Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini
This Polymarket tennis market covers whether Arthur Rinderknech or Matteo Berrettini will advance from their Roland Garros ATP match, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026. PolySpotter tracks the live prediction market odds alongside $28,943 in smart money activity across 3 signals, including sharp-backed and profitable tennis whale alerts. The market is set to resolve by June 3, 2026, unless cancellation or delay rules apply.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Matteo Berrettini in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
13 smart money signals detected, totaling $216,243.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
$101K one-sided tennis steam
A four-wallet cluster bought $101K of Matteo Berrettini amid a 90x volume spike and 20-point price move, with several profitable high-volume wallets involved.
- Four wallets bought the same side for $101K, more than the market’s visible liquidity.
- The buying wave coincided with a 90x volume spike and pushed the price up about 20 points.
- Several wallets have large lifetime profits, including one up $720K and another up $470K.
$100,895 on Matteo Berrettini
94% sharp buys underdog
Sharp wallet with a 94% win rate and $32.8k profit bought Arthur Rinderknech at 53¢ amid a 90x pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against them.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $32.8k lifetime.
- They bought Arthur Rinderknech at 53¢, implying they saw the underdog as more likely than the market did.
- Volume spiked 90x before the match, but the price has since fallen to 30¢.
$3,176 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 94%
92% winner backing underpriced side
Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $679k lifetime profit placed a $25k buy on Arthur Rinderknech amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $679k lifetime.
- They put $25k on Arthur Rinderknech at 56¢, despite the market now sitting near 54¢.
- This wallet has traded 167 events with the same 92% win rate, and this market saw a 91x volume spike.
$25,000 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 92%
New profitable tennis whale
New 13-day wallet with repeat large flagged bets and early profitability bought Berrettini during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 13-day-old wallet has now made 4 flagged large bets totaling $11.3K.
- The wallet is already up $9.8K on one resolved market, showing early signs of edge.
- Market volume is surging 91x above normal before the match, and this bettor is backing Berrettini at 46¢.
$2,832 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 70% record is buying Rinderknech amid a 91x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 423 resolved bets and is up $22.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- The market saw a 91x volume spike before the event, with Rinderknech already moving up 3% on the day.
$1,112 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 70%
Elite sharp-backed cluster
Strong one-sided Rinderknech buying led by an elite profitable sports wallet, with coordinated flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved positions and is up $679K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $32.6K of the same side, led by a $25K entry at 56¢.
- Pre-match volume is 58x above normal, suggesting fresh conviction behind the move.
$32,615 on Arthur Rinderknech
New profitable tennis whale
A 13-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit is building a $6.3k Berrettini position amid a 58x pre-event volume spike.
- This 13-day-old wallet has now triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $11.3k.
- The wallet is already up $9.8k on one resolved position, making its repeat sizing worth following.
- Berrettini was bought around 46¢ as market volume spiked 58x before the match.
$6,270 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 100%
New profitable sports bettor
A 13-day-old repeat wallet with early profit is buying Berrettini at 45¢ in a liquid tennis market, suggesting developing sports-bettor conviction despite limited history.
- This 13-day-old wallet has already been flagged twice, with $6.8K total in notable bets.
- The bettor is up $9.8K so far, though the track record is still very small at 1 resolved win.
- Buying Berrettini at 45¢ implies they see value against a near-even market.
$1,729 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 100%
90% winner backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% record and strong positive P&L is buying Matteo Berrettini at near-even odds.
- This bettor has won 27 of 30 resolved bets and is up $8,921 lifetime.
- They are buying Matteo Berrettini at 47¢, implying they see value in a near-even tennis match.
- Their past wins came around 50¢ average odds, so the record is not just from backing heavy favorites.
$3,932 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 90%
92% sharp sports bettor
Proven sharp sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $127,920 lifetime profit bought Arthur Rinderknech at 53¢.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $127,920 lifetime.
- They are a serial sports trader across 578 events with over $1.1M in total volume.
- Entry at 53¢ suggests they see Rinderknech as meaningfully more likely than the market implies.
$2,150 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 92%
Top Holders
- 0xf883...cd1f — Matteo Berrettini, $249,276 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Arthur Rinderknech, $88,543 (71% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Arthur Rinderknech, $59,532 (75% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Arthur Rinderknech, $44,600 (92% win rate)
- 0xd104...710b — Arthur Rinderknech, $44,510 (100% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Arthur Rinderknech, $33,436 (52% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Arthur Rinderknech, $22,045 (80% win rate)
- 0x6546...b95a — Matteo Berrettini, $21,504 (100% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Matteo Berrettini, $19,508 (74% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Matteo Berrettini, $16,314 (81% win rate)
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