Part of: WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 28?
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $4,900.
Categories: Finance, Commodities, Daily, Up or Down, Daily-Close, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Oil, Rewards Automation 1000, 4.5, 100
Notable Trades
Known 4-wallet cluster
A known 4-wallet funded cluster took the Up side at an effective 48¢ and the market has already moved to 60¢, though the stake is modest and the wallet's standalone record is mixed.
- Four linked wallets from a known funder are associated with this same side of the market.
- This trade effectively bought Up at 48¢ before the price moved to about 60¢.
- The bettor is profitable overall, up $8.6K, though their resolved win rate is only 46%.
$1,046 on Up | Wallet win rate: 47%
87% serial cross-market winner
Surface because this is a highly proven serial cross-market trader with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L, though the position has moved sharply against their entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $225k lifetime.
- They have traded 260 markets across 164 events with over $5.1M deployed.
- They bought Down at 53¢, but the market has since moved to 17¢, so the position is now far cheaper than their entry.
$1,157 on Down | Wallet win rate: 86%
80% winner cross-market sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 80% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Up on WTI after strong price momentum.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $23K lifetime.
- They have traded across 30 related events with an 80% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- They bought Up at 79¢, and the market has already moved to 82¢ after a 32-point daily swing.
$1,051 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%
80% win-rate serial trader
Serial cross-market trader with an 80% win rate across 587 resolved bets bought Up at 80¢ after strong market momentum.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades across 587 bets and is up $23,057 lifetime.
- They have traded across 29 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market strategy rather than a one-off bet.
- WTI Up has already moved sharply, up 29.5 percentage points in the past day, and this trader is still buying at 80¢.
$1,646 on Up | Wallet win rate: 63%
Top Holders
- 0xc2f2...0ff7 — Outcome 11087068, $2,038
- 0x3aca...abc1 — Outcome 11087068, $2,000
- 0x2f63...f247 — Outcome 11087068, $1,292 (82% win rate)
- 0xf9b7...60a4 — Outcome 11087068, $600 (62% win rate)
- 0x50d3...bad4 — Outcome 11087068, $400
- 0x99b5...0b19 — Outcome 11087068, $175
- 0xe9c7...147a — Outcome 11087068, $170
- 0xa4bb...1b2f — Outcome 11087068, $135
- 0x3329...43a6 — Outcome 11087068, $100
- 0x9a94...d5f9 — Outcome 11087068, $50
Related Theses
WTI rallies but stays below $110
Covers 8 related markets
Natural gas whipsaws in May
Covers 4 related markets
