Part of: Argentina vs. Austria
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $453,888.
Categories: Sports, Games, Soccer, FIFA World Cup
Notable Trades
Serial sports closer
Serial cross-market bettor with a large profitable live-positioning buy on No, supported by a major volume spike and immediate move to 100%.
- This bettor has 844 resolved trades, wins 64%, and is up $14k lifetime.
- They bought $9.8k of No at 89¢, and the market has already moved to 100¢.
- Volume spiked 79x above normal, suggesting a broader rush into the same event.
$9,790 on No | Wallet win rate: 65%
Cross-market soccer sharp
Surfaced because a historically profitable 76% win-rate wallet is re-entering No while also positioning across three markets in the same match amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor has won 76% of 235 resolved trades and is slightly profitable across $2.1M invested.
- They are betting across 3 markets in the same Argentina vs. Austria event, suggesting a broader match thesis.
- Entry at 85¢ on No is in line with the market’s current 86% odds, so this is more of a sharp-follow than a mispricing bet.
$3,500 on No | Wallet win rate: 76%
Serial bettors buying draw
Three wallets are aligned on the draw, including a serial cross-market bettor with a 76% win record, though the total size is modest versus this very liquid match market.
- One bettor in this cluster wins 76% of resolved bets across 235 markets.
- Three wallets put $7.4k on the draw at about 15–16¢.
- This is part of broader cross-market positioning across the same event, not just a one-off bet.
$7,398 on Yes
New whale backing draw
A repeat new-wallet whale bought $260k of Yes at 22¢ during a massive pre-event volume spike, suggesting strong conviction despite limited resolved history.
- A 14-day-old wallet put $260k on Yes at 22¢ in two back-to-back buys.
- This wallet has now been flagged 58 times with $4.8M in notable bets, suggesting a repeat high-conviction operator.
- Market volume is spiking 652x above its historical average ahead of the match.
$259,979 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 100%
Proven winner buying draw
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.84M lifetime profit bought the draw amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 192 events, with $877K in tracked event-level bets.
- Market activity spiked about 470x above normal before the match, and they entered Yes at 21¢.
$3,500 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable high-volume cross-market trader bought the draw at 21¢, with a strong lifetime P&L and pre-event volume spike supporting the move.
- This bettor is up $1.6M lifetime across 515 resolved markets.
- They have traded 287 events and won 63% of resolved bets, suggesting repeat sports-market edge.
- Entry at 21¢ implies a roughly 4.8x payout if Argentina vs. Austria ends level.
$3,150 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 63%
Sharp cluster buying draw
High-scoring one-sided draw bet led by multiple profitable sharp wallets, including 26/26 and 30/31 recent track records, despite the market moving against their entries so far.
- Nine wallets put $24.8k on the draw, all in the same direction.
- Two standout bettors are 26/26 and 30/31 on resolved positions, with about $115k combined profit.
- Several entries were at 22–30¢, while the current price is 16¢, meaning the same thesis is cheaper now.
$24,782 on Yes
Proven winner buying draw
Proven profitable sports bettor with a 76% win rate and $1.84M lifetime profit bought the draw amid a major pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.84M lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 192 events, with $877K in tracked event-level bets.
- Market activity spiked about 470x above normal before the match, and they entered Yes at 21¢.
$2,625 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 76%
96% winner buying draw
Surface: a highly profitable 96% winner with extensive cross-market history is buying the draw at 22¢ despite the market being liquid.
- This bettor wins 96% of resolved trades and is up $321k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 76 events with $1.46M deployed.
- Entry at 22¢ implies they see the draw as a strong mispriced opportunity.
$4,400 on Yes | Wallet win rate: 97%
91% win-rate sports bettor
Sharp sports bettor with a 91% win rate and strong cross-market history bought No on the draw market at 79¢ amid a modest pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 91% of resolved trades and is up $91.8K lifetime.
- They are a proven cross-market sports trader, active across 46 events with the same 91% hit rate.
- Entry at 79¢ suggests they see Austria vs. Argentina avoiding a draw as underpriced.
$1,045 on No | Wallet win rate: 91%
Top Holders
- 0x9d36...0e68 — Outcome 42455935, $1,996,933 (100% win rate)
- 0xa5ef...2966 — Outcome 47389312, $554,232
- 0xa87d...e4bf — Outcome 42455935, $39,981 (59% win rate)
- 0x160b...4296 — Outcome 42455935, $33,517 (76% win rate)
- 0x6880...cf03 — Outcome 42455935, $31,457 (87% win rate)
- 0x8bfe...2d74 — Outcome 42455935, $20,000 (97% win rate)
- 0xcb75...33f6 — Outcome 42455935, $20,000
- 0xa4fd...748b — Outcome 42455935, $18,750 (88% win rate)
- 0x119b...ac3e — Outcome 42455935, $13,043 (90% win rate)
- 0xf381...40c2 — Outcome 42455935, $13,000 (86% win rate)
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