Part of: LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
This Polymarket prediction market covers the Game 1 winner between Invictus Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend match scheduled for May 12. The market resolves to the team that wins Game 1, with $18,984 in smart money tracked across 5 signals, including notable Bilibili buying and sharp-wallet activity.
This market refers to the LoL match between Invictus Gaming and Bilibili Gaming in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Invictus Gaming" if Invictus Gaming win Game 1 against Bilibili Gaming. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win Game 1 against Invictus Gaming. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
23 smart money signals detected, totaling $106,080.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
7-wallet Bilibili momentum
High-conviction one-sided flow: 7 wallets bought Bilibili, driving the price from this wallet's 70¢ entry to 93¢ amid a major volume spike.
- Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $18.2K on Bilibili.
- Bilibili jumped 28 percentage points, from this bettor's 70¢ entry to 93¢ now.
- Market volume spiked 36.9x versus normal activity before the match.
$1,039 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 51%
Sharp wallets fading favorite
A cluster of five wallets is taking the contrarian Invictus side, including an 87% winner and a highly profitable $1.1M lifetime bettor, though the market has moved sharply against earlier entries.
- A bettor who wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $8,082 effectively bought Invictus around 13¢.
- Another Invictus buyer has a 73% record across 792 resolved trades and is up $1.13M lifetime.
- This is a contrarian longshot bet after Bilibili moved up sharply, so the signal is notable but high-risk.
$5,949 on Invictus Gaming
Profitable serial bettor joined surge
Strong one-sided flow into Bilibili with an 8-wallet cluster, a 31-point price move, and this wallet showing a profitable 185-bet history.
- This bettor is up $53.9K lifetime across 185 resolved trades and joined a strong Bilibili move at 55¢.
- 8 wallets bought the same side for $24.6K, pushing Bilibili up about 31 percentage points.
- The market saw a 30.7x volume spike before the match, suggesting a broad rush into the same position.
$4,656 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 58%
Serial esports flow
Serial cross-market esports bettor bought Bilibili alongside 8-wallet one-sided flow and a sharp price move, though lifetime P&L is negative.
- This wallet has traded 147 events with a 71% hit rate across 201 resolved bets.
- 8 wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $24.6K on Bilibili Gaming.
- Bilibili moved up about 31 points during the flow, and this bettor entered at 84¢ before the current 86¢.
$5,000 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 71%
Serial esports trader with momentum
High-score alert led by a serial cross-market esports trader with a large same-side crowd and strong price move after the entry.
- This bettor has 616 resolved trades, wins 72%, and has put over $1M to work historically.
- Eight wallets bought the same side for $24.6K, and Bilibili moved from this entry at 69¢ to 86¢.
- Market volume spiked 30x before the match, with Bilibili gaining over 30 percentage points.
$2,340 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 72%
Million-dollar serial winner
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor bought Invictus amid coordinated one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and sharp price impact, though the market has since moved against the entry.
- This bettor has won 73% of 792 resolved trades and is up $1.13M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 47 events, with $105.8K recently tracked in this pattern.
- Three wallets bought Invictus the same way, alongside a 40x volume spike and a 31-point price move.
$1,510 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 73%
Coordinated underdog buy spike
High composite alert with one-sided coordinated Invictus buying, a major pre-event volume spike, and strong price impact, though the specific wallet's hit rate is only modest and the market has since moved against the entry.
- Three wallets bought the same underdog side, totaling about $7.9K on Invictus.
- Market activity spiked 40x above normal and pushed Invictus up sharply during the buying window.
- This wallet has traded large size before and is up $63.6K lifetime, despite only winning 51% of resolved bets.
$4,970 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 51%
Profitable bettor on momentum
High-score esports alert with a historically profitable high-volume bettor mostly buying Invictus amid a major pre-event volume spike and sharp price move, though one opposing Bilibili buy makes the positioning less clean.
- This bettor is up $63.6K lifetime across $2.1M traded, despite only winning 51% of resolved bets.
- Most of the fresh money went to Invictus at 43–46¢, alongside a 148x pre-event volume spike.
- Invictus has already moved up about 25 points in the past day, suggesting strong market momentum.
$5,468 on Invictus Gaming | Wallet win rate: 51%
Sharp cluster hit 100%
Three wallets, including two highly profitable bettors, piled into Invictus before a massive move to 100%.
- Two strong bettors backed Invictus, including wallets winning 86% and 85% of resolved bets.
- The cluster put $8.3K on the same side as Invictus jumped from long-shot pricing to 100%.
- One converted sell was effectively an Invictus buy around 12¢, showing very strong early conviction.
$8,265 on Invictus Gaming
Profitable serial esports trader
Serial cross-market esports trader with positive long-run results bought Bilibili during a major pre-event volume surge, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 279 resolved bets, 64% wins, and about $8K in profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 34 events, suggesting a repeatable esports betting process.
- The trade came during a 249x volume spike, but the entry was 70¢ and Bilibili is now around 53¢.
$1,029 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 64%
Top Holders
- 0x3af1...d739 — Invictus Gaming, $49,377 (42% win rate)
- 0x3b4c...e850 — Invictus Gaming, $38,100
- 0x52ec...a6f3 — Invictus Gaming, $32,095 (75% win rate)
- 0xe7e1...ec43 — Bilibili Gaming, $30,000 (52% win rate)
- 0x6130...a7a6 — Invictus Gaming, $28,468 (70% win rate)
- 0x3a09...f9f7 — Bilibili Gaming, $23,768 (53% win rate)
- 0x8e8c...65dd — Bilibili Gaming, $23,700 (50% win rate)
- 0x85d5...45ee — Bilibili Gaming, $14,818 (77% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — Bilibili Gaming, $14,093 (58% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Invictus Gaming, $13,703 (50% win rate)
Related Theses
Thunder win by eleven
Covers 4 related markets
