Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $6,126.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil bettor across 5 markets
A profitable high-volume wallet is building a broader cross-market thesis on WTI, with $96.9k across five related markets despite this individual fill being modest.
- This wallet is up $267k lifetime and is active at large size across prediction markets.
- It has $96.9k positioned across 5 related WTI markets, suggesting a clear oil-price thesis.
- This buy at 33¢ implies they see upside versus the current 34¢ market price.
$1,100 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable high-volume wallet is building a broader WTI thesis across five related markets, though this individual entry is modest and not backed by sharp win-rate signals.
- This wallet is up $267K lifetime and has put $73.9K across five related WTI markets.
- The trade is part of a broader oil-price thesis, not an isolated small bet.
- Entry at 33¢ implies roughly 3-to-1 upside if WTI reaches the target.
$1,352 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 41%
New wallet fading oil rally
A 3-day-old repeat large bettor is buying No on WTI $80 with early profits and a small cross-market oil thesis, supported by recent Yes price weakness.
- This 3-day-old wallet has already made 3 flagged large bets totaling $4.7k and is currently up $169.
- They are buying No at 77¢, betting WTI will not reach the $80 low threshold in May.
- The market has moved 6.5 points toward No over the past day, aligning with this trade.
$2,260 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%
74% serial macro bettor
Profitable serial cross-market trader with a 74% resolved win rate is buying No, though the position size is modest relative to market liquidity.
- This bettor has won 74% of 1,010 resolved trades and is up $164K lifetime.
- They are a highly active cross-market trader, with $1.58M deployed across 244 related markets.
- Buying No at 75¢ suggests they see the $80 WTI threshold as unlikely despite active market volume.
$1,414 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xe734...4f0c — Yes, $28,543 (41% win rate)
- 0x4bbe...2cf3 — No, $15,554 (78% win rate)
- 0xcbab...9a8a — No, $9,340 (78% win rate)
- 0x6e4b...3c6d — Yes, $5,200 (44% win rate)
- 0x3b7e...23eb — No, $5,000
- 0xf9c1...39e2 — No, $4,996 (100% win rate)
- 0x777f...a1bb — Yes, $3,873 (79% win rate)
- 0x2f63...f247 — No, $3,333 (100% win rate)
- 0x5bc1...d9ed — Yes, $3,139
- 0x5f45...a77a — No, $3,113 (63% win rate)
