Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,108.
Categories: Bitcoin, Up or Down, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, 5M
Notable Trades
98% serial crypto timer
A highly proven crypto micro-market bettor with a 98% win record bought Up near resolution, though the edge is mostly a fast-timing/settlement pattern rather than a tradable mispricing now.
- This bettor has won 98% of 5,302 resolved trades and is up $64K lifetime.
- They bought Up at 89¢ right as the 5-minute BTC market resolved, a pattern consistent with fast timing around Chainlink settlement.
- The trade was over 3x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a very thin market.
$1,082 on Up | Wallet win rate: 98%
93% BTC micro-market sharp
Sharp BTC micro-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Down despite the market being thin and near resolution.
- This bettor has won 43 of 46 resolved trades and is up $81,465 lifetime.
- They have repeatedly traded similar markets across 42 events with a 93% win rate.
- The $1,026 buy was over 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction on Down.
$1,026 on Down | Wallet win rate: 94%
Top Holders
- 0x1861...ff2a — Outcome 27428455, $3,793 (94% win rate)
- 0xb3fd...22c7 — Outcome 27428455, $1,982 (77% win rate)
- 0x1d78...e442 — Outcome 27428455, $1,111
- 0x0166...799c — Outcome 27428455, $1,000
- 0xc574...b9da — Outcome 27428455, $749 (55% win rate)
- 0x8ab4...ad1e — Outcome 27428455, $622
- 0xb66d...7ec1 — Outcome 27428455, $622
- 0xedb4...a0c0 — Outcome 27428455, $600
- 0xb64a...f2fa — Outcome 27428455, $500
- 0x9adc...84ec — Outcome 27428455, $417
Related Theses
Bitcoin rises by 4:50AM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises after 5 AM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin falls this interval
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin drops after midnight
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin drops within five minutes
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises after 1AM
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises in five minutes
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin will move higher
Covers 1 related market
Bitcoin rises in next five minutes
Covers 1 related market
Ethereum drops by 9:55PM
Covers 1 related market
