Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner
This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
14 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,978.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
New whale caught move
A 2-day-old wallet put nearly $5.9k on Weibo around 73¢ during a sharp pre-event volume and price move, and the market has since moved to 100%.
- A 2-day-old wallet placed $5.9k on Weibo across three buys around 73¢.
- The bet came during a 58x volume spike and an 18-point price jump in about 4 minutes.
- The market has already moved to 100%, so this looks like a well-timed conviction entry rather than routine activity.
$5,883 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%
92% winner caught move
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% historical win rate bought Weibo at 65¢ before the market moved to near certainty amid a sharp volume and price spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.24M lifetime.
- They bought Weibo at 65¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing strong timing on a fast esports move.
- Market volume spiked 58x and Weibo jumped 18 points in about 4 minutes, supporting the direction of the bet.
$1,261 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%
Serial esports mover
Serial cross-market esports trader bought Weibo at 66¢ during a large volume spike and rapid price move, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This wallet has traded 136 events and wins 68% of resolved bets, with over $1.4M in prior cross-market volume.
- They bought Weibo at 66¢ before the market moved to near-certain 99–100¢ odds.
- The trade coincided with a 58x volume spike and an 18-point price jump in about 4 minutes.
$2,200 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 68%
84% win-rate esports sharp
Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% historical win rate bought Weibo at 78¢ amid a major volume spike and fast upward move.
- This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $141K lifetime.
- They have traded 102 markets across 56 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
- Weibo moved sharply after the buy, with volume spiking 58x and price rising to near-certain levels.
$3,000 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%
Serial esports mover
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a 69% hit rate bought Weibo at 69¢ during a sharp pre-event volume and price surge, and the market has since moved to 100%.
- This bettor has traded 401 markets across 320 events and wins 69% of resolved bets.
- They bought Weibo at 69¢ before the market surged to 100%.
- Volume spiked 58x and Weibo’s price jumped 18 points in about 4 minutes.
$1,001 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%
Profitable esports momentum buyer
A profitable serial cross-market esports trader bought Weibo before a fast 18-point move during a major volume spike, and the position immediately moved to near-certain odds.
- This bettor is up $40k across $1.36M traded and has bet across 26 related events.
- They bought Weibo at 75¢ before the market raced to 100¢ in minutes.
- Market volume spiked 58x normal, suggesting a strong wave of same-direction money.
$7,920 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%
Sharp esports cluster
Four wallets, including highly profitable serial esports traders with up to 92% win rates, bought Weibo together and drove a sharp 18-point move in a liquid market.
- A bettor with a 92% record and $2.2M profit joined this Weibo buy cluster.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $7.5K, with two sharing a funder.
- The move pushed Weibo up 18 points in about 4 minutes, and current price is still below one buyer’s 78¢ entry.
$7,462 on Weibo Gaming
90% winner chasing upset
Proven esports sharp with a 90% long-term win record bought Ninjas in Pyjamas amid coordinated same-side flow and a major pre-event price spike, though the current price is now far below their entry.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $436K lifetime across $2.3M invested.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 60 events, with the same 90% win rate over a large sample.
- Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas in the same window, helping drive an 18-point move before the market reversed.
$1,250 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable new wallet cluster
New profitable wallet with repeat large-bet flags joined coordinated one-sided flow on Ninjas in Pyjamas amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move, though the entry is now far above current odds.
- This new wallet is already up $1,916 and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas in the same window, totaling $3,331 of one-sided flow.
- The market saw a 21x volume spike and an 18-point move toward Ninjas in Pyjamas before pulling back.
$1,016 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 83%
Sharp esports cluster
Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas together, led by a highly profitable 90% winner and a new repeat large bettor, with the trade coinciding with a sharp move despite the price later pulling back.
- A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $436K joined this same-side buy.
- Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas for $3.3K as the price jumped 18 percentage points.
- One wallet is only 7 days old, has already been flagged 5 times, and is up $1.9K early.
$3,331 on Ninjas in Pyjamas
Top Holders
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Weibo Gaming, $60,851
- 0x3af1...d739 — Weibo Gaming, $37,543 (42% win rate)
- 0xafd4...7e61 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $23,615 (64% win rate)
- 0x3833...33d1 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $20,000 (98% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — Weibo Gaming, $15,143 (59% win rate)
- 0xf68a...5b1b — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $12,081 (52% win rate)
- 0xf070...ac55 — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $11,111 (86% win rate)
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Weibo Gaming, $10,587 (57% win rate)
- 0xd2f3...37f9 — Weibo Gaming, $10,262 (56% win rate)
- 0x6918...782b — Ninjas in Pyjamas, $9,988 (67% win rate)
