Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If Australia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

29 smart money signals detected, totaling $449,523.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

Profitable cluster buying No

A profitable high-volume wallet joined a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster during a major volume spike and rapid price move.

  • This bettor is up $339,736 across 843 resolved markets, with a 64% hit rate.
  • Five wallets bought the same No side, totaling $13,536 in the scan window.
  • The market saw a 27.6x volume spike and a fast 24-point price move, suggesting active repositioning.

$1,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

7-wallet No push

Surfacing because seven wallets bought the same side amid a large pre-event volume spike and rapid price move, despite the lead wallet lacking positive lifetime P&L.

  • Seven wallets bought No in the same window, totaling about $55K on one side.
  • Market activity spiked 43.5x above normal with a sharp 5-minute price move.
  • Entry at 47¢ implies the cluster sees value around a near-even price.

$5,144 on No | Wallet win rate: 62%

Profitable wallet joins 7-wallet NO push

Profitable high-volume wallet bought No alongside a 7-wallet one-sided push, with a large pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement.

  • This bettor is up $339,736 across 843 resolved trades, showing a long profitable track record.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $55,139 on No in the scan window.
  • Volume spiked 43.5x above normal and the market moved 24 points in five minutes.

$3,668 on No | Wallet win rate: 64%

93% winner backs No

A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought $33.9K of No alongside a same-direction cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime.
  • They put $33.9K on No, adding to a 7-wallet wave totaling $50.2K on the same side.
  • The market saw a 44.5x volume spike, and the bettor entered around 52¢ with No now near 55¢.

$33,941 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

96% sharp buys No

Elite sports bettor with a 96% record and $1.23M profit bought No on Australia despite a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 234 events with a 96% hit rate.
  • The market saw a 52x volume spike and a sharp price move, supporting that this is active informed flow.

$3,983 on No | Wallet win rate: 96%

Sharp bettors fading move

Two highly profitable sharp wallets are buying No around 54–55¢, including one up $1.23M lifetime, despite a larger opposing Yes cluster driving the market.

  • A bettor who wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M bought No for nearly $4k.
  • Another wallet with a perfect 29-for-29 record also bought No at 55¢.
  • They are fading a fast Yes price surge and a larger opposing cluster, making this a high-signal disagreement.

$7,118 on No

New wallet on momentum surge

New repeat wallet bought Australia Yes into a sharp pre-game volume surge and rapid 24-point price move, suggesting momentum-backed conviction despite no resolved track record.

  • A new repeat bettor has now put $6.3k into flagged positions, including this $2.4k Australia Yes buy.
  • The market saw a 19.7x volume spike and Australia Yes jumped 24 points in 5 minutes.
  • Entry at 47¢ implies the bettor sees meaningful upside despite the market already moving sharply.

$3,853 on Yes

6-wallet Yes momentum cluster

Strong coordinated Yes flow with a 6-wallet cluster, major volume spike, and rapid 24-point price move outweighs the individual wallet's weak lifetime P&L.

  • Six wallets are buying Yes together, totaling $97.9k, with two wallets sharing a funder.
  • Yes jumped 24 points in five minutes alongside a 45x pre-game volume spike.
  • Entry at 46¢ suggests the cluster sees meaningful upside from the current market price.

$6,828 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 64%

93% winner buys No

A proven sharp wallet with a 93% win rate and $3.5M lifetime profit made an $83k No bet, backed by cross-market history, linked-wallet activity, and a major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime.
  • They placed a large $83k bet on No after trading across 107 events with the same 93% win rate.
  • Market activity is surging, with volume 86x above normal and a 27-point move in the past day.

$83,357 on No | Wallet win rate: 93%

Perfect-record bettor buys NO

Surface this because a highly profitable 29-for-29 wallet bought No amid a major pre-event volume spike and rapid market move.

  • This bettor has won 29 of 29 resolved positions and is up $24,355 lifetime.
  • They bought $2,062 of No at 55¢ as volume surged 86x above normal.
  • The market is moving hard before the game, with Australia’s Yes price up 27 points in the last day.

$2,062 on No | Wallet win rate: 100%

Top Holders

  1. 0x5966...f804 No, $405,581 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x2c33...0563 No, $200,039 (62% win rate)
  3. 0x224a...a3d5 Yes, $140,296 (64% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 Yes, $117,327 (54% win rate)
  5. 0xe907...cff6 Yes, $102,721 (47% win rate)
  6. 0xcfb6...06da Yes, $100,000 (100% win rate)
  7. 0x2d7b...e2ce No, $86,928 (77% win rate)
  8. 0x7ea5...de7b No, $86,898 (62% win rate)
  9. 0xedd9...f79b Yes, $80,639
  10. 0x4f29...7a7e No, $71,794 (54% win rate)

Related Theses

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Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

ResolvedAustralia vs. Türkiye$449,523 tracked29 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer
Yes
52¢
No
49¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If Australia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “Yes
58¢
37¢
16¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1h ago

$1,306 on No at 48¢

48¢49¢1¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1h ago

$5,144 on No at 47¢

47¢49¢2¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1h ago

$3,668 on No at 51¢

51¢49¢2¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1h ago

$33,941 on No at 52¢

52¢49¢3¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$3,983 on No at 54¢

54¢49¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$7,118 on No at 54¢

54¢49¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$3,853 on Yes at 47¢

47¢52¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$6,828 on Yes at 46¢

46¢52¢6¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$83,357 on No at 54¢

54¢49¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$2,062 on No at 55¢

55¢49¢6¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$12,936 on Yes at 47¢

47¢52¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$2,412 on Yes at 47¢

47¢52¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$6,933 on Yes at 41¢

41¢52¢11¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$4,285 on Yes at 42¢

42¢52¢10¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$3,728 on No at 61¢

61¢49¢12¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$4,493 on Yes at 42¢

42¢52¢10¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$1,346 on No at 80¢

80¢49¢31¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1h ago

$36,192 on Yes at 53¢

53¢52¢1¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

3h ago

$5,641 on No at 83¢

83¢49¢34¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

3h ago

$6,659 on No at 82¢

82¢49¢33¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

4h ago

$1,022 on Yes at 18¢

18¢52¢34¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

5h ago

$1,300 on No at 83¢

83¢49¢34¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

7h ago

$10,000 on No at 83¢

83¢49¢34¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

15h ago

$2,000 on No at 83¢

83¢49¢34¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

19h ago

$2,426 on No at 82¢

82¢49¢33¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

20h ago

$5,482 on No at 82¢

82¢49¢33¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1d ago

$40,763 on Yes at 19¢

19¢52¢33¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

1d ago

$62,763 on No at 44¢

44¢49¢5¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

2h ago

$87,883 on No at 54¢

54¢49¢5¢

Related Theses