Part of: Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

This Polymarket market covers the Map 1 round handicap for Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz at IEM Cologne Major Stage 3: NAVI -3.5 or TheMongolz +3.5. It resolves based only on the Map 1 round score, including overtime, with NAVI needing to win by 4 or more rounds; the page tracks live odds plus $5,546 in smart money across 2 signals. Resolution is scheduled for June 13, 2026 at 15:00 UTC.

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Natus Vincere's round total on Map 1 exceeds TheMongolz's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TheMongolz". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $5,546.

Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Repeat new-wallet whale

New repeat whale is taking a sizable Natus Vincere position in a very thin esports market, with multiple related bets across the same event despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This new wallet has now been flagged 7 times, with $19.6k in notable bets already.
  • The latest buy is large for this market, which has only about $2.6k in 24h volume and $3k liquidity.
  • They are also active across 3 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$2,199 on Natus Vincere

Repeat new-wallet whale

New repeat whale is taking a sizable Natus Vincere position in a very thin esports market, with multiple related bets across the same event despite no resolved track record yet.

  • This new wallet has now been flagged 7 times, with $19.6k in notable bets already.
  • The latest buy is large for this market, which has only about $2.6k in 24h volume and $3k liquidity.
  • They are also active across 3 markets in the same event, suggesting a broader match thesis.

$3,347 on Natus Vincere

Top Holders

  1. 0xeb43...4201 Natus Vincere, $1,944
  2. 0x4337...8882 TheMongolz, $555 (74% win rate)
  3. 0x6376...0d2a TheMongolz, $516 (46% win rate)
  4. 0x8494...814a TheMongolz, $500
  5. 0x3881...804e TheMongolz, $297 (64% win rate)
  6. 0x764a...83d3 TheMongolz, $86
  7. 0xf689...3e3f Natus Vincere, $14
  8. 0x5210...bd53 TheMongolz, $6
  9. 0x8829...7d99 Natus Vincere, $3

Related Theses

Natus Vincere dominate both maps

Covers 3 related markets

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

8hCounter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$5,546 tracked2 signalsEsportscounter strike 2GamesSports
Natus Vincere
49¢
TheMongolz
51¢

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Natus Vincere and TheMongolz in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 3, initially scheduled for June 13 at 5:00AM ET. This market is decided solely by the round score of Map 1 of this match, and is independent of which team wins Map 1 or the overall match. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere wins Map 1 by 4 or more rounds, including any overtime (i.e. Natus Vincere's round total on Map 1 exceeds TheMongolz's by 4 or more). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TheMongolz". Map 1 must be played to completion, with a final round score determined by rounds actually played, for this market to resolve to a team. If Map 1 is completed in this way, the market resolves on that round score regardless of how the remainder of the match concludes (including any later forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default). If Map 1 is not played at all, is not played to completion, or is decided by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default rather than by rounds played to a conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without Map 1 being completed, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead, including video evidence.

Price History — “TheMongolz
61¢
59¢
56¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

2h ago

$2,199 on Natus Vincere at 42¢

42¢49¢7¢

Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Natus Vincere (-3.5) vs TheMongolz (+3.5)

2h ago

$3,347 on Natus Vincere at 42¢

42¢49¢7¢

Related Theses