Part of: LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $43,978.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

New whale caught move

A 2-day-old wallet put nearly $5.9k on Weibo around 73¢ during a sharp pre-event volume and price move, and the market has since moved to 100%.

  • A 2-day-old wallet placed $5.9k on Weibo across three buys around 73¢.
  • The bet came during a 58x volume spike and an 18-point price jump in about 4 minutes.
  • The market has already moved to 100%, so this looks like a well-timed conviction entry rather than routine activity.

$5,883 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 57%

92% winner caught move

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with a 92% historical win rate bought Weibo at 65¢ before the market moved to near certainty amid a sharp volume and price spike.

  • This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $2.24M lifetime.
  • They bought Weibo at 65¢ before the market moved to 100%, showing strong timing on a fast esports move.
  • Market volume spiked 58x and Weibo jumped 18 points in about 4 minutes, supporting the direction of the bet.

$1,261 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 92%

Serial esports mover

Serial cross-market esports trader bought Weibo at 66¢ during a large volume spike and rapid price move, though lifetime P&L is negative.

  • This wallet has traded 136 events and wins 68% of resolved bets, with over $1.4M in prior cross-market volume.
  • They bought Weibo at 66¢ before the market moved to near-certain 99–100¢ odds.
  • The trade coincided with a 58x volume spike and an 18-point price jump in about 4 minutes.

$2,200 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 68%

84% win-rate esports sharp

Sharp serial cross-market bettor with an 84% historical win rate bought Weibo at 78¢ amid a major volume spike and fast upward move.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up about $141K lifetime.
  • They have traded 102 markets across 56 events, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Weibo moved sharply after the buy, with volume spiking 58x and price rising to near-certain levels.

$3,000 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 85%

Serial esports mover

Serial cross-market esports bettor with a 69% hit rate bought Weibo at 69¢ during a sharp pre-event volume and price surge, and the market has since moved to 100%.

  • This bettor has traded 401 markets across 320 events and wins 69% of resolved bets.
  • They bought Weibo at 69¢ before the market surged to 100%.
  • Volume spiked 58x and Weibo’s price jumped 18 points in about 4 minutes.

$1,001 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 69%

Profitable esports momentum buyer

A profitable serial cross-market esports trader bought Weibo before a fast 18-point move during a major volume spike, and the position immediately moved to near-certain odds.

  • This bettor is up $40k across $1.36M traded and has bet across 26 related events.
  • They bought Weibo at 75¢ before the market raced to 100¢ in minutes.
  • Market volume spiked 58x normal, suggesting a strong wave of same-direction money.

$7,920 on Weibo Gaming | Wallet win rate: 56%

Sharp esports cluster

Four wallets, including highly profitable serial esports traders with up to 92% win rates, bought Weibo together and drove a sharp 18-point move in a liquid market.

  • A bettor with a 92% record and $2.2M profit joined this Weibo buy cluster.
  • Four wallets bought the same side for $7.5K, with two sharing a funder.
  • The move pushed Weibo up 18 points in about 4 minutes, and current price is still below one buyer’s 78¢ entry.

$7,462 on Weibo Gaming

90% winner chasing upset

Proven esports sharp with a 90% long-term win record bought Ninjas in Pyjamas amid coordinated same-side flow and a major pre-event price spike, though the current price is now far below their entry.

  • This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $436K lifetime across $2.3M invested.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 60 events, with the same 90% win rate over a large sample.
  • Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas in the same window, helping drive an 18-point move before the market reversed.

$1,250 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable new wallet cluster

New profitable wallet with repeat large-bet flags joined coordinated one-sided flow on Ninjas in Pyjamas amid a major pre-event volume spike and price move, though the entry is now far above current odds.

  • This new wallet is already up $1,916 and has won 5 of 6 resolved bets.
  • Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas in the same window, totaling $3,331 of one-sided flow.
  • The market saw a 21x volume spike and an 18-point move toward Ninjas in Pyjamas before pulling back.

$1,016 on Ninjas in Pyjamas | Wallet win rate: 83%

Sharp esports cluster

Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas together, led by a highly profitable 90% winner and a new repeat large bettor, with the trade coinciding with a sharp move despite the price later pulling back.

  • A bettor who wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $436K joined this same-side buy.
  • Three wallets bought Ninjas in Pyjamas for $3.3K as the price jumped 18 percentage points.
  • One wallet is only 7 days old, has already been flagged 5 times, and is up $1.9K early.

$3,331 on Ninjas in Pyjamas

Top Holders

  1. 0x3b4c...e850 Weibo Gaming, $60,851
  2. 0x3af1...d739 Weibo Gaming, $37,543 (42% win rate)
  3. 0xafd4...7e61 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $23,615 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x3833...33d1 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $20,000 (98% win rate)
  5. 0xe405...c67e Weibo Gaming, $15,143 (59% win rate)
  6. 0xf68a...5b1b Ninjas in Pyjamas, $12,081 (52% win rate)
  7. 0xf070...ac55 Ninjas in Pyjamas, $11,111 (86% win rate)
  8. 0xa5ea...d96a Weibo Gaming, $10,587 (57% win rate)
  9. 0xd2f3...37f9 Weibo Gaming, $10,262 (56% win rate)
  10. 0x6918...782b Ninjas in Pyjamas, $9,988 (67% win rate)

Related Theses

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Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$43,978 tracked14 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Weibo Gaming
100¢
Ninjas in Pyjamas
0¢

This market refers to the LoL match between Weibo Gaming and Ninjas in Pyjamas in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 10 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Weibo Gaming" if Weibo Gaming win Game 1 against Ninjas in Pyjamas. This market will resolve to "Ninjas in Pyjamas" if Ninjas in Pyjamas win Game 1 against Weibo Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Weibo Gaming
102¢
75¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$5,883 on Weibo Gaming at 73¢

73¢100¢27¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,261 on Weibo Gaming at 65¢

65¢100¢35¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$2,200 on Weibo Gaming at 66¢

66¢100¢34¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$3,000 on Weibo Gaming at 78¢

78¢100¢22¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,001 on Weibo Gaming at 69¢

69¢100¢31¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$7,920 on Weibo Gaming at 75¢

75¢100¢25¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$7,462 on Weibo Gaming at 72¢

72¢100¢28¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,250 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 56¢

56¢0¢56¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,016 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$3,331 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 47¢

47¢0¢47¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

3h ago

$1,128 on Weibo Gaming at 48¢

48¢100¢52¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

4h ago

$1,730 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 52¢

52¢0¢52¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

4h ago

$5,549 on Ninjas in Pyjamas at 50¢

50¢0¢50¢

LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner

5h ago

$1,246 on Weibo Gaming at 50¢

50¢100¢50¢

Related Theses