22 wallets bought $147K of No in the same window, including a small linked-wallet cluster. No moved from around 60¢ entries to 92¢ after the flow, showing strong market confirmation. Caveat: the highlighted wallet bought both sides and is down lifetime, so this is mainly a crowd-flow signal.

Part of: Ecuador vs. Curaçao

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

50 smart money signals detected, totaling $1,377,406.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup

Notable Trades

93% winner backing favorite

Sharp sports bettor with a 93% record and strong lifetime profit bought $10k of Ecuador Yes despite only a modest signal score.

This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $162,794 lifetime.
They put $10,000 on Ecuador to win at 85¢ in a very liquid market.
Their past wins came at 66¢ average odds, suggesting a strong record beyond just betting heavy favorites.

$4,118 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

Profitable new whale buying Yes

A 4-day-old repeat whale with a perfect early record and $19k profit bought $27k of Ecuador Yes amid a major pre-event volume spike.

This new wallet is already 6-for-6 and up $19k after placing over $127k in flagged bets.
They added a fresh $27k position on Ecuador at 85¢, showing strong conviction despite a liquid market.
Market volume is running 42x above its historical average, suggesting broader pre-game positioning.

$13,119 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

22-wallet No surge

Strong coordinated No buying from 22 wallets moved the market sharply, though the highlighted wallet itself has a weak track record and also bought Yes.

22 wallets bought $147K of No in the same window, including a small linked-wallet cluster.
No moved from around 60¢ entries to 92¢ after the flow, showing strong market confirmation.
Caveat: the highlighted wallet bought both sides and is down lifetime, so this is mainly a crowd-flow signal.

$48,119 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%

87% winner joins Yes wave

A highly profitable 87% winner bought Ecuador Yes, backed by broad one-sided flow, though the market has moved sharply against the entry since the trade.

This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $670k lifetime.
23 wallets bought the same side, totaling $221k on Ecuador Yes.
The entry was 57¢, but the market has since fallen to about 30¢.

$5,699 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp bettor joins No wave

A highly profitable 78% lifetime winner sold Yes into a large coordinated No move, with 21 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the same direction.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $1.34M lifetime.
21 wallets are all moving the same way, totaling $226K on No.
They are cutting a prior Yes position after a sharp 37-point one-day move against Ecuador.

$5,000 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Sharp bettor in Yes cluster

A profitable 76% serial cross-market bettor joined a large 23-wallet Yes buying wave, though the market has since moved sharply against the entry.

This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $12.2K lifetime.
23 wallets bought the same side, totaling $221K in Yes exposure.
The entry was 56¢, but Yes has since fallen to 30¢, making this a high-risk follow.

$4,063 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 73%

Sharp bettor joins No wave

A highly profitable 78% lifetime winner sold Yes into a large coordinated No move, with 21 wallets and a major pre-event volume spike supporting the same direction.

This bettor wins 78% of resolved bets and is up $1.34M lifetime.
21 wallets are all moving the same way, totaling $226K on No.
They are cutting a prior Yes position after a sharp 37-point one-day move against Ecuador.

$28,902 on No | Wallet win rate: 78%

Profitable bettor joins 21-wallet No flow

High-conviction anti-Ecuador flow: a profitable serial sports bettor joined 21 wallets buying No amid a major volume spike and rapid price move.

This bettor has won 64% of 924 resolved bets and is up $371K lifetime.
21 wallets bought the same side, totaling $226K on No.
Market volume spiked 96x and No jumped 11 points in 5 minutes.

$1,798 on No | Wallet win rate: 54%

Sharp caught in opposing flow

High-scoring but conflicted Ecuador alert: a profitable 78% bettor joined a $68k Yes cluster, yet the larger coordinated flow and price action strongly favored No.

A bettor who wins 78% of resolved trades and is up $1.34M bought Yes around 39¢.
Six wallets put $67.8k on Yes, but a larger 22-wallet linked cluster put $147.4k on the other side.
The market has moved hard against Yes, falling to 8¢ after the trades.

$67,757 on Yes

Sharp serial sports bettor

Sharp serial cross-market trader with an 86% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought $112.7k of Ecuador Yes at 84¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades and is up about $95.9k lifetime.
They have a long cross-market track record: 28 events, 31 markets, and $884k traded.
This is a large $112.7k buy at 84¢, showing strong conviction in Ecuador to win.

$75,166 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 81%

Top Holders

0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 69882362, $882,651
0xfaa2...e80a — Outcome 70795959, $85,985 (76% win rate)
0x6501...1220 — Outcome 70795959, $64,017 (100% win rate)
0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 70795959, $43,742 (61% win rate)
0x7879...3653 — Outcome 70795959, $42,666 (99% win rate)
0x8b2c...d7e6 — Outcome 70795959, $40,000 (97% win rate)
0x8b5a...00f2 — Outcome 70795959, $30,000 (51% win rate)
0xea79...a9cc — Outcome 70795959, $23,529 (67% win rate)
0x8b26...1bab — Outcome 70795959, $19,229 (100% win rate)
0xdf80...3259 — Outcome 70795959, $17,500 (68% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye avoids defeat

Covers 3 related markets

Belgium won't beat Egypt

Covers 3 related markets

Germany dominates Curaçao shutout

Covers 6 related markets

Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil-Japan match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

Türkiye-US match gets played

Covers 3 related markets

Japan-Sweden match will happen

Covers 3 related markets

A favorite wins World Cup

Covers 7 related markets

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

ResolvedEcuador vs. Curaçao$1,377,406 tracked50 signalsSportsGamesSoccerFIFA World Cup

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 20, 2026 If Ecuador wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.