Part of: What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

19 smart money signals detected, totaling $47,213.

Categories: Finance, Monthly, Hit Price, Finance Updown, Pyth Finance, Commodities, Oil

Notable Trades

Profitable oil cross-market whale

Profitable wallet is expressing a large cross-market WTI thesis across 15 related markets, with this buy aligning with recent upward price momentum.

  • This wallet is up $261k lifetime and has deployed $755.8k across 15 related WTI markets.
  • They flipped from a prior No position into buying Yes at 12¢, suggesting a change in conviction.
  • The market has moved up 4 points today and 6 points this week, supporting the same direction.

$3,579 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

Profitable oil ladder trader

Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broad WTI ladder thesis across 14 related markets, though this specific leg is modest-sized.

  • This wallet is up $228K lifetime and has traded over $10M across resolved markets.
  • They have positioned across 14 related WTI markets with about $630K in total exposure.
  • This 17¢ entry is a low-probability oil move bet with clear upside if their broader crude thesis is right.

$1,090 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

75% serial macro trader

Sharp serial cross-market wallet with a 75% win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying No on a WTI oil market despite only a modest trade size.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 1,042 resolved trades and is up about $162K lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 254 markets with $1.66M in flagged volume.
  • Entry at 72¢ suggests a lower-risk copy trade on No, with the market still showing tight 1¢ spreads.

$1,052 on No | Wallet win rate: 75%

Profitable oil ladder trader

Profitable high-volume wallet is making a cheap Yes bet as part of a much larger cross-market WTI ladder position.

  • This trader is up $170K lifetime and has placed $484K across 14 related WTI markets.
  • They are buying Yes at 7¢ after previously closing a No position on this same market.
  • The market has moved sharply against Yes, so this looks like a contrarian oil rebound thesis.

$1,868 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 44%

86% winner oil thesis

A high-win-rate, profitable wallet is adding a cross-market oil thesis, buying No on $80 WTI after the market has already moved sharply that way.

  • This bettor wins 86% of resolved bets and is profitable across 174 outcomes.
  • They have placed $12.1K across 3 related oil markets, suggesting a broader view rather than a one-off bet.
  • The market has moved toward No over the past week, and this buy at 89¢ backs WTI staying below $80 in May.

$2,670 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

85% winner oil thesis

A high-win-rate wallet with positive lifetime P&L is adding a $3.6k No bet as part of a $13k cross-market oil thesis.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved bets and is up $3.7k lifetime.
  • They have placed $13k across 3 related oil markets, pointing to a broader No-side thesis.
  • The market has already moved toward No over the past week, and this entry at 89¢ follows that momentum.

$3,560 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable oil thesis trader

A profitable high-volume trader is expressing a broad cross-market oil thesis, but this specific trade is a modest add after previously closing a much larger same-price No position.

  • This bettor is up $82K lifetime and has traded over $1.1M across resolved markets.
  • They have positioned across 12 related oil markets, with $87.8K tied to the same event.
  • This is a smaller No buy at 86¢, matching their prior much larger entry on this market.

$2,610 on No | Wallet win rate: 51%

87% winner oil thesis

Sharp wallet with an 87% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is adding to a three-market WTI oil thesis by buying No at 85¢.

  • This bettor wins 87% of resolved trades and is up $12.3k lifetime.
  • They have put $12k across 3 related WTI markets, showing a broader oil price thesis.
  • Entry at 85¢ suggests a high-conviction bet that WTI does not hit $80 in May.

$2,550 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Sharp oil thesis bettor

Sharp 88% winner is building a cross-market oil thesis, buying No on the $80 WTI touch market after a large weekly move against Yes.

  • This bettor has won 88% of resolved trades and is profitable lifetime.
  • They are positioned across 3 related oil markets with $12.9K total exposure.
  • Buying No at 86¢ aligns with the market’s sharp 26-point weekly drop in Yes odds.

$3,440 on No | Wallet win rate: 89%

Profitable oil cross-market bettor

A profitable high-volume wallet with a 75% resolved win rate is buying No across related WTI oil markets, supported by recent price momentum away from Yes.

  • This bettor has won 75% of 280 resolved trades and is up $17.6K lifetime.
  • They are putting $4.8K across related WTI markets, suggesting a broader oil-price thesis.
  • The market has moved 23.5 points toward No this week, matching their direction.

$3,480 on No | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfc2f...10c7 Outcome 81707222, $87,225 (82% win rate)
  2. 0xee39...b069 Outcome 81707222, $30,000
  3. 0xd426...334a Outcome 81707222, $9,563 (42% win rate)
  4. 0x3764...c5eb Outcome 81707222, $6,886 (62% win rate)
  5. 0x32b4...8b21 Outcome 81707222, $4,847 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xf31a...bfba Outcome 81707222, $4,019
  7. 0xca88...efb2 Outcome 81707222, $3,532 (75% win rate)
  8. 0xd3d2...fe85 Outcome 81707222, $3,413 (69% win rate)
  9. 0x3e59...b2be Outcome 81707222, $2,820
  10. 0xad7c...6244 Outcome 81707222, $2,500 (86% win rate)

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Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

ResolvedWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in May 2026?$47,213 tracked19 signalsFinanceMonthlyHit PriceHide From NewFinance UpdownPyth FinanceCommoditiesOil

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation during May 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final "Low" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No". Only prices achieved during the applicable trading session for the underlying market will be considered. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract’s last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract’s last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures contract by CME Group may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Active Month WTI Crude Oil futures "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

Notable Trades

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

19d ago

$3,579 on Yes at 12¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

21d ago

$1,090 on Yes at 17¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

22d ago

$1,052 on No at 72¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

28d ago

$1,868 on Yes at 7¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

29d ago

$2,670 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

30d ago

$3,560 on No at 89¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

31d ago

$2,610 on No at 86¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

32d ago

$2,550 on No at 85¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

32d ago

$3,440 on No at 86¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

32d ago

$3,480 on No at 87¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

33d ago

$1,862 on No at 85¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

34d ago

$1,580 on No at 79¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

34d ago

$3,000 on No at 78¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

39d ago

$7,407 on No at 56¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

45d ago

$1,339 on No at 71¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

45d ago

$1,100 on Yes at 33¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

45d ago

$1,352 on Yes at 33¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

45d ago

$2,260 on No at 77¢

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?

45d ago

$1,414 on No at 75¢

Related Theses