Part of: Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

This prediction market covers the Guangzhou tennis match between Fajing Sun and Alexis Galarneau, scheduled for September 14, 2026. The market resolves to the player who advances, with smart money activity including a coordinated Sun buying surge and multiple Galarneau signals; it is scheduled to resolve on September 21, 2026, subject to the market’s settlement rules.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $86,823.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Eight-wallet Fajing Sun surge

Eight wallets deployed nearly $58,000 toward Fajing Sun during a 585x volume spike, with several participants showing strong profitable track records and the market repricing sharply upward.

  • Eight wallets bought Fajing Sun for $57,887 as the market moved up 44.5% in one day.
  • Two participating bettors win 83% and 88% of resolved trades, with positive lifetime profits.
  • The weighted cluster entry was about 71¢, though one $28,350 purchase came at 80¢ and some positions were already open.

$57,311 on Fajing Sun

Sharp bettor adds to Galarneau

A highly profitable serial trader with a 79% win rate and 32-point edge is adding to an Alexis Galarneau position amid an extreme volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 79% of 191 resolved positions and is up $45,331 lifetime.
  • They are adding to an Alexis Galarneau position at 87¢, near the 88% market probability.
  • Trading volume is running 186.9 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest in the match.

$2,632 on Alexis Galarneau | Wallet win rate: 79%

93% winner backs the underdog

A highly profitable serial trader with a 93% win rate sold the 88%-favorite at 90¢, effectively backing the 12% underdog amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 93% of 2,682 resolved positions and earned $2.39M in profit.
  • They sold Alexis Galarneau at 90¢, equivalent to buying Fajing Sun around 10¢ despite the market pricing Sun at only 12%.
  • Trading volume reached 186.9 times its historical average, while the market fell 19.5% in one day.

$6,585 on Fajing Sun | Wallet win rate: 93%

Sharp bettor leads four-wallet cluster

A four-wallet Alexis Galarneau cluster drove an 18-point price jump, including a highly profitable bettor with a 93% win rate and substantial historical edge.

  • A bettor with 2,682 resolved positions wins 93% of trades and is up $2.39 million, while buying Alexis at 41¢.
  • Four wallets committed $9,036 to Alexis, helping push the price up 18 percentage points to 66¢.
  • The cluster’s blended entry was about 50¢, so the current 66¢ price is already above a disciplined copy ceiling.

$20,295 on Alexis Galarneau

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 72847474, $12,363 (64% win rate)
  2. 0xe787...5034 Outcome 72847474, $5,085 (63% win rate)
  3. 0x9086...4d46 Outcome 72847474, $1,254
  4. 0xd788...fc62 Outcome 72847474, $952
  5. 0xce3e...623b Outcome 72847474, $860
  6. 0xf5c7...5cec Outcome 72847474, $718 (95% win rate)
  7. 0x38dd...f871 Outcome 72847474, $714
  8. 0x5929...4684 Outcome 72847474, $703 (76% win rate)
  9. 0x26a7...4fba Outcome 72847474, $618 (79% win rate)
  10. 0x9d3e...986c Outcome 72847474, $566 (82% win rate)

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Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

ResolvedGuangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau$86,823 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Fajing Sun and Alexis Galarneau in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Fajing Sun' if Fajing Sun advances against Alexis Galarneau. This market will resolve to 'Alexis Galarneau' if Alexis Galarneau advances against Fajing Sun. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Fajing Sun
102¢
65¢
29¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

8d ago

$57,311 on Fajing Sun at 71¢

Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

8d ago

$2,632 on Alexis Galarneau at 87¢

Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

8d ago

$6,585 on Fajing Sun at 10¢

Guangzhou: Fajing Sun vs Alexis Galarneau

8d ago

$20,295 on Alexis Galarneau at 50¢

Related Theses