Part of: Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier

Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier

14 smart money signals detected, totaling $58,855.

Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games

Notable Trades

86% serial sports bettor

Sharp serial sports trader with an 86% win rate bought Tommy Paul at 78¢ before the price moved to 81¢.

This bettor wins 86% of resolved trades across 671 markets and is up $44.7K lifetime.
They have traded across 460 events with over $8.1M in total volume, suggesting a repeatable sports edge.
They bought Tommy Paul at 78¢, and the market has already moved to 81¢.

$2,579 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Profitable serial sports bettor with 139 resolved markets bought the Altmaier upset, though the price has since moved against the entry.

This bettor has won 61% of 139 resolved markets and is up $113k lifetime.
They are a very active cross-market trader, with $766k bet across 127 events.
Entry at 30¢ was an underdog swing, though the market has since fallen to 18¢.

$2,000 on Daniel Altmaier | Wallet win rate: 64%

Momentum buyer on surge

Surface as a momentum/flow alert: Tommy Paul jumped 24 points on a 32x volume spike, though the wallet’s long-term P&L is negative.

Tommy Paul’s odds jumped 24 points alongside a 32x volume spike before the match.
A high-volume cross-market trader put $4.7k on Tommy Paul at 85¢.
The signal is mainly the sharp market move and volume surge, not the wallet’s long-term record.

$4,675 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 69%

80% win-rate sports sharp

Sharp wallet with an 80% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit is buying Tommy Paul amid a large pre-match volume spike.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $55.6K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 39 events with the same 80% hit rate.
A 57.8x pre-match volume spike supports that money is moving into this match.

$1,700 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 80%

204-1 sharp sports bettor

A highly proven tennis bettor with a 204-1 resolved record and $157k profit bought Tommy Paul despite an already liquid market.

This bettor has won 204 of 205 resolved bets and is up $157,684 lifetime.
They have traded across 203 sports markets with a perfect recorded win rate.
Entry at 80¢ implies a lower-upside but high-conviction favorite bet.

$1,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 100%

80% winner buying favorite

Sharp sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate bought Tommy Paul before an 85x pre-event volume spike and a move from 69¢ to 74¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $19.7K lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market sports trader across 42 events with $122K tracked volume.
Bought Tommy Paul at 69¢ before the market moved to 74¢ amid an 85x volume spike.

$2,845 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 71%

91% win-rate sharp

Sharp 91% lifetime winner bought Tommy Paul despite a major pre-event volume spike, making this worth surfacing even though the price has moved against the entry.

This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $23,750 lifetime.
They have traded across 26 sports events with a strong track record, making the wallet itself the signal.
Bought Tommy Paul at 81¢ while market volume spiked 85x before the match.

$2,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 91%

204-1 sharp-led cluster

A sharp-led 5-wallet cluster bought nearly $18k of Tommy Paul during a major pre-event volume spike, with one wallet showing a 204/205 resolved-bet record and strong profit.

One wallet has won 204 of 205 resolved bets and is up about $158k lifetime.
Five wallets bought nearly $18k of Tommy Paul in the same window.
The buying pushed Paul from around 61¢ to 76¢, with the cluster averaging roughly 66¢.

$17,971 on Tommy Paul

80% winner backs favorite

Surface: a highly proven serial sports bettor with an 80% win rate and nearly $482k profit bought $5k of Tommy Paul.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved bets and is up about $482k lifetime.
They are a serial cross-market trader with $3.8M staked across 751 markets.
A $5k buy at 69¢ shows confidence in Tommy Paul despite an already-liquid market.

$5,000 on Tommy Paul | Wallet win rate: 81%

Profitable serial sports sharp

A highly profitable serial sports bettor with an 80% resolved win rate is taking an $8.2k underdog position on Daniel Altmaier at 32¢.

This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $375k lifetime.
They have traded 779 markets across 418 events, suggesting a repeatable sports betting process.
The $8.2k buy on Altmaier at 32¢ is a clear underdog conviction bet.

$8,238 on Daniel Altmaier | Wallet win rate: 80%

Top Holders

0xb3cf...0ebd — Outcome 23535821, $24,890 (80% win rate)
0xfe78...0319 — Outcome 23535821, $18,891 (67% win rate)
0x160b...4296 — Outcome 23535821, $13,916 (76% win rate)
0x51e1...5ec9 — Outcome 23535821, $8,000 (44% win rate)
0x92b5...fec6 — Outcome 23535821, $6,667 (64% win rate)
0xfb85...8464 — Outcome 23535821, $6,583 (78% win rate)
0x3dcf...ad70 — Outcome 23535821, $3,284
0xd123...d341 — Outcome 23535821, $2,500 (70% win rate)
0x0cef...fa91 — Outcome 23535821, $2,000 (63% win rate)
0xae30...079e — Outcome 23535821, $1,818 (61% win rate)

Related Theses

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Hamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier

ResolvedHamburg European Open: Tommy Paul vs Daniel Altmaier$58,855 tracked14 signalsTennisSportsGames

This market refers to the tennis match between Tommy Paul and Daniel Altmaier in the Hamburg European Open, originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Daniel Altmaier. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Altmaier' if Daniel Altmaier advances against Tommy Paul. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.