Part of: Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

This tennis prediction market covers the Antalya 4 match between Francesca Jones and Rositsa Dencheva, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026. It resolves to the player who advances; the market currently has $3,203 in tracked smart money across two signals, while live odds may change on Polymarket.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,258.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

97% win-rate serial bettor

A highly proven bettor with a 97% win rate and 47-point edge bought Francesca Jones at 68%, making this a notable contrarian position despite the market moving to 40%.

  • This bettor has won 269 of 276 resolved trades, with a $375,818 lifetime profit and a 47-point edge over average odds.
  • The wallet actively trades across 248 events and 250 markets, suggesting a broad, repeatable betting process rather than a one-off wager.
  • Francesca Jones was bought at 68% while the market now prices her at 40%, making this a high-conviction contrarian position after a sharp 1-day decline.

$1,847 on Francesca Jones | Wallet win rate: 97%

Sharp serial cross-market bettor

A proven, highly active bettor with a 75% win rate and substantial edge added to Francesca Jones, though the existing two-sided position makes this trade less clean to copy.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 146 resolved trades and is up nearly $80,000.
  • They have traded 50 events and reportedly beat implied odds by 26%, suggesting a meaningful long-term edge.
  • The position is hedged with existing Rositsa shares, and Francesca has since fallen from the 65¢ entry to about 40¢.

$1,356 on Francesca Jones | Wallet win rate: 73%

Three-wallet Jones buying surge

Three wallets committed $23.5K to Francesca Jones amid a 67.9x volume spike, creating a meaningful coordinated tennis-market signal despite mixed trader track records.

  • Three wallets bought Francesca Jones for $23,458 during a 67.9x spike in typical market activity.
  • The largest buyer has won 70% of 71,084 resolved bets and earned $6.7M lifetime, though its average winning entry is relatively high at 75¢.
  • The cluster's blended entry was about 54¢, while Jones now trades near 56¢ after notable recent price movement.

$4,207 on Francesca Jones

Sharp bettor scaling into Rositsa

A highly profitable serial sports trader with a 76% win rate and substantial existing Rositsa position is adding to a contrarian tennis bet in a relatively thin market.

  • This bettor wins 76% of 200 resolved trades and is up $418,242 lifetime.
  • They are adding to a $16,364 Rositsa position after buying at 31%, despite the market now pricing her at 22%.
  • The bet is a meaningful 37% of the market’s 24-hour volume, while Rositsa’s price has fallen 9 percentage points from entry.

$1,849 on Rositsa Dencheva | Wallet win rate: 75%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9c68...247a Outcome 10761571, $28,348 (47% win rate)
  2. 0xe98c...8792 Outcome 10761571, $2,731 (97% win rate)
  3. 0xae5c...5df7 Outcome 10761571, $1,700 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x41a6...fcf2 Outcome 10761571, $1,429 (92% win rate)
  5. 0x9ec2...bd08 Outcome 20862194, $1,385 (42% win rate)
  6. 0x581f...9d8e Outcome 10761571, $1,047 (80% win rate)
  7. 0x6b3f...67f1 Outcome 10761571, $952
  8. 0x125a...4f02 Outcome 10761571, $857 (96% win rate)
  9. 0x26a7...4fba Outcome 10761571, $769
  10. 0xecb0...2329 Outcome 10761571, $515

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Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

4dAntalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva$9,258 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Francesca Jones and Rositsa Dencheva in the Antalya 4, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francesca Jones' if Francesca Jones advances against Rositsa Dencheva. This market will resolve to 'Rositsa Dencheva' if Rositsa Dencheva advances against Francesca Jones. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Francesca Jones
73¢
61¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

1d ago

$1,847 on Francesca Jones at 68¢

Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

1d ago

$1,356 on Francesca Jones at 65¢

Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

1d ago

$4,207 on Francesca Jones at 54¢

Antalya 4: Francesca Jones vs Rositsa Dencheva

1d ago

$1,849 on Rositsa Dencheva at 31¢

Related Theses