Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros WTA match between Victoria Mboko and Madison Keys, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00 AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 6, 2026; PolySpotter has tracked $6,350 in smart money activity and 1 smart money signal for this market. Live market odds may shift as bettors react to form, injury news, draw conditions, and sharp tennis betting activity.

This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Mboko and Madison Keys in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Mboko' if Victoria Mboko advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Victoria Mboko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $296,097.

Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

91% winner buying Keys

Elite 91% win-rate tennis bettor with nearly $2M profit bought Madison Keys, alongside one-sided flow from other wallets.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.96M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.1M bet across 172 markets and the same 91% hit rate.
  • Three wallets bought Madison Keys in the same window, totaling $5.9K of one-sided flow.

$2,300 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 91%

New profitable wallet in cluster

High composite alert from an 8-hour-old profitable repeat wallet joining a 3-wallet one-sided Madison Keys cluster during a pre-event volume spike.

  • An 8-hour-old wallet already has 9 positions and is up $1.3k.
  • Three wallets are betting the same way on Madison Keys, totaling $5.9k.
  • Market volume is running about 10x normal ahead of the match.

$1,383 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 17%

Six-wallet Mboko cluster

Six wallets bought $11.6k of Mboko into a major pre-match volume spike, including one long-term bettor with a 78% record and positive P&L, though opposing Keys flow tempers the signal.

  • Six wallets put $11.6k on Mboko, creating a clear same-side cluster before the match.
  • One Mboko buyer has won 78% of 1,119 resolved bets and is up $50k lifetime.
  • Market volume is running 10x above normal, but there is also smaller opposing Keys flow.

$11,606 on Victoria Mboko

Profitable whale backs favorite

A highly profitable, heavily active wallet is backing Madison Keys at 90¢ amid a major pre-match volume surge, though the signal is weaker because the market is very liquid and the bet is modest relative to volume.

  • This wallet is up about $598K lifetime across more than 7,600 resolved bets.
  • It bought Madison Keys at 90¢, slightly below the current 92¢ market price.
  • Market volume is spiking nearly 40x before the match, supporting the move toward Keys.

$6,350 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 53%

85% sharp on underdog

Surfacing because a highly proven 85% win-rate wallet with $120K profit made a contrarian underdog buy despite the market later moving against it.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $120K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with $1.2M traded across 817 markets.
  • They bought Mboko at 20¢ as a contrarian underdog; the market has since dropped to 10¢.

$1,586 on Victoria Mboko | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable high-volume serial trader bought Madison Keys at 82¢ ahead of a major pre-event volume spike and the price has already moved to 90¢.

  • This bettor has a huge track record: 31,131 resolved bets, 69% wins, and $268k lifetime profit.
  • They bought Madison Keys at 82¢ before the market moved to 90¢, showing the trade is already being validated by price action.
  • Market volume spiked 101x above normal, suggesting broader money is piling into the same match.

$1,586 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 69%

Serial trader flips to Keys

A high-volume serial sports trader flipped into Madison Keys ahead of a major price move, alongside a 101x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has traded 625 markets across 516 events and wins 63% of resolved bets.
  • They bought $8,000 of Madison Keys at 79¢, and the market has already moved to 90¢.
  • Volume spiked 101x above normal, suggesting broader pre-match money came in the same direction.

$8,000 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 63%

Linked whale tennis push

A large linked cluster and a highly profitable serial trader bought Madison Keys heavily at 51¢ before the market moved to 66¢.

  • 10 wallets bought the same side for $105K, with linked-funder activity behind the cluster.
  • A serial cross-market bettor in the flow has won 71% of 9,731 resolved bets and is up $14.2M lifetime.
  • They entered Madison Keys at 51¢ before the price jumped to 66¢, alongside a 138x volume spike.

$104,883 on Madison Keys

Sharp sports bettor on Keys

Sharp sports bettor with an 84% record and $6.8M lifetime profit bought $25k of Madison Keys at even odds.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • They have traded across 37 sports events with $17.6M total volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • A $25k buy at 50¢ implies they see Madison Keys as better than a coin flip.

$25,013 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 84%

84% winner backing Keys

Sharp 84% win-rate wallet with $6.8M lifetime profit is buying $21.9K of Madison Keys amid a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades and is up $6.8M lifetime.
  • They bought $21.9K of Madison Keys around 49–50¢, a strong position in a near-even match.
  • This wallet is a serial cross-market sports trader with $17.6M deployed across 37 events.

$21,905 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x37e4...c991 Victoria Mboko, $231,092 (76% win rate)
  2. 0xbee5...a636 Madison Keys, $190,152 (84% win rate)
  3. 0x780a...84f0 Victoria Mboko, $150,000 (85% win rate)
  4. 0xde9f...d43c Madison Keys, $64,991 (50% win rate)
  5. 0x4be1...aa70 Madison Keys, $38,770 (92% win rate)
  6. 0xf284...b9f9 Madison Keys, $27,464 (91% win rate)
  7. 0x42c9...9623 Madison Keys, $25,173 (50% win rate)
  8. 0xa8e0...ad50 Victoria Mboko, $23,757 (55% win rate)
  9. 0xfe78...0319 Madison Keys, $22,896 (71% win rate)
  10. 0x5d1d...afd2 Madison Keys, $19,608 (54% win rate)

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Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

6dRoland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys$296,097 tracked19 signalsTennisGamesSports
Victoria Mboko
53¢
Madison Keys
48¢

This market refers to the tennis match between Victoria Mboko and Madison Keys in the Roland Garros WTA, originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Victoria Mboko' if Victoria Mboko advances against Madison Keys. This market will resolve to 'Madison Keys' if Madison Keys advances against Victoria Mboko. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Victoria Mboko
61¢
41¢
21¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

4h ago

$2,300 on Madison Keys at 46¢

46¢48¢2¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

4h ago

$1,383 on Madison Keys at 54¢

54¢48¢6¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

4h ago

$11,606 on Victoria Mboko at 54¢

54¢53¢1¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

5h ago

$6,350 on Madison Keys at 90¢

90¢48¢42¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

5h ago

$1,586 on Victoria Mboko at 20¢

20¢53¢33¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

5h ago

$1,586 on Madison Keys at 82¢

82¢48¢34¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

5h ago

$8,000 on Madison Keys at 79¢

79¢48¢31¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

6h ago

$104,883 on Madison Keys at 51¢

51¢48¢3¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

6h ago

$25,013 on Madison Keys at 50¢

50¢48¢2¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

7h ago

$21,905 on Madison Keys at 49¢

49¢48¢1¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

7h ago

$3,107 on Victoria Mboko at 51¢

51¢53¢2¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

7h ago

$50,137 on Madison Keys at 48¢

48¢48¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

7h ago

$42,976 on Madison Keys at 48¢

48¢48¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

7h ago

$5,266 on Victoria Mboko at 52¢

52¢53¢1¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

10h ago

$1,020 on Madison Keys at 49¢

49¢48¢1¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

12h ago

$2,675 on Madison Keys at 48¢

48¢48¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

13h ago

$1,393 on Madison Keys at 49¢

49¢48¢1¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

14h ago

$2,071 on Madison Keys at 48¢

48¢48¢

Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys

1d ago

$2,839 on Madison Keys at 46¢

46¢48¢2¢

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