Part of: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

This Polymarket market covers the League of Legends MSI Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal BO5 between Bilibili Gaming and T1, scheduled for July 4, 2026. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $1,000 in smart money across 1 signal so far.

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,616.

Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports

Notable Trades

Profitable esports sharp

Surface: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% record and $335k lifetime profit is buying Bilibili Gaming at 48¢.

  • This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $335k lifetime.
  • They have traded across 62 events with $1.6M in volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
  • Entry at 48¢ implies they see Bilibili Gaming as underpriced in a fairly liquid market.

$1,000 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%

Profitable serial bettor

A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate and $936k lifetime profit bought T1 despite this being a liquid market with only moderate trade size.

  • This bettor has won 70% of 1,400 resolved trades and is up $936k lifetime.
  • They are a very active cross-market trader, with $5.3M wagered across 700 markets.
  • Buying T1 at 53¢ suggests they see value slightly above the current near-even market price.

$3,710 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 70%

Perfect-record esports bettor

Surface: a highly profitable esports bettor with a perfect 32/32 resolved record is effectively buying Bilibili Gaming at 47¢ against T1.

  • This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved positions and is up $182k lifetime.
  • They are a serial cross-market trader across 41 events with a perfect resolved record.
  • Selling T1 at 53¢ is the same as buying Bilibili Gaming at 47¢, slightly below the current 48¢ market price.

$3,416 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%

95% win-rate esports bettor

Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought T1 at roughly even odds.

  • This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $26.3K lifetime.
  • They bought T1 at 51¢ in a still-small market with only $6.8K traded today.
  • Entry near even odds implies they see T1 as meaningfully mispriced.

$1,490 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 95%

Top Holders

  1. 0xd967...1409 Bilibili Gaming, $62,770 (100% win rate)
  2. 0x7e5e...7315 T1, $35,000 (54% win rate)
  3. 0x515e...8309 T1, $9,580 (94% win rate)
  4. 0x67b6...00bc T1, $8,000 (45% win rate)
  5. 0xdd88...dadb T1, $7,000 (70% win rate)
  6. 0x84cf...2f63 T1, $6,678 (46% win rate)
  7. 0xf184...c2d7 Bilibili Gaming, $5,000 (100% win rate)
  8. 0x6768...4ef1 Bilibili Gaming, $5,000 (53% win rate)
  9. 0x6b97...8d30 Bilibili Gaming, $4,500 (81% win rate)
  10. 0x183f...85e3 Bilibili Gaming, $4,000 (58% win rate)

Related Theses

Karmine wins, games split early

Covers 3 related markets

Germany scores three and routs Paraguay

Covers 5 related markets

Brazil routs Scotland in shootout

Covers 5 related markets

France routs Norway with goals

Covers 4 related markets

Vitality sweeps MOUZ

Covers 3 related markets

LYON beats Team Liquid

Covers 3 related markets

T1 sweeps Karmine Corp

Covers 4 related markets

Colombia wins big, Congo scores

Covers 3 related markets

Team Liquid sweeps series

Covers 5 related markets

Portugal wins high-scoring rout

Covers 3 related markets

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

1dLoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$9,616 tracked4 signalsEsportsleague of legendsGamesSports
Bilibili Gaming
47¢
T1
54¢

This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Price History — “T1
55¢
52¢
49¢
Alert entriesHigh-conviction

Notable Trades

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

10h ago

$1,000 on Bilibili Gaming at 48¢

48¢47¢1¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

13h ago

$3,710 on T1 at 53¢

53¢54¢1¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

14h ago

$3,416 on Bilibili Gaming at 47¢

47¢47¢

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs

1d ago

$1,490 on T1 at 51¢

51¢54¢3¢

Related Theses

Karmine wins, games split early
Wallet_0xcd30f trades 3 related markets
LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Germany scores three and routs Paraguay
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Germany (-2.5)Spread: Germany (-1.5)Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5
Brazil routs Scotland in shootout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)Scotland vs. Brazil: Brazil O/…Spread: Brazil (-1.5)
France routs Norway with goals
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Norway vs. France: France O/U …Spread: France (-1.5)Norway vs. France: France O/U …
Vitality sweeps MOUZ
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MO…
LYON beats Team Liquid
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5)…LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Gam…
T1 sweeps Karmine Corp
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 4 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO5) …LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game…
Colombia wins big, Congo scores
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Colombia vs. DR Congo: Colombi…Spread: Colombia (-1.5)Colombia vs. DR Congo: DR Cong…
Team Liquid sweeps series
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 5 related markets
Games Total: O/U 3.5LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team…LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team…
Portugal wins high-scoring rout
Wallet_0xdd882 trades 3 related markets
Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: Portu…Spread: Portugal (-1.5)Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3…