-0

Covers 10 related markets

Norway and Senegal draw

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

ResolvedBrazil vs. Japan - More Markets$51,039 tracked8 signalsSportsFIFA World CupGamesSoccer

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Brazil and Japan combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Japan
JPN
1
World Cup
Full Time
Brazil
BRA
2
BRA 11/2JPN 20/1
Venue
NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas
Attendance
68,777
Price History — “Over
102¢
86¢
69¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$19,161 on Under at 22¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$7,830 on Over at 60¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$2,000 on Over at 71¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$1,323 on Under at 28¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$5,700 on Over at 74¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$1,467 on Over at 73¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

3d ago

$1,745 on Over at 71¢

Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5

2d ago

$11,813 on Over at 65¢

Related Theses

Brazil wins low-scoring shutout
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 14 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-3.5)Brazil vs. Haiti: O/U 3.5Spread: Brazil (-2.5)
Paraguay fails to win
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-1…Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19…Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end …
Austria routs Argentina after halftime
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Argentina vs. Austria: Both Te…Argentina vs. Austria: Austria…
Netherlands Sweden ends scoreless
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 6.…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both T…Netherlands vs. Sweden: Sweden…
Côte d'Ivoire keeps Germany quiet
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 8 related markets
Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Bot…Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U…
Ecuador wins big to nil
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 7 related markets
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5)Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O…Ecuador vs. Curaçao: 1st Half …
Tunisia beats Japan 3-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 9 related markets
Spread: Japan (-2.5)Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5Spread: Japan (-1.5)
Iraq upsets toothless France
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 15 related markets
Spread: France (-4.5)France vs. Iraq: France O/U 2.…Spread: France (-1.5)
France wins exactly 2-0
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 10 related markets
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5France vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5Spread: France (-2.5)
Norway and Senegal draw
Wallet_0x2a696 trades 3 related markets
Will Norway vs. Senegal end in…Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22…Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?