Part of: Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay - More Markets
Spread: Uruguay (-1.5)
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $480,516.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
87% winner buying dip
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 87% win rate is buying Uruguay -1.5 despite recent market weakness.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $669K lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 198 events with a strong long-term record.
- Entry at 24¢ comes after Uruguay fell 16 points today, suggesting they see value on the dip.
$1,333 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp joins Uruguay buy wave
Sharp profitable wallet joined a large one-sided Uruguay buy wave with a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is profitable across 20 tracked bets.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling about $98K on Uruguay -1.5.
- Market volume spiked more than 600x before the match, suggesting strong coordinated demand.
$1,398 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 75%
Three-wallet Saudi cover push
Three wallets pushed into Saudi Arabia on a liquid World Cup spread market, with the main buyer already up on entries around 67–71¢ and price moving sharply in the same direction.
- Three wallets bought the same side for $14.8k as Saudi Arabia moved from about 67¢ to 76¢.
- The main buyer has massive betting history and is up $478k lifetime on Polymarket.
- One smaller wallet showing the same view wins 75% of resolved bets, though its profit history is still limited.
$14,776 on Saudi Arabia
78% winner cross-market sharp
Sharp wallet override: a bettor with a 78% win rate and +$58k lifetime P&L bought Uruguay despite the market moving down afterward.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $58k lifetime.
- They have a long cross-market track record: 32 events, 37 markets, and $92k traded.
- They bought Uruguay at 36¢, while the market is now around 28¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp’s price.
$1,472 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 78%
Profitable new wallet cluster
High-score alert from a 4-day-old profitable wallet buying Uruguay alongside one-sided clustered flow and a huge pre-event volume spike.
- This new wallet is 8-for-8 on resolved bets and already up $1,172 in its first 4 days.
- Four wallets bought the same Uruguay side for nearly $14K total, showing aligned conviction.
- Market activity spiked over 500x versus its historical average ahead of the match.
$1,952 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 100%
Sharp joins Uruguay buy wave
Sharp profitable wallet joined a large one-sided Uruguay buy wave with a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved trades and is profitable across 20 tracked bets.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling about $98K on Uruguay -1.5.
- Market volume spiked more than 600x before the match, suggesting strong coordinated demand.
$2,308 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 75%
95% winner backs Uruguay
Elite 95% lifetime winner made a $59.9k Uruguay spread buy alongside linked and one-sided cluster flow into the same outcome.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $1.18M lifetime.
- They bought $59.9k of Uruguay at 39¢, implying a strong view on a roughly 2.6x payout.
- Cluster flow supports the move: 6 wallets bought the same side, and 13 linked wallets share a funder.
$59,941 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 95%
Six-wallet same-side push
High composite alert driven by coordinated same-side buying, a 400x pre-event volume spike, and a very new wallet repeatedly placing sizeable bets.
- Six wallets bought the same side, totaling about $102K in one direction.
- This market saw a 400x pre-event volume spike, suggesting a sudden wave of positioning.
- The wallet is only 6 hours old but has already triggered 8 large-bet alerts worth $21.5K.
$1,445 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 67%
6-wallet Uruguay push
High composite alert driven by six-wallet one-sided Uruguay buying, a 400x pre-event volume spike, and a bettor with an 82% resolved-bet hit rate.
- Six wallets are all buying Uruguay -1.5, with over $101k moving the same way.
- This market saw a 400x volume spike before the match, suggesting strong pre-game positioning.
- The flagged bettor has won 14 of 17 resolved bets, though lifetime P&L is roughly flat.
$1,399 on Uruguay | Wallet win rate: 82%
New whale joins Saudi cluster
High-score alert with a new repeat whale buying $60.6k of Saudi Arabia alongside a 4-wallet same-direction cluster and a major pre-event volume spike.
- Four wallets are all buying Saudi Arabia, totaling $163k on the same side.
- This new wallet put $60.6k into the position and has now been flagged 6 times for large bets.
- Market volume is surging nearly 500x versus its historical pace before kickoff.
$60,628 on Saudi Arabia | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xe22a...2703 — Outcome 12798189, $1,148,217 (100% win rate)
- 0xec98...afcd — Outcome 12798189, $275,000 (48% win rate)
- 0x709e...66f5 — Outcome 12798189, $158,103 (64% win rate)
- 0xefdd...017f — Outcome 12798189, $153,696 (95% win rate)
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 12798189, $150,000 (76% win rate)
- 0x8cb4...1057 — Outcome 12798189, $100,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 12798189, $80,000 (49% win rate)
- 0xf751...fec8 — Outcome 12798189, $46,500 (100% win rate)
- 0x032e...2a9e — Outcome 12798189, $41,208 (75% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — Outcome 12798189, $40,000 (68% win rate)
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