Part of: Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

13 smart money signals detected, totaling $222,958.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Sharp cluster backing underdog

Multiple highly profitable esports bettors bought $78.7k of Aurora together, though the market has since moved sharply against them.

  • Several proven bettors backed Aurora together, including wallets with 94%, 91%, and 80% win records.
  • The cluster put $78.7k on the same side at roughly 45¢, a large coordinated underdog position.
  • Aurora is now priced around 13¢, far below their entry, so this is a high-risk follow if their thesis still holds.

$78,678 on Aurora

94% sharp moving line

Elite 94% win-rate wallet bought Team Spirit at 65¢, contributing to a major pre-event volume spike and 31-point price move.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $230,987 lifetime.
  • They bought $5,000 of Team Spirit at 65¢ before the market jumped to 87¢.
  • Volume spiked 138x above normal, with Team Spirit’s price up 31 points.

$5,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable new esports whale

A profitable 2-day-old wallet bought Team Spirit at 56¢ ahead of a major 31-point move, alongside a huge pre-event volume spike.

  • This 2-day-old bettor is already 5-for-5 and up $1,648 on $7,196 invested.
  • They bought Team Spirit at 56¢ before the market surged to 87¢.
  • Market volume spiked 138x above normal, suggesting broader sharp interest in the same direction.

$2,000 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 81%

94% winner joins Aurora cluster

Elite 94% win-rate bettor bought Aurora alongside heavy one-sided cluster flow and a major pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade candidate despite the price moving against entry.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $457,975 lifetime.
  • 11 wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling $101,917 on one side.
  • Market volume spiked 109x before the match, suggesting a coordinated move into Aurora.

$5,731 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 95%

91% winner joins Aurora cluster

A highly profitable 91% win-rate bettor bought Aurora alongside a large 11-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market moving against their 40¢ entry.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $1.31M lifetime.
  • 11 wallets bought the same Aurora side for $101,917 total, showing strong one-way conviction.
  • Aurora was bought at 40¢ and is now around 30¢, offering a cheaper entry than the sharp bettor paid.

$2,102 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 91%

94% sharp joins Aurora cluster

Elite 94% win-rate wallet bought Aurora alongside a large 11-wallet one-sided cluster despite the market now moving against the entry.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $2.9M lifetime.
  • 11 wallets bought Aurora in the same window, totaling about $102K on one side.
  • They entered Aurora at 45¢, while the market now sits near 30¢ after heavy pre-match volume.

$4,499 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 95%

Profitable serial sports bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader with 825 resolved bets and over $511k lifetime profit is buying Aurora at 36¢ amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 71% of 825 resolved bets and is up $511k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with over $1.0M tracked across 209 markets.
  • Buying Aurora at 36¢ suggests they see value against the current favorite.

$1,267 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 71%

Profitable serial event trader

Profitable serial cross-market bettor with a large sample is buying Team Spirit amid a sharp pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor is up $124.8K across 731 resolved markets with a 60% hit rate.
  • They have traded 80 events and 91 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market process.
  • Volume is running 33.7x normal before the match, adding momentum behind the Team Spirit buy.

$2,390 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 62%

Serial trader on volume spike

Experienced cross-market bettor placed a $10.2K Team Spirit buy amid a 34x pre-event volume spike, though their lifetime edge appears modest.

  • This bettor has 1,147 resolved bets and is up about $50K lifetime.
  • They bought $10.2K of Team Spirit at 63¢ before the match.
  • Market activity spiked 34x, suggesting fresh pre-game positioning.

$10,157 on Team Spirit | Wallet win rate: 61%

13-wallet sharp cluster

A high-score Team Spirit cluster combines $79k of coordinated buying with multiple highly profitable serial traders and a strong pre-event volume surge, though opposing Aurora flow makes it contested.

  • Multiple proven bettors are backing Team Spirit, including wallets with 92–94% win rates and over $450k combined profit.
  • Thirteen wallets bought $79k on the same side as the price moved from the mid-50s to around 70¢.
  • This market has a major volume spike, but there is also heavy Aurora buying, so the signal is strong but contested.

$79,171 on Team Spirit

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ea...d96a Outcome 60976591, $181,346 (62% win rate)
  2. 0x0dcf...c556 Outcome 60976591, $61,281 (95% win rate)
  3. 0xffe9...a70e Outcome 60976591, $25,000 (75% win rate)
  4. 0x2146...d41b Outcome 60976591, $21,785 (59% win rate)
  5. 0x9eca...5a59 Outcome 60976591, $20,358 (91% win rate)
  6. 0xd06c...cdaf Outcome 60976591, $20,007 (91% win rate)
  7. 0xdc40...89cf Outcome 60976591, $18,000 (62% win rate)
  8. 0xfa88...85a5 Outcome 60976591, $13,746 (75% win rate)
  9. 0xf3ce...a57a Outcome 60976591, $12,459 (95% win rate)
  10. 0x87da...53d1 Outcome 60976591, $10,778 (75% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

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Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs$222,958 tracked13 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Team Spirit and Aurora in the DreamLeague Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 21 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Spirit" if Team Spirit win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against Team Spirit. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$78,678 on Aurora at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$5,000 on Team Spirit at 65¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$2,000 on Team Spirit at 56¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$5,731 on Aurora at 46¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$2,102 on Aurora at 40¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$4,499 on Aurora at 45¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$1,267 on Aurora at 36¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$2,390 on Team Spirit at 64¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$10,157 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$79,171 on Team Spirit at 61¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$27,000 on Team Spirit at 62¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$2,962 on Team Spirit at 63¢

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

41d ago

$2,000 on Team Spirit at 60¢

Related Theses