Part of: Netherlands vs. Sweden - More Markets

Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Netherlands and Sweden, scheduled for June 20 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Netherlands and Sweden combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,584.

Categories: Sports, FIFA World Cup, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

Perfect-record bettor joins Over cluster

High-conviction Over flow from six wallets includes a 35-for-35 profitable bettor and has already driven the price from about 58% to 80%.

A bettor who is 35-for-35 with $32.9K profit bought nearly $5K of Over.
Six wallets put $17.9K on the same side, mostly entering around 57–59¢ before the market jumped to 80¢.
This market saw a 12.8x volume spike and the Over price is up 46 points in one day.

$17,905 on Over

Profitable cross-market bettor

Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor bought Under at 28¢ alongside one-sided flow, with the position already moving to 42¢.

This bettor has a long Polymarket record, up $172,785 across 120 resolved bets.
They are active across 5 markets in this same event, with $27,012 positioned and a 58% historical win rate.
Three wallets bought the same Under side for $6,661, and this entry has already moved from 28¢ to 42¢.

$1,164 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

95% winner buying Over

Elite 95% win-rate wallet with nearly $6M profit made a large Over bet alongside one-sided cluster flow and major pre-event volume spikes.

This bettor wins 95% of resolved positions and is up about $6.0M lifetime.
They put nearly $95K on Over, adding conviction despite the market now pricing it around 36%.
Three wallets are all buying the same side, with about $138K total on Over.

$94,951 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

86% sports winner backs Under

Sharp sports bettor with an 86% win rate and strong positive P&L bought $5k of Under in a liquid World Cup totals market.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up $68k lifetime.
They have traded across 210 events with the same 86% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
A $5k buy on Under at 64¢ goes against recent Over momentum, implying confidence in a lower-scoring match.

$5,014 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

Proven sharp buying Over

Proven sharp sports bettor with a 76% record and nearly $390k profit is buying Over despite a liquid market.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $390k lifetime.
They have traded nearly $1M across 198 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
Entry at 38¢ implies they see the Over as underpriced versus the current mid-30s market.

$1,991 on Over | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable cluster buying Under

Surfacing due to a $20k three-wallet Under cluster backed by a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor and a 93x pre-event volume spike.

A bettor up $1.9M lifetime is part of this Under push, with 66% wins across 1,381 resolved bets.
Three wallets bought $20k of Under at 64¢ shortly before kickoff.
Market activity is surging, with volume running 93x above its historical average.

$6,535 on Under

Proven sports sharp

Highly profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.85M lifetime profit bought Under 3.5, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up about $1.85M lifetime.
They have bet across 180 events and 244 markets, suggesting a repeatable sports edge rather than a one-off guess.
They bought Under at 63¢, implying confidence in a lower-scoring Netherlands-Sweden match.

$2,625 on Under | Wallet win rate: 80%

92% winner buying goals

A highly proven sports bettor with a 92% win rate and +$79.5k lifetime P&L bought Over 3.5 at 37¢.

This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $79.5k lifetime.
They have a large sample: 259 wins out of 280 resolved positions.
Buying Over at 37¢ implies a roughly 2.7x payout if the match reaches 4 goals.

$1,511 on Over | Wallet win rate: 92%

88% winner buying Under

A proven sports bettor with an 88% record and positive lifetime P&L bought Under 3.5 at 64%, making this a copy-worthy sharp-wallet signal.

This bettor wins 88% of resolved trades and is up $2,912 lifetime.
Their wins came at average 54¢ odds, suggesting they have beaten market prices by a wide margin.
They bought Under at 64¢ in a liquid market with tight spreads, so the entry is still easy to follow.

$1,888 on Under | Wallet win rate: 88%