Part of: Australia vs. Türkiye

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

33 smart money signals detected, totaling $450,296.

Categories: Games, FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer

Notable Trades

84% winner exits Yes

A highly profitable 84% win-rate serial trader sold Australia Yes into a sharp rally, aligning with a small one-sided No cluster despite the trade likely closing a prior Yes position.

  • This bettor wins 84% of resolved trades over 940 bets and is up about $139k lifetime.
  • They sold Australia Yes at 56¢, equivalent to backing No at 44¢.
  • Five wallets are leaning the same way with about $11k on No, after a 38-point move toward Yes.

$2,240 on No | Wallet win rate: 85%

Profitable wallet joins 7-wallet NO push

Profitable high-volume wallet bought No alongside a 7-wallet one-sided push, with a large pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement.

  • This bettor is up $339,736 across 843 resolved trades, showing a long profitable track record.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $55,139 on No in the scan window.
  • Volume spiked 43.5x above normal and the market moved 24 points in five minutes.

$21,441 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

New wallet in coordinated push

High-score sports alert with a brand-new profitable wallet buying Yes alongside 13-wallet one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and rapid upward price impact.

  • A 10-hour-old wallet has already put $76.6k into flagged bets and is up $21.3k early.
  • 13 wallets bought the same Yes side for nearly $70k, creating strong one-way flow.
  • The market saw a 30x volume spike and a 24-point jump in 5 minutes, suggesting fast-moving conviction.

$5,456 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%

Sharp joins 13-wallet Yes surge

Sharp 80% lifetime winner joined a large one-sided move on Australia Yes with 13 wallets, a 30x volume spike, and a rapid 24-point price jump.

  • This bettor wins 80% of resolved trades and is up $133,797 lifetime.
  • 13 wallets bought the same side for nearly $70K, pushing Yes up 24 points in 5 minutes.
  • Volume is 30x above normal, and this wallet has traded 60 related events with an 80% win rate.

$1,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 46%

Profitable cluster buying No

A profitable high-volume wallet joined a 5-wallet one-sided No cluster during a major volume spike and rapid price move.

  • This bettor is up $339,736 across 843 resolved markets, with a 64% hit rate.
  • Five wallets bought the same No side, totaling $13,536 in the scan window.
  • The market saw a 27.6x volume spike and a fast 24-point price move, suggesting active repositioning.

$1,306 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

7-wallet No push

Surfacing because seven wallets bought the same side amid a large pre-event volume spike and rapid price move, despite the lead wallet lacking positive lifetime P&L.

  • Seven wallets bought No in the same window, totaling about $55K on one side.
  • Market activity spiked 43.5x above normal with a sharp 5-minute price move.
  • Entry at 47¢ implies the cluster sees value around a near-even price.

$5,144 on No | Wallet win rate: 60%

Profitable wallet joins 7-wallet NO push

Profitable high-volume wallet bought No alongside a 7-wallet one-sided push, with a large pre-event volume spike and rapid price movement.

  • This bettor is up $339,736 across 843 resolved trades, showing a long profitable track record.
  • Seven wallets bought the same side, totaling $55,139 on No in the scan window.
  • Volume spiked 43.5x above normal and the market moved 24 points in five minutes.

$3,668 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

93% winner backs No

A highly profitable 93% win-rate wallet bought $33.9K of No alongside a same-direction cluster and major pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 93% of resolved trades and is up $3.5M lifetime.
  • They put $33.9K on No, adding to a 7-wallet wave totaling $50.2K on the same side.
  • The market saw a 44.5x volume spike, and the bettor entered around 52¢ with No now near 55¢.

$33,941 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

96% sharp buys No

Elite sports bettor with a 96% record and $1.23M profit bought No on Australia despite a very liquid market.

  • This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 234 events with a 96% hit rate.
  • The market saw a 52x volume spike and a sharp price move, supporting that this is active informed flow.

$3,983 on No | Wallet win rate: 95%

Sharp bettors fading move

Two highly profitable sharp wallets are buying No around 54–55¢, including one up $1.23M lifetime, despite a larger opposing Yes cluster driving the market.

  • A bettor who wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $1.23M bought No for nearly $4k.
  • Another wallet with a perfect 29-for-29 record also bought No at 55¢.
  • They are fading a fast Yes price surge and a larger opposing cluster, making this a high-signal disagreement.

$7,118 on No

Top Holders

  1. 0x5966...f804 Outcome 67920971, $405,581 (95% win rate)
  2. 0x2d7b...e2ce Outcome 67920971, $86,928 (77% win rate)
  3. 0x7ea5...de7b Outcome 67920971, $86,898 (62% win rate)
  4. 0xa5ef...2966 Outcome 67920971, $85,050
  5. 0x4f29...7a7e Outcome 67920971, $82,959 (56% win rate)
  6. 0xbc43...96d3 Outcome 67920971, $40,000 (78% win rate)
  7. 0x44c5...8d45 Outcome 67920971, $33,585 (78% win rate)
  8. 0x7a88...41cc Outcome 67920971, $30,768 (63% win rate)
  9. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 67920971, $18,131 (63% win rate)
  10. 0x8de0...98c5 Outcome 67920971, $14,593 (100% win rate)

Related Theses

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Czechia won't beat Korea

Covers 3 related markets

Canada-Bosnia match canceled

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Covers 3 related markets

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

ResolvedAustralia vs. Türkiye$450,296 tracked33 signalsGamesFIFA World CupSportsSoccer

In the upcoming game, scheduled for June 14, 2026 If Australia wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Notable Trades

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$2,240 on No at 44¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$21,441 on No at 51¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$5,456 on Yes at 55¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$1,000 on Yes at 49¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$1,306 on No at 48¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$5,144 on No at 47¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$3,668 on No at 51¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$33,941 on No at 52¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$3,983 on No at 54¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$7,118 on No at 54¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$3,853 on Yes at 47¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$6,828 on Yes at 46¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$83,357 on No at 54¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$2,062 on No at 55¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$12,936 on Yes at 47¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$2,412 on Yes at 47¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$6,933 on Yes at 41¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$4,285 on Yes at 42¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$3,728 on No at 61¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$4,493 on Yes at 42¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$1,346 on No at 80¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$6,827 on Yes at 64¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$5,641 on No at 83¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$6,659 on No at 82¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$1,022 on Yes at 18¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$1,300 on No at 83¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

71d ago

$10,000 on No at 83¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

71d ago

$2,000 on No at 83¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

71d ago

$2,426 on No at 82¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

71d ago

$5,482 on No at 82¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

71d ago

$40,763 on Yes at 19¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

71d ago

$62,763 on No at 44¢

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

70d ago

$87,883 on No at 54¢

Related Theses