Part of: United States vs. Paraguay - More Markets

Spread: United States (-1.5)

18 smart money signals detected, totaling $139,723.

Categories: Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Coordinated USA spread buyers

Coordinated one-sided buying by four wallets drove a major move on a high-volume World Cup spread market, including participation from a lifetime-profitable whale.

  • Four wallets bought $10.5K of the same side, pushing United States from 46¢ to 78¢ during the run.
  • One buyer has $1.35M lifetime profit across 77K resolved bets, adding credibility to the move.
  • The market saw a 21x volume spike and related betting across 3 markets in the same event.

$10,484 on United States

Sharp three-wallet cluster

A three-wallet cluster is buying Paraguay, including a proven 89% bettor and a profitable serial cross-market trader, despite mixed price action after some earlier higher entries.

  • One bettor in the cluster wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $10.3k lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $22.9k on the same side, with related event bets totaling $82.4k across 10 markets.
  • A serial cross-market trader with 62% wins across 142 events is also involved.

$22,895 on Paraguay

89% winner on spread

Sharp sports wallet with an 89% resolved win rate bought Paraguay on the spread amid a major pre-game volume spike and strong favorable price move.

  • This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $10.3K lifetime.
  • They bought Paraguay at 61¢, and the market has already moved to 78¢ in their favor.
  • Pre-game volume spiked 60x above normal, suggesting broader momentum behind the move.

$1,995 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable whale flips sides

Profitable serial sports trader flipped out of Paraguay and put $54.7k of effective United States exposure into a pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 62% of 117 resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
  • They shifted $54.7k toward United States, including selling out of Paraguay and buying U.S. at 23¢.
  • This market saw a 280x pre-event volume spike, suggesting a sharp move just before kickoff.

$54,704 on United States | Wallet win rate: 47%

88% sports winner

Sharp sports bettor with an 88% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Paraguay at 78¢ despite only a modest alert score.

  • This bettor has won 88% of 43 resolved bets and is up $57,782 lifetime.
  • They bought $4,680 of Paraguay at 78¢, backing the U.S. not to win by 2+ goals.
  • Their past wins came at much lower average odds, suggesting a real edge rather than just chasing heavy favorites.

$4,680 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 89%

90% sports sharp buying

Sharp sports bettor with a 90% record and six-figure profit bought United States -1.5 amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $103K lifetime.
  • They are a serial sports trader across 42 events with the same 90% hit rate.
  • Market volume is running 43x above normal before kickoff, adding momentum to the bet.

$5,000 on United States | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% sharp sports bettor

A highly profitable sports bettor with an 88% win rate and $3.1M lifetime profit bought $9k of Paraguay in a World Cup spread market amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $3.15M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 873 events with the same 88% hit rate, suggesting a durable sports edge.
  • A $9.1k buy on Paraguay came as market volume spiked 54x above normal.

$1,220 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 88%

5-wallet funded sports cluster

A profitable high-volume wallet in a 5-wallet funded cluster is buying Paraguay on the spread, with coordinated cross-market positioning totaling about $40.5k on the same event.

  • Five wallets funded by the same address have put $31.5k into this market.
  • The same betting group has $40.5k positioned across 4 markets in this match.
  • This wallet is up $1.3M lifetime across a very large sports betting history.

$1,188 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 54%

5-wallet funded sports cluster

A profitable high-volume wallet in a 5-wallet funded cluster is buying Paraguay on the spread, with coordinated cross-market positioning totaling about $40.5k on the same event.

  • Five wallets funded by the same address have put $31.5k into this market.
  • The same betting group has $40.5k positioned across 4 markets in this match.
  • This wallet is up $1.3M lifetime across a very large sports betting history.

$1,097 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 54%

5-wallet funded sports cluster

A profitable high-volume wallet in a 5-wallet funded cluster is buying Paraguay on the spread, with coordinated cross-market positioning totaling about $40.5k on the same event.

  • Five wallets funded by the same address have put $31.5k into this market.
  • The same betting group has $40.5k positioned across 4 markets in this match.
  • This wallet is up $1.3M lifetime across a very large sports betting history.

$1,189 on Paraguay | Wallet win rate: 54%

Top Holders

  1. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 32451028, $102,246 (90% win rate)
  2. 0xa8e0...ad50 Outcome 32451028, $37,575 (60% win rate)
  3. 0x1341...0853 Outcome 32451028, $28,475 (85% win rate)
  4. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 32451028, $22,333 (88% win rate)
  5. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 32451028, $21,149 (63% win rate)
  6. 0x82ba...0a52 Outcome 32451028, $6,000 (89% win rate)
  7. 0xa85b...eb0e Outcome 32451028, $5,095 (85% win rate)
  8. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 32451028, $3,009 (60% win rate)
  9. 0xcc48...c120 Outcome 32451028, $2,200 (97% win rate)
  10. 0xe504...600e Outcome 32451028, $2,082 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 5 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 4 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Timberwolves upset Spurs high-scoring game

Covers 3 related markets

Spread: United States (-1.5)

ResolvedUnited States vs. Paraguay - More Markets$139,723 tracked18 signalsSoccerFIFA World CupSportsGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 12 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "United States" if United States win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Paraguay". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$10,484 on United States at 73¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$22,895 on Paraguay at 60¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$1,995 on Paraguay at 61¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$54,704 on United States at 23¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$4,680 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$5,000 on United States at 23¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$1,220 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$1,188 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$1,097 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$1,189 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

35d ago

$9,064 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$9,563 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$2,400 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$4,258 on Paraguay at 78¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$1,002 on United States at 23¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$4,736 on Paraguay at 77¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$1,200 on United States at 24¢

Spread: United States (-1.5)

36d ago

$3,048 on Paraguay at 76¢

Related Theses