Part of: UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

This prediction market tracks who will win the UFC 328 welterweight main card fight between Joaquin Buckley and Sean Brady, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It resolves based on the officially declared winner, with a 50-50 resolution if the fight is a draw, no contest, canceled, not scored, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $3,930 in smart money across 3 signals, including sharp UFC bettors and one-sided Buckley backing alerts.

This market will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean Brady at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Sean Brady" if Sean Brady is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $26,820.

Categories: UFC, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner backing Buckley

A highly profitable UFC bettor with a 95% resolved record bought Joaquin Buckley, matching broader one-sided flow from 5 wallets.

  • This bettor has won 37 of 39 resolved bets and is up $21.7K lifetime.
  • Five wallets are all buying Joaquin Buckley, totaling $6.7K in same-direction flow.
  • Entry at 58¢ is already ahead of the market, with Buckley now around 62¢ after a 23-point daily move.

$1,830 on Joaquin Buckley | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp UFC bettor joins Buckley flow

A profitable 87% sports bettor bought Buckley alongside 5-wallet one-sided flow, with the market already moving strongly in Buckley's favor.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved bets and is up $5.4K on $24.8K invested.
  • Five wallets are all buying Joaquin Buckley, totaling $6.7K in one-sided flow.
  • Buckley has already moved to 62%, up about 24 points in the past day.

$1,000 on Joaquin Buckley | Wallet win rate: 87%

83% winner joins one-sided cluster

Sharp UFC bettor with an 83% resolved win rate joined a 5-wallet one-sided Buckley buy cluster before a major price move.

  • This bettor has won 83% of resolved bets and is up $62,958 lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side, totaling $6,713 in coordinated-looking flow.
  • Their 55¢ entry is already ahead of the market move to 62¢, with the price up 23.5 points today.

$1,100 on Joaquin Buckley | Wallet win rate: 83%

14-wallet funded cluster

High-score linked-wallet cluster bought $18.6k of Sean Brady at about 43¢, creating a notable contrarian setup despite opposing Buckley momentum.

  • A 14-wallet group sharing one funder is behind $12.9k of this Brady buying.
  • Three wallets bought $18.6k of Brady in the same window, paying 40–48¢.
  • Current price is 38¢, below their roughly 43¢ average entry.

$18,585 on Sean Brady

98% win-rate sports sharp

A highly proven sports bettor with a 98% resolved win rate and extensive cross-market history bought Joaquin Buckley at 64¢ amid strong recent price momentum.

  • This bettor wins 98% of resolved bets and is up $397K lifetime.
  • They have traded across 125 events with the same 98% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
  • Entry at 64¢ came below the current 66¢ market price after Buckley moved up 27 points in one day.

$2,970 on Joaquin Buckley | Wallet win rate: 98%

70% win-rate sports bettor

Profitable serial sports trader with a 70% resolved win rate is buying Buckley at 40¢ in a moderately liquid UFC market.

  • This bettor wins 70% of resolved bets and is up $178k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 26 events with $827k in related-event volume.
  • Entry at 40¢ backs Buckley as the underdog with about 2.5x payout if he wins.

$1,336 on Joaquin Buckley | Wallet win rate: 72%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7d92...8676 Joaquin Buckley, $159,008 (80% win rate)
  2. 0xdbad...9c95 Sean Brady, $155,874 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x9495...9a27 Sean Brady, $84,242 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x1e77...8c33 Joaquin Buckley, $78,459 (96% win rate)
  5. 0x5234...4c4f Sean Brady, $77,990 (48% win rate)
  6. 0xd696...8a49 Joaquin Buckley, $29,669 (89% win rate)
  7. 0xfefb...4b5d Joaquin Buckley, $24,825 (48% win rate)
  8. 0x832d...d420 Joaquin Buckley, $14,339 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x7966...6f94 Sean Brady, $12,600 (91% win rate)
  10. 0x3f2f...be86 Sean Brady, $12,420 (60% win rate)

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UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

Joaquin Buckley
62¢
Sean Brady
39¢

This market will resolve to "Joaquin Buckley" if Joaquin Buckley is officially declared the winner of the fight against Sean Brady at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Sean Brady" if Sean Brady is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Price History — “Joaquin Buckley
67¢
51¢
36¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

4h ago

$1,830 on Joaquin Buckley at 58¢

58¢62¢4¢

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

4h ago

$1,000 on Joaquin Buckley at 58¢

58¢62¢4¢

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

4h ago

$1,100 on Joaquin Buckley at 55¢

55¢62¢7¢

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

4h ago

$18,585 on Sean Brady at 43¢

43¢39¢4¢

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

5h ago

$2,970 on Joaquin Buckley at 64¢

64¢62¢2¢

UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)

4d ago

$1,336 on Joaquin Buckley at 40¢

40¢62¢22¢

Related Theses