Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
19 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,213.
Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil
Notable Trades
Profitable oil cross-market whale
Profitable wallet is expressing a large cross-market WTI thesis across 15 related markets, with this buy aligning with recent upward price momentum.
- This wallet is up $261k lifetime and has deployed $755.8k across 15 related WTI markets.
- They flipped from a prior No position into buying Yes at 12¢, suggesting a change in conviction.
- The market has moved up 4 points today and 6 points this week, supporting the same direction.
$3,579 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
Profitable oil ladder trader
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI ladder thesis across 14 related markets, though this specific leg is modest-sized.
- This wallet is up $228K lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 14 related WTI markets with about $630K in total exposure.
- This 17¢ entry is a low-probability oil move bet with clear upside if their broader crude thesis is right.
$1,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
75% serial macro trader
Sharp serial cross-market wallet with a 75% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on a WTI oil market despite only a modest trade size.
- This bettor has won 75% of 1,042 resolved trades and is up about $162K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 254 markets with $1.66M in flagged volume.
- Entry at 72¢ suggests a lower-risk copy trade on No, with the market still showing tight 1¢ spreads.
$1,052 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%
Profitable oil ladder trader
Profitable high-volume wallet is making a cheap Yes bet as part of a much larger cross-market WTI ladder position.
- This trader is up $170K lifetime and has placed $484K across 14 related WTI markets.
- They are buying Yes at 7¢ after previously closing a No position on this same market.
- The market has moved sharply against Yes, so this looks like a contrarian oil rebound thesis.
$1,868 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%
86% winner oil thesis
A high-win-rate, profitable wallet is adding a cross-market oil thesis, buying No on $80 WTI after the market has already moved sharply that way.
- This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is profitable across 174 outcomes.
- They have placed $12.1K across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off bet.
- The market has moved toward No over the past week, and this buy at 89¢ backs WTI staying below $80 in May.
$2,670 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
85% winner oil thesis
A high-win-rate wallet with positive lifetime P&L is adding a $3.6k No bet as part of a $13k cross-market oil thesis.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $3.7k lifetime.
- They have placed $13k across 3 related oil markets, pointing to a broader No-side thesis.
- The market has already moved toward No over the past week, and this entry at 89¢ follows that momentum.
$3,560 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable oil thesis trader
A profitable high-volume trader is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, but this specific trade is a modest add after previously closing a much larger same-price No position.
- This bettor is up $82K lifetime and has traded over $1.1M across resolved markets.
- They have positioned across 12 related oil markets, with $87.8K tied to the same event.
- This is a smaller No buy at 86¢, matching their prior much larger entry on this market.
$2,610 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%
87% winner oil thesis
Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding to a three-market WTI oil thesis by buying No at 85¢.
- This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $12.3k lifetime.
- They have put $12k across 3 related WTI markets, showing a broader oil price thesis.
- Entry at 85¢ suggests a high-conviction bet that WTI does not hit $80 in May.
$2,550 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Sharp oil thesis bettor
Sharp 88% winner is building a cross-market oil thesis, buying No on the $80 WTI touch market after a large weekly move against Yes.
- This bettor has won 88% of resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
- They are positioned across 3 related oil markets with $12.9K total exposure.
- Buying No at 86¢ aligns with the market’s sharp 26-point weekly drop in Yes odds.
$3,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%
Profitable oil cross-market bettor
A profitable high-volume wallet with a 75% resolved win rate is buying No across related WTI oil markets, supported by recent price momentum away from Yes.
- This bettor has won 75% of 280 resolved trades and is up $17.6K lifetime.
- They are putting $4.8K across related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
- The market has moved 23.5 points toward No this week, matching their direction.
$3,480 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%
Top Holders
- 0xfc2f...10c7 — Outcome 81707222, $87,225 (82% win rate)
- 0xee39...b069 — Outcome 81707222, $30,000
- 0xd426...334a — Outcome 81707222, $9,563 (42% win rate)
- 0x3764...c5eb — Outcome 81707222, $6,886 (62% win rate)
- 0x32b4...8b21 — Outcome 81707222, $4,847 (62% win rate)
- 0xf31a...bfba — Outcome 81707222, $4,019
- 0xca88...efb2 — Outcome 81707222, $3,532 (75% win rate)
- 0xd3d2...fe85 — Outcome 81707222, $3,413 (69% win rate)
- 0x3e59...b2be — Outcome 81707222, $2,820
- 0xad7c...6244 — Outcome 81707222, $2,500 (86% win rate)
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WTI drops but holds $80
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