Part of: Paris Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa

Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?

3 smart money signals detected, totaling $31,188.

Categories: UEFA Super Cup, Sports, Games, Soccer

Notable Trades

95% winner backs Aston Villa No

A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge placed $3,635 on No amid an extreme volume spike.

This bettor has won 166 of 174 resolved trades, earning $299,547 on a 45% average win price.
They placed $3,635 on No at 83¢, aligning with their strong record across 251 events.
Trading volume was 518 times its historical average, suggesting unusually strong interest in this outcome.

$3,635 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Veteran trader buys No amid volume spike

An extreme 517x volume spike coincides with a veteran trader buying No, though the trader's historical edge is modest and the position is relatively small.

A 517x surge above the historical volume baseline suggests unusual positioning in this market.
This trader has resolved 22,469 bets and is up $3.6 million overall.
The $1,151 No purchase at 82¢ is a modest position in a highly liquid market, so conviction is suggestive rather than overwhelming.

$1,151 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable bettors scale into No

Four wallets deployed $26.4K on No amid an extreme volume spike, including two highly profitable bettors, with price momentum confirming the thesis.

Four wallets bought No for $26,403, while market volume surged to over 1,000 times its historical average.
Two major participants have strong records: one is up $5.2M with a 72% win rate, and another is up $3.6M.
No is priced around 81–82¢ after falling 11% over the week, so the coordinated buying aligns with bearish momentum on Aston Villa.

$26,403 on No

Top Holders

0x2c33...0563 — Outcome 10327906, $62,922 (60% win rate)
0x41d2...d7c9 — Outcome 10327906, $16,250 (91% win rate)
0x2759...2b38 — Outcome 10327906, $12,455 (64% win rate)
0xe0ac...de2a — Outcome 10327906, $5,000
0xf3a6...71bd — Outcome 10327906, $4,000 (72% win rate)
0x7a3e...defe — Outcome 10327906, $3,000
0x2393...d54d — Outcome 10327906, $3,000 (29% win rate)
0x4454...f6bf — Outcome 10327906, $2,044
0xc6a2...9524 — Outcome 10327906, $1,969
0x09f6...e0d6 — Outcome 10327906, $1,941 (50% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Will Aston Villa win on 2026-08-12?

ResolvedParis Saint-Germain vs. Aston Villa$31,188 tracked3 signalsUEFA Super CupSportsGamesSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 12, 2026 If Aston Villa wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “No”

102¢

89¢

75¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction