Part of: RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?
11 smart money signals detected, totaling $54,230.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga
Notable Trades
Profitable cross-market bettor
Profitable high-volume wallet is expressing a broader cross-market soccer thesis and buying No after a sharp move, though the single trade size is modest relative to market volume.
- This bettor has a large track record: 37,220 resolved trades and $331,947 in profit.
- They are active across 3 related markets in the same event, with $14,606 positioned overall.
- They bought No at 80¢ after a fast 26-point move, aligning with Villarreal’s odds falling sharply today.
$1,204 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable sports whale re-enters No
Large profitable high-volume sports trader is re-entering Villarreal No amid a sharp move against Yes and cross-market positioning on the same event.
- This bettor is up about $330K lifetime across $87M traded, showing a long track record in high-volume markets.
- They bought nearly $4.9K of No at 79¢ after previously closing a No position, suggesting fresh conviction rather than profit-taking.
- The market moved sharply toward No, with No gaining about 26 percentage points in under 5 minutes.
$4,870 on No | Wallet win rate: 53%
Profitable serial sports trader
Proven high-volume sports trader with a 76% record and $1.1M profit bought Yes despite the market now trading well below their 37¢ entry.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 193 events with $1.27M in tracked event flow.
- Their buy helped drive a fast 26-point move, though the market has since fallen below their 37¢ entry.
$1,365 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 78%
91% winner joins Yes surge
A highly profitable 91% winner is buying into Villarreal Yes alongside one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 27-point upward price move.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $218K lifetime.
- Four wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $16.3K on Yes.
- Market momentum is strong, with 27x normal volume and Yes up 27 percentage points.
$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
11-wallet funded cluster
An 11-wallet linked cluster with prior recurrence is pushing the No side, alongside a sharp rapid price move, though the specific wallet has only a modest standalone record.
- 11 wallets funded by the same source are aligned on this side, with the cluster seen in prior runs.
- The trade effectively backs Villarreal not to win at 72¢ with $3,200 of exposure.
- The market moved sharply in minutes, suggesting this flow helped drive a fast repricing.
$3,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 43%
Profitable serial sports trader
Serial cross-market bettor with strong lifetime profit bought No during a major pre-event volume spike on an active soccer market.
- This bettor has traded 239 markets across 194 events and is up about $412K lifetime.
- They bought nearly $5.9K of No at 64¢ while market volume spiked 44.8x above normal.
- The market has heavy 24h volume and tight spreads, so this looks like deliberate positioning rather than a thin-market move.
$5,875 on No | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable serial sports bettor
Serial cross-market sports trader with a long profitable record is buying No, but the signal is moderate because this is a single modest trade in a highly liquid market.
- This bettor has a massive track record: 12,427 resolved bets, 66% wins, and $2.8M profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 323 events and $1.9M flagged volume.
- Buying No at 67¢ implies they see Villarreal failing to win as underpriced despite an active market.
$2,374 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
Profitable serial soccer trader
Serial cross-market bettor with a huge resolved history and $2.8M profit bought No on Villarreal at 66%, though the signal is only moderate and the market is liquid.
- This bettor has a long track record: 12,427 resolved bets with a 66% win rate and $2.8M profit.
- They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 323 events and nearly $1.9M in flagged event flow.
- Entry at 66¢ on No matches the current market and signals a steady favorite-side position.
$1,226 on No | Wallet win rate: 61%
No reversal cluster
Surfaced because three wallets are positioning on No amid a sharp reversal, with one extremely active profitable trader involved, though two trades appear to be closing prior Yes positions.
- Three wallets put $9.1K toward No as the market swung sharply, including a 26-point No move in under 5 minutes.
- One wallet has made over 37K resolved bets and is up $296K lifetime, adding weight to the No side.
- The broader market is very active with 27x normal volume and over $500K traded in the past day.
$9,116 on No
85% win-rate sports bettor
Proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% historical win rate is buying Villarreal Yes at 35¢, though the signal is modest and market is fairly liquid.
- This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $5.6K lifetime.
- Their past bets beat market odds by about 29 percentage points on average.
- They bought Villarreal at 35¢, implying roughly a 2.9x payout if it wins.
$5,710 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 89%
Top Holders
- 0x9495...9a27 — Outcome 58953547, $43,971 (64% win rate)
- 0xf284...b9f9 — Outcome 58953547, $21,620 (89% win rate)
- 0x4ba4...0a0b — Outcome 58953547, $16,289 (89% win rate)
- 0x353c...01d9 — Outcome 58953547, $5,714 (73% win rate)
- 0x5b63...11a4 — Outcome 58953547, $3,430 (69% win rate)
- 0x90ba...63f3 — Outcome 58953547, $2,150 (80% win rate)
- 0x2d01...27cb — Outcome 58953547, $2,000 (78% win rate)
- 0x08c4...e6a5 — Outcome 58953547, $1,941 (65% win rate)
- 0x033a...586d — Outcome 58953547, $1,471
- 0x5711...fbf5 — Outcome 58953547, $1,429 (72% win rate)
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