Part of: Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

2 smart money signals detected, totaling $2,108.

Categories: Bitcoin, Up or Down, Crypto, Crypto Prices, Recurring, 5M

Notable Trades

98% serial crypto timer

A highly proven crypto micro-market bettor with a 98% win record bought Up near resolution, though the edge is mostly a fast-timing/settlement pattern rather than a tradable mispricing now.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 5,302 resolved trades and is up $64K lifetime.
  • They bought Up at 89¢ right as the 5-minute BTC market resolved, a pattern consistent with fast timing around Chainlink settlement.
  • The trade was over 3x the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a very thin market.

$1,082 on Up | Wallet win rate: 98%

93% BTC micro-market sharp

Sharp BTC micro-market bettor with a 93% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought Down despite the market being thin and near resolution.

  • This bettor has won 43 of 46 resolved trades and is up $81,465 lifetime.
  • They have repeatedly traded similar markets across 42 events with a 93% win rate.
  • The $1,026 buy was over 3x this market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction on Down.

$1,026 on Down | Wallet win rate: 94%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1861...ff2a Outcome 27428455, $3,793 (94% win rate)
  2. 0xb3fd...22c7 Outcome 27428455, $1,982 (77% win rate)
  3. 0x1d78...e442 Outcome 27428455, $1,111
  4. 0x0166...799c Outcome 27428455, $1,000
  5. 0xc574...b9da Outcome 27428455, $749 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x8ab4...ad1e Outcome 27428455, $622
  7. 0xb66d...7ec1 Outcome 27428455, $622
  8. 0xedb4...a0c0 Outcome 27428455, $600
  9. 0xb64a...f2fa Outcome 27428455, $500
  10. 0x9adc...84ec Outcome 27428455, $417

Related Theses

Bitcoin rises by 4:50AM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises after 5 AM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin falls this interval

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin drops after midnight

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin drops within five minutes

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises after 1AM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises in five minutes

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin will move higher

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin rises in next five minutes

Covers 1 related market

Ethereum drops by 9:55PM

Covers 1 related market

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

ResolvedBitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$2,108 tracked2 signalsBitcoinUp or DownHide From NewCryptoCrypto PricesRecurring5M

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Notable Trades

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

12d ago

$1,082 on Up at 89¢

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

12d ago

$1,026 on Down at 62¢

Related Theses