Part of: Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

This Polymarket market asks whether Avengers: Doomsday will have the second-highest 3-day domestic opening weekend among movies released in 2026. The current odds are not included in the supplied market data; it resolves using final opening-weekend figures from The Numbers, with a stated resolution date of January 1, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

1 smart money signal detected, totaling $1,815.

Categories: Movies, Culture, The Odyssey, Spider-Man

Notable Trades

Serial bettor with $165K profit

A highly profitable serial cross-market trader is adding to an existing Yes position, with the market also trending upward.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 52 resolved bets and is up $165,528 overall.
  • They added $1,815 to an existing Yes position at 61¢ as odds rose 10.5% over the week.

$1,815 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0xa5ef...2966 — No, $15,713
  2. 0x97f3...0eba — Yes, $9,380 (41% win rate)
  3. 0x4755...4158 — Yes, $5,738 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x44c1...ebc1 — No, $4,773 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x9d84...1344 — Yes, $1,879 (44% win rate)
  6. 0x9aeb...2729 — Yes, $1,857 (67% win rate)
  7. 0x62cf...5826 — Yes, $1,753 (65% win rate)
  8. 0xa8c6...44e8 — Yes, $771 (68% win rate)
  9. 0x21f4...b8ad — No, $708 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x43ac...efa9 — No, $694

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Neither SpaceX nor Anthropic leads

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Spider-Man gross stays below $800M

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Spider-Man has 2026’s biggest opening

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Doomsday scores 2026’s second-biggest opening

Covers 1 related market

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Which movie has 2nd biggest opening weekend in 2026?$1,815 tracked1 signalMoviesCultureThe OdysseySpider-Man
Yes
47¢
No
53¢

This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses the second-most domestically on its opening weekend among all movies in 2026. The "Weekend Box Office Performance" table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/movies/year/2026 will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend are final (i.e. not studio estimates). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses the second-most on its 3-day domestic opening weekend among all movies in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The named movies will be primarily ranked by domestic opening weekend gross. If two or more movies are tied on domestic opening weekend gross, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's 3-day opening weekend (Friday, Saturday, Sunday), regardless of whether the movie has a 4 or 5-day opening weekend. If another movie's opening weekend box office performance surpasses the 2nd-place ranking after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No". If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

Price History — “No”
68¢
58¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

2026-10-06 05:41 UTC

$1,815 on Yes at 61¢

61¢→47¢↓14¢

Related Theses