Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royals
This Polymarket tracks the outcome of the IPL match between Lucknow Super Giants and Rajasthan Royals scheduled for April 22, 2026. Traders use it to price each side’s chances of winning, with the market resolving to the official finalized match result published by ESPNcricinfo, including outcomes decided by standard on-field tiebreak rules if applicable. Smart money activity has recently highlighted interest on the underdog side and multiple Royals-related wallet clusters.
18 smart money signals detected, totaling $102,500.
Categories: Sports, Games, Cricket, Indian Premier League
Notable Trades
Sharp cross-market sports bettor
A proven cross-market sports bettor with a 71% win rate bought Rajasthan Royals before a sharp move from 64¢ to 80¢, suggesting this was timely and informed positioning worth following.
- This bettor has won 217 of 305 resolved trades and is up $87k overall
- They bought Rajasthan Royals at 64¢ before the market jumped to 80¢
- This wallet has bet across 28 related events, showing a repeatable event-trading pattern
$5,698 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 71%
81% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable sports trader with an 81% win rate bought into the same side as a 3-wallet $21.6k cluster during a volume and price surge, making this a strong signal to follow.
- This bettor wins 81% of their trades and is up $2.0M lifetime across 419 resolved markets.
- Three wallets put $21.6k on the same side as Lucknow moved up fast on a 10.5x volume spike.
- They bought Lucknow at 34¢, a low price that suggests they see the underdog as mispriced.
$1,706 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 81%
89% win-rate sharp bettor
A highly profitable sharp sports bettor with an 89% win rate sold Rajasthan Royals, which converts to a BUY on Lucknow alongside coordinated one-sided flow and a market-wide volume spike.
- This bettor wins 89% of their trades over 1,114 resolved markets and is up $43.3k lifetime.
- Their sell on Rajasthan Royals converts to buying Lucknow around 35¢, lining up with 3 wallets betting the same side for $21.6k total.
- Market activity is surging with a 10.5x volume spike, suggesting real momentum behind this position.
$1,278 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 89%
9-wallet Royals pile-in
Nine wallets piled into Rajasthan Royals as the price jumped sharply, and this wallet is a repeat new account making another sizable bet into that coordinated move.
- Nine wallets bought Rajasthan Royals in the same burst, totaling $15.2k, which is strong one-sided flow.
- This wallet is a repeat new buyer with $3.6k of flagged bets already, suggesting fresh capital with conviction.
- The market saw a 17x volume spike and Rajasthan moved up about 18 points, confirming aggressive buying pressure.
$1,174 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 100%
17-wallet funded cluster
A large linked-wallet cluster and coordinated one-sided buying hit this IPL market, led by a very active bettor with a long positive track record, making the flow worth watching despite the current adverse price move.
- 17 linked wallets funded from the same source have put about $3.0k to work, and 7 wallets bought the same side for $22.7k total.
- This wallet has a long track record: 5,690 resolved bets, a 61% win rate, and about $96.6k in profit.
- The buyer entered Lucknow at 60¢, showing conviction well above the current 36¢ market price after a heavy 25-point move down.
$993 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 61%
Sharp bettor joins 7-wallet cluster
A proven cross-market sports bettor with a 71% win rate sold Rajasthan at 63¢, which translates to buying Lucknow around 37¢ alongside 7 wallets pushing the same side in a market seeing unusual volume and a sharp move.
- This bettor wins 71% of resolved trades and has made about $87k profit across 305 bets.
- Seven wallets put about $22.7k on Lucknow together, a strong one-sided signal in this match market.
- Selling Rajasthan at 63¢ is effectively buying Lucknow near 37¢, close to the current 36-37¢ market.
$2,722 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 71%
Sharp cluster buying underdog
Three wallets piled into Lucknow together while two of them have exceptional long-term records, making this coordinated contrarian sports bet worth watching despite the market moving sharply against their entry.
- Two bettors in this cluster have elite records: one wins 89% of 1,114 resolved bets and another wins 81% across 419 bets.
- Three wallets all took Lucknow within minutes for $7.8k total, including a sell of Rajasthan that converts to the same view.
- They bought around 38-39¢ while Lucknow has since fallen to 20¢, so this is a high-conviction contrarian position against heavy recent flow.
$7,783 on Lucknow Super Giants
5-wallet Royals pile-in
A new wallet joined a 5-wallet one-sided move into Rajasthan Royals as the market swung sharply, suggesting coordinated conviction despite the small absolute size.
- Five wallets all bet Rajasthan Royals in the same window, totaling $11.8k.
- This wallet is new but has already made repeated large bets, with $2.5k flagged so far.
- The market moved hard with Lucknow down 21 points, so this trade aligned with strong momentum.
$1,226 on Rajasthan Royals | Wallet win rate: 100%
81% win-rate sports sharp
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 81% win rate bought into a fast-moving IPL side as volume and price surged, making this worth surfacing despite the modest ticket size.
- This bettor wins 81% of resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime across 419 bets.
- They trade heavily across sports and event markets, with nearly $5.9M deployed over 396 events.
- They bought at 86¢ while this market was ripping higher on a 46x volume spike, backing the favorite with momentum.
$2,016 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 81%
81% win-rate sports bettor
A highly profitable serial sports trader with an 81% win rate just put $31k on Lucknow in a fast-moving, high-volume IPL market, making this a strong copy-trade signal despite the already-high price.
- This bettor wins 81% of their resolved trades and is up about $2.0M lifetime.
- They trade heavily across hundreds of events and just placed a $31k bet here, which stands out as informed conviction.
- The market has surged with a 51x volume spike and Lucknow moved up 12 points fast, backing the direction of this trade.
$30,994 on Lucknow Super Giants | Wallet win rate: 81%
Top Holders
- 0x3b5c...126e — Outcome 70560715, $240,665 (79% win rate)
- 0x7d92...8676 — Outcome 70560715, $96,186 (81% win rate)
- 0x10ff...5088 — Outcome 54647245, $30,837 (53% win rate)
- 0xb45d...a406 — Outcome 70560715, $29,101
- 0x44a1...bd21 — Outcome 70560715, $28,009 (55% win rate)
- 0x507e...beae — Outcome 54647245, $22,408 (50% win rate)
- 0x14ff...d178 — Outcome 54647245, $19,994
- 0x2a2c...9bc1 — Outcome 54647245, $19,267 (53% win rate)
- 0xd4aa...d40c — Outcome 70560715, $15,755
- 0x6d30...ce29 — Outcome 70560715, $11,965 (52% win rate)
