Part of: RCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

9 smart money signals detected, totaling $48,157.

Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, La Liga

Notable Trades

Profitable serial sports trader

Proven high-volume sports trader with a 76% record and $1.1M profit bought Yes despite the market now trading well below their 37¢ entry.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.1M lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 193 events with $1.27M in tracked event flow.
  • Their buy helped drive a fast 26-point move, though the market has since fallen below their 37¢ entry.

$1,365 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%

91% winner joins Yes surge

A highly profitable 91% winner is buying into Villarreal Yes alongside one-sided flow, a major volume spike, and a 27-point upward price move.

  • This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $218K lifetime.
  • Four wallets are all buying the same side, totaling $16.3K on Yes.
  • Market momentum is strong, with 27x normal volume and Yes up 27 percentage points.

$1,650 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 91%

11-wallet funded cluster

An 11-wallet linked cluster with prior recurrence is pushing the No side, alongside a sharp rapid price move, though the specific wallet has only a modest standalone record.

  • 11 wallets funded by the same source are aligned on this side, with the cluster seen in prior runs.
  • The trade effectively backs Villarreal not to win at 72¢ with $3,200 of exposure.
  • The market moved sharply in minutes, suggesting this flow helped drive a fast repricing.

$3,200 on No | Wallet win rate: 52%

Profitable serial sports trader

Serial cross-market bettor with strong lifetime profit bought No during a major pre-event volume spike on an active soccer market.

  • This bettor has traded 239 markets across 194 events and is up about $412K lifetime.
  • They bought nearly $5.9K of No at 64¢ while market volume spiked 44.8x above normal.
  • The market has heavy 24h volume and tight spreads, so this looks like deliberate positioning rather than a thin-market move.

$5,875 on No | Wallet win rate: 56%

Profitable serial sports bettor

Serial cross-market sports trader with a long profitable record is buying No, but the signal is moderate because this is a single modest trade in a highly liquid market.

  • This bettor has a massive track record: 12,427 resolved bets, 66% wins, and $2.8M profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader with activity across 323 events and $1.9M flagged volume.
  • Buying No at 67¢ implies they see Villarreal failing to win as underpriced despite an active market.

$2,374 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

Profitable serial soccer trader

Serial cross-market bettor with a huge resolved history and $2.8M profit bought No on Villarreal at 66%, though the signal is only moderate and the market is liquid.

  • This bettor has a long track record: 12,427 resolved bets with a 66% win rate and $2.8M profit.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader, active across 323 events and nearly $1.9M in flagged event flow.
  • Entry at 66¢ on No matches the current market and signals a steady favorite-side position.

$1,226 on No | Wallet win rate: 66%

No reversal cluster

Surfaced because three wallets are positioning on No amid a sharp reversal, with one extremely active profitable trader involved, though two trades appear to be closing prior Yes positions.

  • Three wallets put $9.1K toward No as the market swung sharply, including a 26-point No move in under 5 minutes.
  • One wallet has made over 37K resolved bets and is up $296K lifetime, adding weight to the No side.
  • The broader market is very active with 27x normal volume and over $500K traded in the past day.

$9,116 on No

85% win-rate sports bettor

Proven profitable sports bettor with an 85% historical win rate is buying Villarreal Yes at 35¢, though the signal is modest and market is fairly liquid.

  • This bettor wins 85% of resolved trades and is up $5.6K lifetime.
  • Their past bets beat market odds by about 29 percentage points on average.
  • They bought Villarreal at 35¢, implying roughly a 2.9x payout if it wins.

$5,710 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 85%

Sharp cluster buying Yes

Five wallets, including two strong profitable bettors and a serial cross-market trader, bought $17.6k of Villarreal Yes during a major pre-event volume spike despite the price later falling sharply.

  • Five wallets bought $17.6k of the same outcome, showing coordinated conviction before the match.
  • Two standout bettors are in the cluster: one wins 91% of resolved bets and another is up $1.1M lifetime.
  • A serial cross-market trader with 192 events and a 76% win rate is also on this side.

$17,641 on Yes

Top Holders

  1. 0x5966...f804 No, $100,000 (84% win rate)
  2. 0x9495...9a27 Yes, $43,971 (64% win rate)
  3. 0x86fb...03d4 Yes, $43,523 (60% win rate)
  4. 0x204f...5e14 No, $36,841 (55% win rate)
  5. 0x5d1d...afd2 Yes, $36,522 (55% win rate)
  6. 0x507e...beae No, $36,513 (50% win rate)
  7. 0x84cf...2f63 Yes, $36,255 (52% win rate)
  8. 0x5234...4c4f No, $33,974 (52% win rate)
  9. 0xa2b5...4582 Yes, $29,779 (47% win rate)
  10. 0xf284...b9f9 Yes, $21,620 (91% win rate)

Related Theses

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Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

ResolvedRCD Mallorca vs. Villarreal CF$48,157 tracked9 signalsSportsGamesSoccerLa Liga
Yes
28¢
No
73¢

In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 10, 2026 If Villarreal CF wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Price History — “No
75¢
69¢
63¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

6m ago

$1,365 on Yes at 37¢

37¢28¢9¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

32m ago

$1,650 on Yes at 55¢

55¢28¢27¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

39m ago

$3,200 on No at 72¢

72¢73¢1¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

55m ago

$5,875 on No at 64¢

64¢73¢9¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$2,374 on No at 67¢

67¢73¢6¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$1,226 on No at 66¢

66¢73¢7¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

32m ago

$9,116 on No at 45¢

45¢73¢28¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

2h ago

$5,710 on Yes at 35¢

35¢28¢7¢

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?

24m ago

$17,641 on Yes at 55¢

55¢28¢27¢

Related Theses