Part of: Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

6 smart money signals detected, totaling $59,368.

Categories: Esports, Dota 2, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

95% winner backs Aurora

A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial edge is buying Aurora alongside three other wallets amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 190 of 200 resolved positions, with $6.77 million in lifetime profit and a 41-point edge over implied odds.
  • Four wallets are buying Aurora for a combined $23,595, while trading activity surged dramatically ahead of the match.
  • The bettor accumulated Aurora at 54–56¢; the market is now around 54%, preserving a potentially favorable entry point.

$11,189 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

Sharp bettor scaling into Aurora

A proven 79% bettor with a substantial edge is adding to Aurora alongside three other wallets amid a major volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 79% of 39 resolved positions, buying at an average 47% price.
  • The wallet is adding to an existing $3,582 Aurora position, while four wallets have committed $23,595 to Aurora.
  • Aurora buying coincided with a 3,981x volume spike versus the recent average, despite the market now pricing Aurora at 54%.

$2,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 81%

98% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate is scaling into Aurora alongside coordinated one-sided flow and a major event-volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 639 resolved bets and is up $10.35 million lifetime.
  • They built an $18,000 Aurora position, averaging about 51¢, while three wallets committed $11,560 to the same outcome.
  • Trading volume surged more than 3,900× the recent average in this otherwise quiet market, and the position spans three related event markets.

$8,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Eight-wallet sharp BoomBoys cluster

Eight wallets deployed $20.5K on BoomBoys in a thin market, including several highly profitable bettors with strong historical edge, despite competing Aurora flow.

  • Eight wallets bought BoomBoys for $20,495—over 12 times the market's prior 24-hour volume.
  • Several participants have exceptional records, including 87% wins with $29K profit and 84% wins with $105K profit.
  • The coordinated buying produced a 3,946x volume spike in a relatively thin esports market.

$16,002 on BoomBoys

95% winner leads Aurora cluster

A highly profitable serial trader with a 95% win rate placed a large Aurora bet amid a major volume spike and coordinated buying.

  • This bettor has won 95% of 200 resolved trades and earned $6.77M in profit.
  • A $4,178 Aurora purchase joined three wallets betting the same way, totaling $11,560.
  • Trading volume surged to nearly 4,000 times its recent average, reinforcing the directional signal.

$4,178 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 94%

98% winner scaling into Aurora

A highly proven bettor with a 98% win rate is scaling into Aurora alongside coordinated one-sided flow and a major event-volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 98% of 639 resolved bets and is up $10.35 million lifetime.
  • They built an $18,000 Aurora position, averaging about 51¢, while three wallets committed $11,560 to the same outcome.
  • Trading volume surged more than 3,900× the recent average in this otherwise quiet market, and the position spans three related event markets.

$18,000 on Aurora | Wallet win rate: 98%

Top Holders

  1. 0xfe78...0319 Outcome 51020122, $36,651 (65% win rate)
  2. 0xc75a...1ab2 Outcome 51020122, $26,378 (43% win rate)
  3. 0xb6ce...7a7d Outcome 51020122, $10,532 (50% win rate)
  4. 0x82dc...5700 Outcome 51020122, $10,020 (51% win rate)
  5. 0xf68a...5b1b Outcome 51020122, $10,000 (53% win rate)
  6. 0x66b1...6b9d Outcome 51020122, $9,398 (57% win rate)
  7. 0x05a7...42e6 Outcome 51020122, $8,923 (96% win rate)
  8. 0x818b...c5eb Outcome 51020122, $8,441 (73% win rate)
  9. 0x2931...7b81 Outcome 51020122, $8,250 (76% win rate)
  10. 0x5997...0bee Outcome 51020122, $8,096 (84% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

ResolvedDota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stage$59,368 tracked6 signalsEsportsDota 2GamesSports

This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 4 match between BoomBoys and Aurora in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "BoomBoys" if BoomBoys win Game 1 against Aurora. This market will resolve to "Aurora" if Aurora win Game 1 against BoomBoys. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 15, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Price History — “Aurora
102¢
74¢
45¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8d ago

$11,189 on Aurora at 55¢

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8d ago

$2,000 on Aurora at 56¢

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8d ago

$8,000 on Aurora at 51¢

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8d ago

$16,002 on BoomBoys at 46¢

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8d ago

$4,178 on Aurora at 56¢

Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner

8d ago

$18,000 on Aurora at 51¢

Related Theses