Part of: Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini
This Polymarket market covers the Roland Garros ATP match between Arthur Rinderknech and Matteo Berrettini, scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. It resolves to the player who advances, with final resolution expected by June 3, 2026; PolySpotter is tracking $9,865 in smart money and 3 smart money signals for this market. Check the live market page for current odds as they move before and during the match.
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Matteo Berrettini in the Roland Garros ATP, originally scheduled for May 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Matteo Berrettini. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Berrettini' if Matteo Berrettini advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $221,466.
Categories: Tennis, Sports, Games
Notable Trades
92% win-rate sports sharp
Sharp sports bettor with a 92% resolved win rate and positive lifetime P&L is buying Berrettini at 89¢, supported by a long serial cross-market track record.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $36k lifetime.
- They have traded 45 sports events with the same 92% hit rate, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Buying Berrettini at 89¢ follows a sharp move toward him, with Rinderknech down 40 points over the last day.
$1,110 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 92%
90% winner backing underdog
Sharp sports bettor with a 90% record and strong positive P&L is effectively buying Arthur Rinderknech at 12¢ against the market favorite.
- This bettor wins 90% of resolved trades and is up $8,921 lifetime.
- They are effectively buying Arthur Rinderknech at 12¢, despite the market pricing him near 10%.
- The wallet has beaten average odds by 41 percentage points across 30 resolved positions.
$7,362 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 90%
Profitable sharp buying underdog
A proven profitable sports bettor with a 75% record and +$327k P&L bought the underdog during a major pre-event volume surge.
- This bettor wins 75% of resolved bets and is up $327k lifetime.
- They bought Arthur Rinderknech at 32¢ despite Berrettini being the market favorite.
- Market volume spiked 138x versus normal activity before the match.
$1,393 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 75%
$96k one-sided tennis cluster
A $96k three-wallet cluster is buying Berrettini into a major pre-match volume spike, led by wallets with positive recent records and immediate price movement in their favor.
- Three wallets put $96k on the same side, all buying Berrettini before the match.
- Market volume spiked 138x above normal as Berrettini moved from the high-60¢ range to 72¢.
- One participating wallet is up $58.6k across 51 resolved bets, and the largest buyer is 7-for-7 with $382.6k profit.
$96,253 on Matteo Berrettini
94% sharp buys underdog
Sharp wallet with a 94% win rate and $32.8k profit bought Arthur Rinderknech at 53¢ amid a 90x pre-event volume spike, though the price has since moved against them.
- This bettor wins 94% of resolved trades and is up $32.8k lifetime.
- They bought Arthur Rinderknech at 53¢, implying they saw the underdog as more likely than the market did.
- Volume spiked 90x before the match, but the price has since fallen to 30¢.
$3,176 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 94%
92% winner backing underpriced side
Elite sports bettor with a 92% win rate and $679k lifetime profit placed a $25k buy on Arthur Rinderknech amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 92% of resolved trades and is up $679k lifetime.
- They put $25k on Arthur Rinderknech at 56¢, despite the market now sitting near 54¢.
- This wallet has traded 167 events with the same 92% win rate, and this market saw a 91x volume spike.
$25,000 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 92%
New profitable tennis whale
New 13-day wallet with repeat large flagged bets and early profitability bought Berrettini during a major pre-event volume spike.
- This 13-day-old wallet has now made 4 flagged large bets totaling $11.3K.
- The wallet is already up $9.8K on one resolved market, showing early signs of edge.
- Market volume is surging 91x above normal before the match, and this bettor is backing Berrettini at 46¢.
$2,832 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 100%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Profitable serial cross-market sports bettor with a 70% record is buying Rinderknech amid a 91x pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 70% of 423 resolved bets and is up $22.5K lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 32 events, suggesting a repeatable sports-betting process.
- The market saw a 91x volume spike before the event, with Rinderknech already moving up 3% on the day.
$1,112 on Arthur Rinderknech | Wallet win rate: 70%
Elite sharp-backed cluster
Strong one-sided Rinderknech buying led by an elite profitable sports wallet, with coordinated flow and a major pre-event volume spike.
- The lead bettor wins 92% of resolved positions and is up $679K lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $32.6K of the same side, led by a $25K entry at 56¢.
- Pre-match volume is 58x above normal, suggesting fresh conviction behind the move.
$32,615 on Arthur Rinderknech
New profitable tennis whale
A 13-day-old repeat large bettor with early profit is building a $6.3k Berrettini position amid a 58x pre-event volume spike.
- This 13-day-old wallet has now triggered 4 large-bet alerts totaling $11.3k.
- The wallet is already up $9.8k on one resolved position, making its repeat sizing worth following.
- Berrettini was bought around 46¢ as market volume spiked 58x before the match.
$6,270 on Matteo Berrettini | Wallet win rate: 100%
Top Holders
- 0xf883...cd1f — Matteo Berrettini, $249,276 (100% win rate)
- 0xfe78...0319 — Arthur Rinderknech, $79,729 (71% win rate)
- 0xffe9...a70e — Arthur Rinderknech, $59,532 (75% win rate)
- 0xcd65...ee96 — Arthur Rinderknech, $44,600 (92% win rate)
- 0xd104...710b — Arthur Rinderknech, $44,510 (100% win rate)
- 0x1136...0c2e — Arthur Rinderknech, $33,436 (52% win rate)
- 0xcf6c...7e66 — Arthur Rinderknech, $22,045 (80% win rate)
- 0x6546...b95a — Matteo Berrettini, $21,504 (100% win rate)
- 0x21f3...35e3 — Matteo Berrettini, $19,508 (74% win rate)
- 0xa9c4...7433 — Matteo Berrettini, $16,314 (81% win rate)
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