Part of: Pistons vs. Cavaliers

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

15 smart money signals detected, totaling $174,121.

Categories: Sports, NBA, Games, Basketball

Notable Trades

Elite NBA total bettor

Elite high-volume sports wallet with a 78% win rate and $651k profit is buying Over, with serial cross-market success and a rapid price move supporting the trade.

  • This bettor wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $651k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 101 events with the same 78% win rate.
  • The Over price moved up 11.5 points in about 4 minutes, matching their buy at 56¢.

$4,370 on Over | Wallet win rate: 78%

95% win-rate sports sharp

Elite sports bettor with a 95% resolved-bet win rate and strong cross-market history bought Over despite a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved bets and is up $246,729 lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 37 events with the same 95% hit rate.
  • Entry at 51¢ implies they see the Over as mispriced despite the market now sitting near even odds.

$3,219 on Over | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial timer

Profitable serial live-sports trader sold Over minutes before resolution, aligning with a sharp late price move toward Under.

  • This bettor is up $465K lifetime and has a repeated pattern of late live-sports bets.
  • They sold Over at 50¢ just 3.5 minutes before resolution, and Over has since dropped to 40¢.
  • Market volume spiked 189x, suggesting the late move had real money behind it.

$19,109 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

91% sports sharp buying Over

Sharp serial cross-market sports bettor with a 91% resolved win rate and six-figure profit bought Over 209.5 despite the market moving against the position afterward.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $103k lifetime.
  • They have a long cross-market record: 31 events, $105k traded, and the same 91% win rate.
  • Entry was 52¢ on Over, while the market is now around 40¢, offering a cheaper copy entry but with clear adverse movement.

$1,997 on Over | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp cluster buying Over

Five wallets bought $19.5k of Over, including two extremely profitable bettors with 90–95% historical win rates and a linked-funder cluster, despite the market drifting against them.

  • Two bettors in this cluster win 90%+ of resolved bets and are up about $2.0M combined lifetime.
  • Five wallets bought the same side for $19.5k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • This is a high-volume NBA total, and the Over is now cheaper at 47¢ than the cluster’s 50–52¢ entries.

$19,465 on Over

New profitable whale on Under

A 2-day-old wallet with strong early profit made a $25k Under bet, alongside one-sided flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This new bettor is already up $95.8k and has made five large flagged positions in under 3 days.
  • They put $25k on Under at 50¢, implying a near-even entry with clear upside if their read is right.
  • Three wallets are all buying Under, with market volume spiking over 320x its historical average.

$25,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 100%

Profitable serial timer on Under

Serial near-resolution sports bettor with strong lifetime profit sold Over minutes before resolution, aligning with one-sided Under flow and a major volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $465k lifetime and has made 13 near-resolution bets across 11 markets.
  • The trade came 3.5 minutes before resolution, pointing to a live-game timing edge.
  • Three wallets put $37k on Under as volume spiked over 300x normal.

$11,000 on Under | Wallet win rate: 60%

Sharp timers buying Under

High-conviction Under cluster combining a profitable serial last-minute bettor, a long-term winning wallet, and a newly profitable whale into a large pre-game volume spike.

  • A bettor up $1.26M lifetime joined the Under side with a 71% record across 2,125 resolved bets.
  • A serial last-minute trader also backed Under and is up $465k across 176 resolved bets.
  • A 2-day-old wallet put $25k on Under and is already up $95k, while market volume spiked 653x.

$37,171 on Under

Profitable serial sports bettor

High composite alert driven by a profitable serial cross-market trader joining one-sided Over flow and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 64% wins across 243 resolved bets and about $729K profit.
  • Four wallets are all buying Over, with $50K in same-direction flow before the game.
  • Volume is surging 232x above normal while the market remains tightly priced around 51¢.

$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 66%

Sharp bettor joins Over cluster

Sharp NBA bettor with an 81% record bought Over alongside a $50k one-sided cluster during a major pre-game volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 81% of resolved bets and is up $15.5k lifetime.
  • Four wallets are all buying Over, totaling $50.4k on the same side.
  • Market volume spiked 232x before tip, suggesting strong pre-game conviction.

$2,000 on Over | Wallet win rate: 82%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9770...0ff5 Outcome 93025891, $69,000 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x1117...3532 Outcome 93025891, $22,000 (62% win rate)
  3. 0xbd52...df69 Outcome 93025891, $19,998 (94% win rate)
  4. 0xa38a...821d Outcome 93025891, $10,332 (58% win rate)
  5. 0xf28e...cab2 Outcome 93025891, $4,360 (90% win rate)
  6. 0x21f3...35e3 Outcome 93025891, $4,155 (74% win rate)
  7. 0x0979...8d9b Outcome 93025891, $3,922 (66% win rate)
  8. 0x0fc3...5827 Outcome 93025891, $3,922 (82% win rate)
  9. 0xa742...68c5 Outcome 93025891, $3,841 (93% win rate)
  10. 0x4bb2...a656 Outcome 19965240, $2,041 (72% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 2 related markets

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Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

ResolvedPistons vs. Cavaliers$174,121 tracked15 signalsSportsNBAGamesBasketball

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for May 15 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Pistons and Cavaliers combine to score 210 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 210, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

DET
60-22
Rocket Arena
CLE
52-30
Draft Kings
Spread: CLE -3.5O/U: 209.5ML: +145/-175
Win Prob
Last Play
Game hasn’t started
Price History — “Over
54¢
51¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$4,370 on Over at 56¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$3,219 on Over at 51¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$19,109 on Under at 50¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$1,997 on Over at 52¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$19,465 on Over at 51¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$25,000 on Under at 50¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$11,000 on Under at 50¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$37,171 on Under at 50¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$2,000 on Over at 51¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$2,000 on Over at 51¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$11,220 on Over at 51¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

4d ago

$33,171 on Under at 50¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

5d ago

$1,000 on Under at 49¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

5d ago

$1,300 on Over at 53¢

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5

5d ago

$2,100 on Under at 47¢

Related Theses

Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 209.5 | PolySpotter