Part of: Argentina vs. Algeria - More Markets

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

5 smart money signals detected, totaling $57,204.

Categories: Sports, Soccer, FIFA World Cup, Games

Notable Trades

Profitable wallets fading blowout

High-scoring coordinated Algeria fade with multiple profitable serial sports traders, including a 77% winner effectively buying Algeria at 14¢ after Argentina's price spiked.

  • A bettor who wins 77% of resolved bets and is up $58.8k effectively bought Algeria at 14¢.
  • Five wallets put $28.4k on Algeria’s side, including two profitable serial cross-market traders.
  • Argentina’s price just surged about 67 points, making this a sharp contrarian fade after a huge move.

$28,393 on Algeria

$1.7M-winning sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports trader bought Argentina -2.5 during a major pre-event volume spike, despite the market later moving against the entry.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 212 resolved bets and is up about $1.7M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, with activity across 375 events and over $6.5M invested.
  • They bought Argentina -2.5 at 41¢ during a 45x volume spike, though the market is now lower at 32¢.

$4,791 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 84%

Three-wallet spread cluster

Coordinated $21.5k buying on Algeria +2.5 came alongside a 45x pre-game volume spike and a serial cross-market bettor with a strong hit rate, though one large participant has poor lifetime P&L.

  • Three wallets bought the same side for $21.5k during a 45x pre-game volume surge.
  • A serial cross-market bettor is involved, with bets across 97 events and a 68% win rate.
  • Most fills were around 61–67¢, and the position now trades near 68¢.

$21,478 on Algeria

85% winner backs spread

Sharp sports wallet with an 85% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L bought Algeria on the +2.5 spread at 80¢.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $888 on $2,821 invested.
  • They bought Algeria at 80¢, betting Argentina will not win by 3 or more goals.
  • The wallet has 46 resolved positions, so the track record is meaningful enough to follow.

$1,114 on Algeria | Wallet win rate: 85%

87% winner buying longshot

Sharp sports/cross-market bettor with an 87% record and $666k lifetime profit bought Argentina -2.5 at 23¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $666k lifetime.
  • They have traded 196 events across 225 markets, suggesting a repeatable cross-market edge.
  • Entry at 23¢ implies a potential ~4.3x payout if Argentina win by 3+ goals.

$1,428 on Argentina | Wallet win rate: 84%

Top Holders

  1. 0x2005...75ea Outcome 11364839, $20,879 (56% win rate)
  2. 0xbc43...96d3 Outcome 11364839, $20,000 (76% win rate)
  3. 0x2a69...d2f7 Outcome 11364839, $19,336 (72% win rate)
  4. 0x8325...19cc Outcome 11364839, $8,077 (60% win rate)
  5. 0xd48a...6e90 Outcome 11364839, $6,924 (69% win rate)
  6. 0x896e...53f2 Outcome 11364839, $5,147 (85% win rate)
  7. 0x2067...c315 Outcome 11364839, $3,576
  8. 0x52d9...fb1a Outcome 11364839, $2,893 (72% win rate)
  9. 0xc718...64a8 Outcome 11364839, $2,536 (61% win rate)
  10. 0x2c2a...267e Outcome 11364839, $2,322 (80% win rate)

Related Theses

Germany wins by six plus

Covers 3 related markets

Argentina, France, or Spain wins

Covers 3 related markets

Spain wins comfortably

Covers 3 related markets

Brazil wins by four plus

Covers 3 related markets

Vasco win by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

PSG wins 2026 Champions League

Covers 1 related market

Spain wins by multiple goals

Covers 1 related market

G2 wins VCT Americas Stage 1

Covers 1 related market

Morocco wins by three-plus

Covers 1 related market

Palmeiras will win August 5

Covers 1 related market

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

ResolvedArgentina vs. Algeria - More Markets$57,204 tracked5 signalsSportsSoccerFIFA World CupGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 16 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Argentina" if Argentina win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Algeria". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

53d ago

$28,393 on Algeria at 14¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

53d ago

$4,791 on Argentina at 41¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

53d ago

$21,478 on Algeria at 68¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

53d ago

$1,114 on Algeria at 80¢

Spread: Argentina (-2.5)

54d ago

$1,428 on Argentina at 23¢

Related Theses