Part of: HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Liudmila Samsonova
This prediction market covers the HSBC Championships tennis match between Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova, scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 15, 2026 if the match is completed within the rules. PolySpotter is tracking $29,620 in smart money and 8 signals, including sharp tennis traders and whale-led activity.
This market refers to the tennis match between Harriet Dart and Liudmila Samsonova in the HSBC Championships, originally scheduled for June 8, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Harriet Dart' if Harriet Dart advances against Liudmila Samsonova. This market will resolve to 'Liudmila Samsonova' if Liudmila Samsonova advances against Harriet Dart. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
15 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,047.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Harriet Dart as volume spiked and the price moved sharply upward.
- This bettor has a huge track record: 12,672 resolved bets, 68% wins, and about $15.1M profit.
- They bought Harriet Dart at 45¢ as the market jumped 17 percentage points in under 5 minutes.
- Volume is surging at 22.8x the historical average, supporting the move toward Dart.
$3,422 on Harriet Dart | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Samsonova amid a volume spike and rapid price move upward.
- This bettor has won 68% of over 12,000 resolved bets and is up about $15.1M lifetime.
- Samsonova’s price jumped 16.5 percentage points in about 4 minutes, and this wallet bought before the move to 57¢.
- Market volume is running 26x above its usual pace, suggesting broader pre-match momentum behind the same side.
$1,337 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 67%
347-1 sharp exits favorite
A highly profitable 347-1 bettor exited Samsonova, which converts to a Harriet Dart buy signal, though it appears to be closing an existing position rather than fresh sizing.
- This bettor has won 347 of 348 resolved trades and is up about $250K lifetime.
- They sold Samsonova at 55¢, which is equivalent to backing Harriet Dart at 45¢.
- This looks like an exit from an existing Samsonova position, so the signal is weaker than a fresh bet.
$2,864 on Harriet Dart | Wallet win rate: 100%
84% win-rate tennis sharp
A highly proven serial cross-market bettor with an 84% win rate and +$133k P&L bought Harriet Dart at 35%, ahead of a move to 42%.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved bets and is up $133k lifetime.
- They have traded across 355 events with over $1.2M in total activity.
- They bought Harriet Dart at 35%, and the market has already moved to 42%.
$1,050 on Harriet Dart | Wallet win rate: 84%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports bettor with a long track record bought Liudmila Samsonova, and the current market price is below their 65¢ entry.
- This bettor has won 68% of 12,666 resolved bets and is up about $15.1M lifetime.
- They have traded across 2,624 markets, suggesting a serious repeat bettor rather than a one-off wager.
- They bought Samsonova at 65¢, while the market is now around 58¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.
$2,527 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 67%
Experienced bettor riding momentum
Experienced sports bettor with positive lifetime P&L bought Samsonova into a sharp pre-match volume surge and rapid odds move.
- This bettor has 923 resolved bets and is up $33k lifetime.
- Samsonova saw a 35x volume spike and moved up 16.5 points in about 4 minutes.
- Entry at 83¢ is already up to 86¢, suggesting the market is confirming the move.
$1,100 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 56%
Profitable serial bettor
Proven high-volume bettor with $15.1M lifetime profit bought Samsonova at 53¢ before the market moved to 62¢.
- This bettor has a massive track record: 12,644 resolved bets, 68% wins, and $15.1M lifetime profit.
- They bought Samsonova at 53¢ and the market has already moved to 62¢.
- This wallet has traded across 2,622 markets, suggesting a systematic sports edge rather than a one-off bet.
$4,676 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 67%
Profitable whale-led cluster
A three-wallet cluster bought $14.7K of Liudmila Samsonova amid a 100x pre-event volume spike, led by a highly profitable whale wallet.
- A whale wallet with $15.1M lifetime profit is part of this same-direction buying cluster.
- Three wallets bought $14.7K of the same outcome within minutes, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Volume is nearly 100x the historical average, and the price has already moved up 4 points today.
$14,706 on Liudmila Samsonova
78% winner in funded cluster
Surface because the bettor has a strong 78% resolved win rate with positive P&L, and the trade is tied to a recurring 4-wallet funded cluster.
- This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $26K lifetime.
- The wallet is part of a 4-wallet funded cluster that has appeared in prior runs.
- They re-entered Samsonova at 68¢ after previously closing a position on the same side.
$1,360 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 78%
Near-perfect sports sharp
Surfacing because a near-perfect, highly profitable serial sports bettor bought Liudmila Samsonova at 64¢.
- This bettor has won 346 of 347 resolved trades and is up $248K lifetime.
- They have deployed $780K across 292 event markets with a near-perfect record.
- Buying Samsonova at 64¢ suggests they see value despite her already being favored.
$1,964 on Liudmila Samsonova | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xfe78...0319 — Liudmila Samsonova, $35,296 (67% win rate)
- 0x30ae...4318 — Harriet Dart, $18,944 (76% win rate)
- 0x204f...5e14 — Harriet Dart, $12,660 (54% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Liudmila Samsonova, $11,788 (93% win rate)
- 0xff81...44c9 — Liudmila Samsonova, $8,714 (52% win rate)
- 0xde9f...d43c — Harriet Dart, $5,873 (50% win rate)
- 0xdb83...1e50 — Liudmila Samsonova, $5,723 (68% win rate)
- 0xa82a...a759 — Harriet Dart, $5,472 (83% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Liudmila Samsonova, $5,444 (63% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Harriet Dart, $5,345 (74% win rate)
Related Theses
G2 wins in five
Covers 4 related markets
Spurs win in a blowout
Covers 18 related markets
Spurs blow out Knicks
Covers 17 related markets
