Part of: Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Frances Tiafoe vs Andrea Pellegrino
This Polymarket prediction market covers who will advance in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Andrea Pellegrino, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by May 18, 2026. PolySpotter is tracking $5,125 in smart money and 1 smart money signal on this market.
This market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Andrea Pellegrino in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Andrea Pellegrino. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Pellegrino' if Andrea Pellegrino advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,525.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market bettor with a profitable 61% record made a $5.1k Tiafoe buy that exceeded the market's recent volume on a relatively quiet tennis market.
- This bettor has traded across 26 events and is up $16.6k lifetime.
- Their $5.1k Tiafoe buy was bigger than the market’s recent 24h volume, showing strong conviction.
- Entry at 70¢ implies they see value in the favorite despite the price already moving up 6 points today.
$5,125 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial sports bettor
A high-volume serial cross-market bettor with a long profitable record is buying Tiafoe at 70% in a relatively small tennis market.
- This bettor has a deep track record: 1,232 resolved bets, a 62% win rate, and $348,762 lifetime profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 149 events, suggesting this is part of a repeatable sports betting process.
- A $1,400 buy is meaningful in a market with only about $4,400 traded in the past day.
$1,400 on Frances Tiafoe | Wallet win rate: 62%
Top Holders
- 0x3d97...f263 — Frances Tiafoe, $7,321 (61% win rate)
- 0x84ad...bfb7 — Andrea Pellegrino, $4,556 (56% win rate)
- 0x4379...2e16 — Andrea Pellegrino, $3,000 (80% win rate)
- 0x7760...21f0 — Frances Tiafoe, $2,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x5213...6a35 — Andrea Pellegrino, $1,826 (83% win rate)
- 0xeb77...ef9e — Frances Tiafoe, $1,429 (72% win rate)
- 0xb5e7...3c1a — Frances Tiafoe, $612
- 0xe391...eea1 — Frances Tiafoe, $571
- 0x0cef...fa91 — Andrea Pellegrino, $549
- 0x2d6a...8add — Andrea Pellegrino, $476
Related Theses
Tiafoe beats Pellegrino
Covers 1 related market
Medvedev beats Llamas Ruiz
Covers 1 related market
Nakashima beats Basilashvili
Covers 1 related market
Tiafoe defeats Pellegrino
Covers 1 related market
Davidovich Fokina beats Rublev
Covers 1 related market
Cobolli defeats Tirante at Rome
Covers 1 related market
