Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,108.

Categories: Bitcoin, Up or Down, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, 5M

Notable Trades

98% serial crypto timer

A highly proven crypto micro-market bettor with a 98% win record bought Up near resolution, though the edge is mostly a fast-timing/settlement pattern rather than a tradable mispricing now.

This bettor has won 98% of 5,302 resolved trades and is up $64K lifetime.
They bought Up at 89¢ right as the 5-minute BTC market resolved, a pattern consistent with fast timing around Chainlink settlement.
The trade was over 3x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a very thin market.

$1,082 on Up | Wallet win rate: 98%

93% BTC micro-market sharp

Sharp BTC micro-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Down despite the market being thin and near resolution.

This bettor has won 43 of 46 resolved trades and is up $81,465 lifetime.
They have repeatedly traded similar markets across 42 events with a 93% win rate.
The $1,026 buy was over 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction on Down.

$1,026 on Down | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

0x1861...ff2a — Outcome 27428455, $3,793 (94% win rate)
0xb3fd...22c7 — Outcome 27428455, $1,982 (77% win rate)
0x1d78...e442 — Outcome 27428455, $1,111
0x0166...799c — Outcome 27428455, $1,000
0xc574...b9da — Outcome 27428455, $749 (55% win rate)
0x8ab4...ad1e — Outcome 27428455, $622
0xb66d...7ec1 — Outcome 27428455, $622
0xedb4...a0c0 — Outcome 27428455, $600
0xb64a...f2fa — Outcome 27428455, $500
0x9adc...84ec — Outcome 27428455, $417

Related Theses

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2,108 tracked2 signalsBitcoinUp or DownHide From NewCryptoCrypto PricesRecurring5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.