Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $133,188.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
New wallet up $225K
A 19-day-old wallet with heavy repeat betting history and $225K reported profit is adding $4.2K to Yes on the draw at 12¢, with the market now at 14¢.
- This new wallet is already up $225K despite being only 19 days old.
- It has been flagged 50 times with $318K in notable bets, suggesting this is not a one-off wager.
- The bettor entered at 12¢ and the draw price has already moved to 14¢.
$4,208 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable new wallet scaling in
A repeat new-wallet bettor with large flagged volume and strong early profits is buying the draw at 11–12¢ ahead of a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 19-day-old wallet has already put $317k into flagged bets and is up $225k so far.
- They bought $11k of Yes at 11–12¢, a concentrated bet on a low-probability draw outcome.
- Market activity is running 23.7x above normal before the match, supporting the idea that money is moving in early.
$11,035 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 75%
High-hit-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports wallet with an 81% resolved hit rate is buying the draw at 11¢ amid a large pre-event volume spike, though lifetime P&L is slightly negative.
- This bettor has won 81% of 62 resolved positions, far above the prices they usually enter at.
- They are buying the draw at 11¢, implying a longshot view with roughly 9x payout if correct.
- Market volume has spiked 76x versus its historical pace ahead of the match.
$2,736 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 87%
Sharp 18-wallet draw surge
Large coordinated Yes buying from 18 wallets, including several profitable sharp bettors, drove a major price move on the draw outcome.
- 18 wallets bought about $101k of Yes, pushing the draw price sharply higher.
- One buyer wins 93% of resolved bets and is up $163k lifetime; another wins 85% over 201 bets and is up $54k.
- The cluster entered mostly around 40¢–62¢ before Yes reached 76¢, so this looks like early informed positioning.
$101,107 on Yes
Profitable new sports wallet
A 3-day-old wallet with early profits and repeated large flagged bets bought the draw at 11¢ during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 3-day-old bettor is already up $6,038 with 6 wins in 7 resolved bets.
- They have now been flagged 8 times, with $24,628 total in notable positions.
- Market activity is surging, with volume 367x above its historical average before the match.
$3,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%
91% winner buys longshot draw
A proven profitable bettor with a 91% historical win rate bought the draw at 11¢ amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $292k lifetime.
- They bought the draw at 11¢, implying a high-upside longshot if their soccer edge is real.
- Market activity surged 367x versus its historical average before the match.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable wallet on thin draw
A profitable but still small-sample wallet put $10k into a thin soccer draw market, triggering a major pre-event volume spike and repeated low-activity large-bet signals.
- This wallet is 5-for-5 on resolved bets and is up about $20k lifetime.
- A $10k buy dwarfed the market’s prior activity, with each trade several times larger than normal 24h volume.
- Entry around 10¢ suggests a high-upside draw bet, though the market has since slipped to 8¢.
$10,002 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 31438439, $882,651
- 0x4f29...7a7e — Outcome 31438439, $136,010 (54% win rate)
- 0xd696...8a49 — Outcome 31438439, $59,337 (89% win rate)
- 0x9703...69c2 — Outcome 31438439, $56,598
- 0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 31438439, $35,627 (63% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 31438439, $15,820 (61% win rate)
- 0x225b...9a83 — Outcome 31438439, $12,978 (53% win rate)
- 0x4572...5e86 — Outcome 31438439, $9,400 (74% win rate)
- 0x005c...a987 — Outcome 31438439, $8,000
- 0xd6cc...be4e — Outcome 31438439, $7,400 (52% win rate)
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