Part of: Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B
This prediction market covers the Counter-Strike 2 best-of-three match between Astralis and Legacy in the IEM Atlanta Group B upper bracket semifinal. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with cancellation, tie, or a delay beyond 7 days resulting in a 50-50 resolution. PolySpotter is tracking $1,500 in smart money and 1 signal, including alerts tied to profitable esports bettors and underdog buying.
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Astralis and Legacy in the IEM Atlanta Group B, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis win the match against Legacy. This market will resolve to "Legacy" if Legacy win the match against Astralis. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
22 smart money signals detected, totaling $214,916.
Categories: Esports, counter strike 2, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
92% sharp underdog bettor
Sharp wallet with a 92% resolved win rate and $454k profit bought the Astralis underdog despite the market moving lower afterward.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up about $454k lifetime.
- They have traded across 186 events with the same 92% win rate, making the wallet itself the main signal.
- They bought Astralis at 12¢ as a long-shot underdog, and the market is now cheaper around 8¢.
$1,500 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 92%
High-volume esports regular
Serial cross-market esports bettor with a 73% hit rate made a $10.8k Legacy buy that coincided with an 18-point move, though lifetime P&L is negative and average odds are high.
- This bettor has traded across 217 events with a 73% hit rate over 1,391 resolved markets.
- They put $10.8k on Legacy at 85¢, and the price has already moved to 88¢.
- The bet aligns with a sharp 18-point move toward Legacy in a liquid $813k market.
$10,772 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 73%
New repeat esports whale
A 13-hour-old repeat new wallet is placing another sizable Astralis bet, with early profit and enough composite strength to surface despite the liquid market.
- A brand-new wallet has already been flagged 3 times, with $5.9K in notable bets in its first 13 hours.
- The wallet is off to a strong start, up $3.2K on $6.2K invested from its first resolved win.
- This $2.7K buy came at 30¢, suggesting they see Astralis as underpriced despite the market favoring Legacy.
$2,687 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial trader
Serial cross-market esports/sports trader with large history and strong lifetime profit bought Legacy despite only a modest composite signal.
- This bettor is up $218,987 across 781 resolved trades, with $7.8M previously invested.
- They have traded across 40 events and 45 related markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market betting process.
- Entry at 71¢ backs the current favorite while leaving room if their edge is right.
$3,308 on Legacy | Wallet win rate: 57%
Brand-new esports whale
A brand-new wallet has quickly deployed over $12.8k in flagged bets and bought $5.2k of Astralis at 30¢ after a sharp price drop, suggesting fresh high-conviction positioning despite no resolved track record yet.
- This wallet is only 2 hours old but has already placed $12.8k in flagged bets.
- They bought $5.2k of Astralis at 30¢ after the price fell 10 points in under 4 minutes.
- Entry at 30¢ implies a ~3.3x payout if Astralis wins.
$5,204 on Astralis
Profitable serial bettor cluster
Surface: despite this wallet's own entry moving against it, the alert combines a profitable high-volume serial trader with a major 3-wallet same-direction Astralis cluster and a large pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor is up $647K lifetime across nearly 2,000 resolved bets.
- Three wallets bought Astralis in the same window for a combined $108K.
- Market volume spiked 144x before the match, suggesting a rush of positioning.
$1,453 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 56%
Three-wallet Astralis push
Despite this wallet’s weak lifetime P&L, the alert is worth surfacing because three wallets have pushed over $107k one-sided into Astralis alongside a 144x pre-event volume spike.
- Three wallets are all buying Astralis, totaling about $108k on the same side.
- Market activity spiked 144x above normal before the match, suggesting unusual pre-event conviction.
- This wallet’s own track record is weak, but its average entry near 55¢ is now available cheaper around 46¢.
$7,351 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 64%
Sharp bettor plus Astralis cluster
Sharp profitable esports bettor with an 87% record is buying Astralis alongside linked and one-sided cluster flow.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up about $1.0M lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying Astralis, with $113.6K flowing the same way.
- Three linked wallets share a funder and have nearly $98.8K positioned, adding conviction.
$10,400 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 87%
Profitable serial trader joins cluster
Profitable serial cross-market trader joined a strong 6-wallet one-sided Astralis buy cluster amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 66% of 327 resolved trades and is up about $147K lifetime.
- Six wallets are all buying Astralis, totaling $113K in the same direction.
- Market volume spiked 119x before the match, suggesting a sharp wave of positioning.
$1,250 on Astralis | Wallet win rate: 66%
92% winner buying underdog
Surface because a highly profitable 92% win-rate bettor bought Astralis at 12¢, supported by same-direction cluster flow despite earlier entries being underwater.
- A bettor who wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $454k bought Astralis at 12¢.
- Three wallets put $5.6k on the same Astralis side, including two entries around 30¢.
- Current 12¢ odds are far better than the earlier 30¢ cluster entries.
$5,587 on Astralis
Top Holders
- 0xa5ea...d96a — Legacy, $526,581 (58% win rate)
- 0x5966...f804 — Astralis, $190,094 (87% win rate)
- 0x47a8...52f9 — Astralis, $66,725 (100% win rate)
- 0x5e6e...be00 — Astralis, $59,999 (52% win rate)
- 0x1341...0853 — Astralis, $50,860 (86% win rate)
- 0x5c3a...020b — Astralis, $50,000 (56% win rate)
- 0xba38...e406 — Astralis, $40,000 (56% win rate)
- 0x21ec...5348 — Legacy, $35,456 (57% win rate)
- 0xcc8f...a7bb — Legacy, $30,106 (73% win rate)
- 0xe405...c67e — Astralis, $20,000 (58% win rate)
