Part of: Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys
This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros WTA match between Victoria Mboko and Madison Keys, scheduled for May 30, 2026, with resolution by June 6, 2026 if a winner is determined. It resolves to the player who advances, with recent smart money activity showing $22,850 tracked across 5 signals, including multiple alerts favoring Madison Keys and one cluster backing Mboko.
25 smart money signals detected, totaling $239,039.
Categories: Tennis, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Sharp five-wallet surge
Five wallets pushed the same Madison Keys side alongside a major price move, including a serial cross-market trader with an 89% win rate and strong profit history.
- Five wallets all backed Madison Keys, with $8.1K flowing the same way during a sharp move.
- One bettor in the cluster wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $182K lifetime.
- Keys was bought around 40–63¢ before the market moved to 100%, suggesting the group caught the decisive move.
$8,095 on Madison Keys
Sharp bettor faded Keys
Worth surfacing because a profitable 77% bettor made the largest Mboko-direction trade, though the signal is partly stale and opposed by larger Keys buying.
- A bettor who wins 77% of resolved trades sold Keys at 90¢, equivalent to backing Mboko around 10¢.
- Three wallets leaned Mboko for $11.5k during a 12x volume spike.
- A larger Keys-buying cluster is on the other side, so the cleanest copy signal was the sharp low-price Mboko entry.
$11,476 on Victoria Mboko
89% winner joined Keys flow
Elite 89% lifetime winner sold Mboko before a sharp price drop, aligning with seven-wallet one-sided flow toward Madison Keys and a major volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of resolved trades and is up $182K lifetime across more than 2,000 markets.
- Their sell is equivalent to backing Madison Keys at 46¢, before Keys moved to about 60¢.
- Seven wallets bet the same way for $17.5K as volume jumped 12x and Mboko’s price fell 24 points.
$1,545 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 89%
87% winner in Keys cluster
Sharp 87% lifetime winner bought Madison Keys alongside a 7-wallet same-side cluster, though the market has since moved sharply against the 88¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $125k lifetime.
- Seven wallets bought Madison Keys the same way, totaling $17.5k.
- The entry was 88¢ and the market is now near 60¢, making this a cheaper but volatile follow.
$4,400 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 87%
92% winner backs Keys
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% record and major lifetime profit bought Madison Keys amid a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $641K lifetime.
- They are a seasoned cross-market sports trader, with $1.0M+ deployed across 58 events.
- They bought Madison Keys at 54¢ as market volume spiked 29x before the match.
$5,961 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 92%
Sharp bettor joins Mboko flow
A proven profitable tennis bettor bought Victoria Mboko amid a 5-wallet one-sided move and a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up nearly $100K lifetime.
- Five wallets bought Victoria Mboko in the same window, totaling $7.7K on one side.
- Market volume spiked 26.8x above normal, with this entry at 50¢ already moving to 52¢.
$1,600 on Victoria Mboko | Wallet win rate: 80%
91% winner buying Keys
Elite 91% win-rate tennis bettor with nearly $2M profit bought Madison Keys, alongside one-sided flow from other wallets.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up about $1.96M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with $2.1M bet across 172 markets and the same 91% hit rate.
- Three wallets bought Madison Keys in the same window, totaling $5.9K of one-sided flow.
$2,300 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 92%
New profitable wallet in cluster
High composite alert from an 8-hour-old profitable repeat wallet joining a 3-wallet one-sided Madison Keys cluster during a pre-event volume spike.
- An 8-hour-old wallet already has 9 positions and is up $1.3k.
- Three wallets are betting the same way on Madison Keys, totaling $5.9k.
- Market volume is running about 10x normal ahead of the match.
$1,383 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 17%
Six-wallet Mboko cluster
Six wallets bought $11.6k of Mboko into a major pre-match volume spike, including one long-term bettor with a 78% record and positive P&L, though opposing Keys flow tempers the signal.
- Six wallets put $11.6k on Mboko, creating a clear same-side cluster before the match.
- One Mboko buyer has won 78% of 1,119 resolved bets and is up $50k lifetime.
- Market volume is running 10x above normal, but there is also smaller opposing Keys flow.
$11,606 on Victoria Mboko
Profitable whale backs favorite
A highly profitable, heavily active wallet is backing Madison Keys at 90¢ amid a major pre-match volume surge, though the signal is weaker because the market is very liquid and the bet is modest relative to volume.
- This wallet is up about $598K lifetime across more than 7,600 resolved bets.
- It bought Madison Keys at 90¢, slightly below the current 92¢ market price.
- Market volume is spiking nearly 40x before the match, supporting the move toward Keys.
$6,350 on Madison Keys | Wallet win rate: 53%
Top Holders
- 0x37e4...c991 — Outcome 23426937, $231,092 (76% win rate)
- 0x780a...84f0 — Outcome 23426937, $150,000 (85% win rate)
- 0xc117...de2f — Outcome 23426937, $31,418 (100% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 23426937, $23,757 (55% win rate)
- 0xe524...d34f — Outcome 48687625, $15,433 (49% win rate)
- 0x6f3e...bcf8 — Outcome 48687625, $12,926 (47% win rate)
- 0x2005...75ea — Outcome 23426937, $11,600 (56% win rate)
- 0xa742...68c5 — Outcome 23426937, $10,472 (63% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Outcome 23426937, $9,933 (80% win rate)
- 0x5375...aeea — Outcome 23426937, $9,096 (44% win rate)
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