Part of: Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

8 smart money signals detected, totaling $111,026.

Categories: Premier League, Sports, EPL, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

13-wallet No cluster with sharp bettors

A large one-sided No cluster, sharp historical bettors, and a 30-point Yes price collapse make this a notable directional trade despite some position-management selling.

  • 13 wallets committed $55,692 to No, while Yes fell from roughly 66% to 36%.
  • One participating bettor has won 96% of 342 resolved trades and earned $1.13 million.
  • Several wallets are adding or rotating into No, though some Yes selling appears to be profit-taking or hedging.

$55,692 on No

94% winner scaling into Yes

A highly profitable 94% win-rate trader is adding $8.5K to an existing Manchester City Yes position amid a 108x volume spike.

  • This bettor has won 94% of 31 resolved trades and is up $203,682.
  • They added $8,540 to an existing Yes position at 66¢, showing continued conviction.
  • Market activity is running 108.5 times its historical average, supporting the unusually concentrated move.

$8,540 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 94%

Profitable serial bettor buys Manchester City

A highly experienced serial trader with 6,566 resolved bets, a 73% win rate, and $1.69 million in profit made a fresh $2,123 purchase of Manchester City Yes.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 6,566 resolved bets and is up $1.69 million lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 554 events and is making a fresh $2,123 bet on Yes.
  • The 66¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Manchester City already being a 66% favorite.

$1,122 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable five-wallet City cluster

Five wallets bought $109,185 of Yes amid a 256.9x volume spike, led by a highly profitable bettor adding $99,000 to an existing position.

  • Five wallets concentrated $109,185 on Yes, including a $99,000 purchase at 66¢.
  • The lead bettor wins 85% of 501 resolved trades and is up $6.67 million lifetime.
  • This coordinated buying produced a 256.9x spike versus historical volume, despite Yes already trading near 66%.

$26,565 on Yes

90% winner buys Manchester City Yes

A highly proven bettor with a 90% win rate and $7.95M profit is making a fresh $9,000 purchase of Yes at 66%.

  • This bettor has won 246 of 272 resolved trades and is up nearly $8.0M.
  • The $9,000 purchase is fresh conviction on Yes at 66%, despite the market already having strong liquidity.
  • The wallet has traded across 794 events, providing an unusually large and consistent track record.

$9,000 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 90%

Profitable serial bettor buys Manchester City

A highly experienced serial trader with 6,566 resolved bets, a 73% win rate, and $1.69 million in profit made a fresh $2,123 purchase of Manchester City Yes.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 6,566 resolved bets and is up $1.69 million lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 554 events and is making a fresh $2,123 bet on Yes.
  • The 66¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Manchester City already being a 66% favorite.

$1,370 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Proven bettor adds to Manchester City Yes

A highly experienced bettor with a 73% win rate and substantial lifetime profit is adding $6.6K to an existing Manchester City Yes position, though the trade is less novel because the wallet already holds significant exposure.

  • This bettor wins 73% of 6,566 resolved trades and is up $1.69 million lifetime.
  • They added $6,615 to Yes at 66¢, reinforcing an existing $26,259 position.
  • The wallet has traded across 556 events, providing a substantial record rather than a one-off signal.

$6,615 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Profitable serial bettor buys Manchester City

A highly experienced serial trader with 6,566 resolved bets, a 73% win rate, and $1.69 million in profit made a fresh $2,123 purchase of Manchester City Yes.

  • This bettor has won 73% of 6,566 resolved bets and is up $1.69 million lifetime.
  • The wallet has traded across 554 events and is making a fresh $2,123 bet on Yes.
  • The 66¢ entry implies the bettor sees meaningful value despite Manchester City already being a 66% favorite.

$2,123 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 74%

Top Holders

  1. 0x1c27...b1ba Outcome 11322466, $181,840 (100% win rate)
  2. 0xf031...c80c Outcome 11322466, $157,213 (88% win rate)
  3. 0x1cbf...107a Outcome 11322466, $79,982
  4. 0xc41d...74fd Outcome 11322466, $43,455 (97% win rate)
  5. 0x4408...1b6a Outcome 11322466, $26,867 (52% win rate)
  6. 0x56d8...1cce Outcome 11322466, $25,763 (60% win rate)
  7. 0x9ee0...9c9a Outcome 11322466, $18,495 (45% win rate)
  8. 0x620b...2e9f Outcome 11322466, $17,000
  9. 0x73c5...2f80 Outcome 11322466, $15,715 (57% win rate)
  10. 0x8b32...5950 Outcome 11322466, $14,800 (44% win rate)

Related Theses

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Czechia wins big early

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Canada Qatar first-half shootout

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Germany wins high-scoring rout

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France Northern Ireland goals galore

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Norway advances in goalfest

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USA Australia goalfest starts early

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City-Bournemouth total lands 4–5

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Ann Li beats Alexandrova

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Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

ResolvedManchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth$111,026 tracked8 signalsPremier LeagueSportsEPLSoccerGames

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 23, 2026 If Manchester City FC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Price History — “Yes
97¢
81¢
64¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

11h ago

$55,692 on No at 64¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

13h ago

$8,540 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

15h ago

$1,122 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

11h ago

$26,565 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

15h ago

$9,000 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

16h ago

$1,370 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

16h ago

$6,615 on Yes at 66¢

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23?

16h ago

$2,123 on Yes at 66¢

Related Theses

Iraq Norway goal fest
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U …Iraq vs. Norway: 1st Half O/U …
Belgium dominates Iran early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 0.5Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …Belgium vs. IR Iran: 1st Half …
Czechia wins big early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st …Spread: Czechia (-1.5)Czechia vs. South Africa: 1st …
Canada Qatar first-half shootout
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 5 related markets
Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 5.5Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U…Canada vs. Qatar: Both Teams t…
Germany wins high-scoring rout
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 4 related markets
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to …Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: 1st Half…
France Northern Ireland goals galore
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
France vs. Northern Ireland: O…France vs. Northern Ireland: O…France vs. Northern Ireland: O…
Norway advances in goalfest
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
Norway vs. England: Team to Ad…Norway vs. England: 1st Half O…Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5
USA Australia goalfest starts early
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 3 related markets
United States vs. Australia: O…United States vs. Australia: 1…United States vs. Australia: 1…
City-Bournemouth total lands 4–5
Wallet_0xdc41c trades 3 related markets
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bou…Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bou…Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bou…
Ann Li beats Alexandrova
Wallet_0x5f659 trades 1 related market
Bad Homburg Open: Ann Li vs Ek…