Part of: Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

10 smart money signals detected, totaling $34,287.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports cross-market trader

Profitable serial cross-market esports trader sold Natus Vincere at 76¢, effectively buying REKONIX at 24¢, alongside a sharp recent move against Natus Vincere.

  • This bettor has a large track record: 1,242 resolved bets and $117K in lifetime profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 50 events, suggesting a repeatable esports betting process.
  • Selling Natus Vincere at 76¢ is equivalent to buying REKONIX at 24¢, well below the current 60¢ market price.

$3,332 on REKONIX | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial esports trader

Profitable serial cross-market esports bettor bought Natus Vincere at 72%, though the position history suggests this may be part of active trading rather than a clean fresh entry.

  • This bettor is up $117K lifetime across over 1,200 resolved trades.
  • They have traded 61 markets across 50 related events, suggesting a repeat esports strategy rather than a one-off bet.
  • The $3.1K buy came during a quick 12-point move, though the market has since moved below their entry.

$3,087 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market esports trader with a large profitable history flipped from REKONIX into Natus Vincere amid a pre-event volume spike, though the edge is modest at a high entry price.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 1,242 resolved bets and about $117K in lifetime profit.
  • They have traded across 50 events and are now buying Natus Vincere after closing a REKONIX position.
  • Market activity is heating up, with volume running about 10x above its recent average before the match.

$1,114 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable serial esports trader

Serial cross-market esports trader with a large resolved sample and positive lifetime P&L is buying Natus Vincere amid a pre-event volume spike and upward price momentum.

  • This bettor has a deep track record: 1,242 resolved trades, 61% wins, and $117K lifetime profit.
  • They specialize in cross-market event betting, with 50 events and $249K tracked in this pattern.
  • Natus Vincere has moved up 8 points today, and this buy came during a 17x pre-event volume spike.

$1,067 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 60%

Four-wallet NAVI push

Coordinated one-sided buying plus a major pre-event volume spike points to informed money backing Natus Vincere despite this wallet's only modest historical win rate.

  • Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $10.2K on Natus Vincere.
  • Market volume surged 765x before the match, with NAVI moving up about 9.5 points.
  • This wallet added $3.8K at 76¢, just below the current 78¢ price.

$3,795 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 53%

Two elite bettors on underdog

Five wallets are one-sided on REKONIX, including two extremely profitable esports-style bettors with 95–98% win rates and major lifetime profits.

  • Two proven bettors are backing REKONIX, with 98% and 95% win rates across 900+ resolved positions combined.
  • The strongest wallet is up $3.8M lifetime and bought REKONIX at 24¢ despite the market pricing them as the underdog.
  • Five wallets moved the same direction for $8.1K total, alongside a 17x pre-event volume spike.

$8,051 on REKONIX

4-wallet one-sided esports flow

Coordinated one-sided flow and a huge pre-event volume spike make this Natus Vincere buy worth surfacing despite this wallet's only modest win rate.

  • Four wallets bought the same side, putting $13.3K behind Natus Vincere before Game 1.
  • Volume spiked 826x versus the recent average, suggesting fresh pre-match conviction in a usually quiet market.
  • This wallet added $5.6K at 76–77¢, though the current price has pulled back to about 70¢.

$5,553 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 53%

Four-wallet NAVI steam

Coordinated one-sided buying and an extreme pre-event volume spike make this Dota market worth surfacing despite the individual wallet having only modest historical edge.

  • Four wallets are all buying Natus Vincere, totaling $13.3K on a market with only $8.2K volume.
  • Volume spiked 826x before the match, suggesting a sudden wave of conviction on the same side.
  • This trade alone was 52% of the market’s 24h volume, showing meaningful size in a relatively thin book.

$3,951 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 51%

Profitable regular joins one-sided flow

Profitable high-volume cross-market trader joined a coordinated one-sided move on Natus Vincere amid an 826x pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 63% of 217 resolved bets and is up $102k lifetime.
  • Four wallets bought Natus Vincere in the same window for $13.3k total.
  • Market volume spiked 826x before the match, suggesting fresh conviction around this side.

$1,337 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 66%

94% winner backs favorite

A highly profitable esports bettor with a 94% historical win rate and $1.6M lifetime profit bought $3,000 of Natus Vincere in a thin market.

  • This bettor wins 94% of resolved positions and is up $1.6M lifetime.
  • They have traded 195 markets across 80 events with the same 94% hit rate.
  • The $3,000 buy is 81% of the market’s 24h volume, showing strong conviction in a quiet market.

$3,000 on Natus Vincere | Wallet win rate: 96%

Top Holders

  1. 0x7714...b814 Outcome 27891157, $18,353 (66% win rate)
  2. 0x0e1b...ecaf Outcome 27891157, $13,555 (50% win rate)
  3. 0xe16d...5e30 Outcome 27891157, $9,372 (96% win rate)
  4. 0x183f...85e3 Outcome 27891157, $5,000 (58% win rate)
  5. 0x5b10...9659 Outcome 27891157, $5,000 (65% win rate)
  6. 0xc393...062c Outcome 27891157, $5,000
  7. 0xe077...f5ee Outcome 27891157, $1,486 (71% win rate)
  8. 0x7a0f...1305 Outcome 27891157, $1,321 (91% win rate)
  9. 0x03f4...7e44 Outcome 27891157, $1,270 (57% win rate)
  10. 0xa14c...23a1 Outcome 27891157, $1,262 (74% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B$34,287 tracked10 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Natus Vincere and REKONIX in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win Game 1 against REKONIX. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win Game 1 against Natus Vincere. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “REKONIX
102¢
64¢
25¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$3,332 on REKONIX at 24¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$3,087 on Natus Vincere at 72¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$1,114 on Natus Vincere at 86¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$1,067 on Natus Vincere at 79¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$3,795 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$8,051 on REKONIX at 24¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$5,553 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$3,951 on Natus Vincere at 74¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$1,337 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

4d ago

$3,000 on Natus Vincere at 76¢

Related Theses