Part of: Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
This market asks whether Predict.fun’s governance token will have a fully diluted valuation above $600 million one day after launch. The outcome is based on total token supply multiplied by token price at 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day after the token becomes publicly transferable and tradable, with market resolution listed for Jan. 1, 2028. PolySpotter is tracking $2,068 in smart money activity, including a YES buy signal from an 82% winner and activity from a 92% win-rate bettor.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Predict.fun's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Predict.fun (https://predict.fun/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
2 smart money signals detected, totaling $3,400.
Categories: Crypto, Predict.fun, FDV, Pre-Market, fdv
Notable Trades
82% winner buying YES
Sharp-wallet override: an 82% winning bettor with positive lifetime P&L is taking Yes exposure on a relatively quiet crypto FDV market.
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved bets and is up $1.5k lifetime.
- They took $2.1k of Yes exposure, equal to about 27% of the market’s 24h volume.
- Entry at 31¢ gives cheaper Yes exposure than the current 34¢ market price.
$2,068 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 82%
92% win-rate bettor
A bettor with a 92% win rate is taking the equivalent of a fresh Yes position here, and their cross-market event trading makes this worth surfacing despite the modest size.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades across 106 bets
- They sold No at 74¢, which is equivalent to buying Yes at 26¢
- They are trading multiple markets tied to the same event, suggesting a deliberate thesis
$1,332 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xf27b...6104 — Yes, $23,351
- 0x05ab...8145 — No, $12,439 (45% win rate)
- 0xc88e...f3e1 — No, $10,000 (37% win rate)
- 0x5bff...ffbe — No, $9,861 (47% win rate)
- 0x9ab0...cbb6 — Yes, $7,400
- 0x1ca4...f2d4 — No, $6,403
- 0x66ad...cc4e — Yes, $5,000 (92% win rate)
- 0x6138...97a0 — No, $5,000 (51% win rate)
- 0x77fc...c044 — Yes, $4,424
- 0xd48a...6e90 — No, $4,412 (68% win rate)
