Part of: Steelers vs. Bills
Steelers vs. Bills
7 smart money signals detected, totaling $38,871.
Categories: NFL, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Serial trader ahead of Bills breakout
A highly active serial trader bought Bills before a 26-point breakout beyond the market's historical range, though the trader's 62% win rate does not establish a strong long-term edge.
- This wallet has traded 1,327 markets across 1,024 events and deployed $34.8M overall.
- The $1,660 Bills purchase at 80¢ preceded a breakout 26 percentage points beyond the historical price range.
- The trade is already priced near 100%, so the original entry was far more attractive than the current market.
$1,660 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 63%
Large contrarian Bills position
A $16.1K contrarian Steelers sale during a 211.9x volume spike creates a notable implied Bills position, despite the bettor lacking a strong win-rate edge.
- The bettor sold $16,093 of Steelers at 89¢, equivalent to buying Bills around 11¢ in a heavily favored matchup.
- Trading activity surged to 211.9 times its historical average while Bills moved 23 percentage points in under five minutes.
- The wallet is up $230,523 across 1,433 resolved bets, though its 54% win rate is not an elite standalone track record.
$16,093 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 54%
97% bettor leads Bills cluster
A proven 97% bettor with substantial edge joined two other wallets in buying Bills at 54%, supporting a strong directional signal.
- This bettor wins 97% of resolved trades, with 287 wins from 297 positions and a $1.04M profit.
- Three wallets bought $6,778 of Bills at 54%, while Bills has already risen 12.5% over the past week.
- The sharp bettor is adding to an existing Bills position, signaling continued conviction rather than a routine exit.
$6,778 on Bills
97% Win-Rate Serial Trader Buys Bills
A highly profitable serial trader with a 97% win rate and substantial edge is newly buying Bills at 54%.
- This bettor has won 287 of 297 resolved positions, earning over $1.04 million.
- The trader’s 48% average entry price versus a 97% win rate indicates a substantial proven edge.
- Bills are being bought at 54% while the market has risen 12.5% over the past week.
$1,200 on Bills | Wallet win rate: 97%
Sharp cluster buying Steelers
Three wallets deployed $10,064 on Steelers amid a 956x volume spike, including a bettor with a 95% win rate and another with $3.3M lifetime profit.
- Three wallets bought $10,064 of Steelers during a 956x historical volume spike.
- One bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $7,373 on $449,258 invested.
- Steelers have risen 13.5% over the past week, with entries from 41¢ to 46¢ still below the current 46% implied probability.
$10,064 on Steelers
95% win-rate bettor adds Steelers
A highly proven bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is adding to an existing Steelers position at 41¢.
- This bettor has won 95% of 57 resolved trades and is up $7,373 overall.
- They are adding to an existing Steelers position at 41¢, while the market now prices it around 46%.
- The 41¢ entry implies a potentially attractive price if this bettor’s unusually strong track record is meaningful.
$1,025 on Steelers | Wallet win rate: 94%
99% winner backs Steelers
An exceptionally consistent bettor with 2,109 resolved positions and a 99% win rate made a concentrated Steelers purchase at 41 cents.
- This bettor has won 2,088 of 2,109 resolved positions and is up $17.8 million.
- The $2,050 Steelers purchase accounts for virtually all recent market volume, showing strong conviction despite the team trading near 40%.
- The bettor has applied this strategy across 1,274 events and 1,357 markets, making this more than an isolated wager.
$2,050 on Steelers | Wallet win rate: 99%
Top Holders
- 0xa22b...3525 — Outcome 19499147, $7,719 (67% win rate)
- 0xc3c3...eec8 — Outcome 19499147, $5,000 (99% win rate)
- 0x471b...b18f — Outcome 19499147, $2,800 (22% win rate)
- 0x746e...68ca — Outcome 19499147, $2,572 (94% win rate)
- 0xb4f9...c9a7 — Outcome 19499147, $2,551 (93% win rate)
- 0x2ad5...62ff — Outcome 19499147, $2,000 (71% win rate)
- 0x161a...4103 — Outcome 19499147, $1,929 (95% win rate)
- 0x5811...0976 — Outcome 19499147, $1,511 (45% win rate)
- 0xfc87...dd68 — Outcome 19499147, $1,438 (43% win rate)
- 0xd2cc...d361 — Outcome 19499147, $984
