What is this Barcelona Open prediction market about?

This market asks which player will advance in the Barcelona Open match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Karen Khachanov. If Carabelli advances, the market resolves to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli'; if Khachanov advances, it resolves to 'Karen Khachanov'.

When does the Carabelli vs Khachanov market resolve?

The listed resolution date is April 20, 2026 at 08:00 UTC, though the outcome is based on the result of the scheduled April 13 match. Resolution can be delayed if official confirmation takes time or if the match is postponed within the allowed rules window.

What happens if the match is canceled or postponed?

If the match is canceled and not played at all, ends in a tie, or is delayed more than 7 days beyond the scheduled date without a winner, the market resolves according to the cancellation or invalid-market rules stated by the market.

Where can I track Carabelli vs Khachanov prediction market odds?

You can follow this matchup’s prediction market odds on PolySpotter, which monitors Polymarket pricing, smart money tracking, and notable bettor signals tied to the market.

Is there smart money activity on this match?

Yes. PolySpotter is tracking $2,204 in smart money on this market so far, with 1 smart money signal and recent alerts including activity from a 98% win-rate sports bettor, a repeat new-wallet whale, a sharp sports bettor dog play, and a perfect-record sports bettor.

Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov

This Polymarket covers the Barcelona Open tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Karen Khachanov, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00 AM ET. The market resolves to the player who advances from the match, with cancellation, ties, or delays beyond 7 days resulting in different resolution handling under market rules. PolySpotter tracks the latest prediction market odds, smart money activity, and bettor signals for this matchup.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $11,032.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

Sharp sports bettor dog play

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 73% win rate and $4.0M P&L bought Karen Khachanov at 30¢, making this a credible sharp sports position despite only one signal.

This bettor has won 73% of 2,257 resolved trades and is up $4.0M lifetime
They bought Karen Khachanov at 30¢, a low price that offers strong upside if their read is right
This wallet has traded 638 markets across 524 events, suggesting a repeatable multi-market edge

$2,204 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 73%

Perfect-record sports bettor

A serial cross-market sports bettor with a perfect 17-for-17 resolved record bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 67¢ in a liquid market that has already moved to 70¢.

This bettor is 17 for 17 on resolved markets and up nearly $12k
They have traded across 71 events for $176k total, which suggests a repeatable process rather than a one-off bet
Bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 67¢ and the market is already up to 70¢

$1,485 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 100%

98% win-rate sports bettor

A proven sharp sports bettor with a 98% win rate bought into a match drawing an unusual pre-event volume spike, making this a strong copy-trade despite the modest size.

This bettor wins 98% of resolved trades and is up $133k on $447k invested.
They have a long pattern across 91 event markets, which makes this look more like repeat skill than a one-off bet.
They bought Camilo Ugo Carabelli at 64¢ during a 132x volume spike, and the price has since fallen to 58¢.

$1,600 on Camilo Ugo Carabelli | Wallet win rate: 98%

Repeat new-wallet whale

A very new wallet has repeatedly placed large bets and is sizing into sports markets again with another $5.7k buy, suggesting notable conviction despite a limited track record.

This 1-day-old wallet has already triggered 9 large-bet alerts and put $25.6k to work
They added a fresh $5.7k buy on Karen Khachanov at 54¢, and the price has already moved up to 57¢
The track record is still small, but the wallet is already slightly profitable and active across 7 positions

$5,743 on Karen Khachanov | Wallet win rate: 43%

Top Holders

0x31c1...7047 — Outcome 71327292, $10,866 (35% win rate)
0x397e...1200 — Outcome 71327292, $10,570 (43% win rate)
0x7760...21f0 — Outcome 71327292, $2,969 (51% win rate)
0x01c7...e995 — Outcome 29638850, $1,624 (66% win rate)
0xbe22...b709 — Outcome 71327292, $1,509
0x507e...beae — Outcome 71327292, $1,476 (50% win rate)
0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 71327292, $1,218 (53% win rate)
0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 71327292, $1,130
0x204f...5e14 — Outcome 71327292, $1,068 (55% win rate)
0x5aa9...febe — Outcome 71327292, $1,043

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Barcelona Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Karen Khachanov

5d$11,032 tracked4 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers on the tennis match between Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Karen Khachanov in the Barcelona Open, scheduled for April 13 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Camilo Ugo Carabelli' if Camilo Ugo Carabelli advances against Karen Khachanov. This market will resolve to 'Karen Khachanov' if Karen Khachanov advances against Camilo Ugo Carabelli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Price History — “Camilo Ugo Carabelli”

102¢

67¢

32¢

Alert entriesHigh-conviction