Part of: LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs
This Polymarket market covers the League of Legends MSI Playoffs upper bracket quarterfinal BO5 between Bilibili Gaming and T1, scheduled for July 4, 2026. It resolves to the team that wins the match, with PolySpotter tracking $1,000 in smart money across 1 signal so far.
This market refers to the LoL Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Bilibili Gaming and T1 in the Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs, initially scheduled for July 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bilibili Gaming" if Bilibili Gaming win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Bilibili Gaming. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
4 smart money signals detected, totaling $9,616.
Categories: Esports, league of legends, Games, Sports
Notable Trades
Profitable esports sharp
Surface: a highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 79% record and $335k lifetime profit is buying Bilibili Gaming at 48¢.
- This bettor wins 79% of resolved trades and is up $335k lifetime.
- They have traded across 62 events with $1.6M in volume, suggesting a repeatable edge.
- Entry at 48¢ implies they see Bilibili Gaming as underpriced in a fairly liquid market.
$1,000 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 79%
Profitable serial bettor
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with a 70% win rate and $936k lifetime profit bought T1 despite this being a liquid market with only moderate trade size.
- This bettor has won 70% of 1,400 resolved trades and is up $936k lifetime.
- They are a very active cross-market trader, with $5.3M wagered across 700 markets.
- Buying T1 at 53¢ suggests they see value slightly above the current near-even market price.
$3,710 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 70%
Perfect-record esports bettor
Surface: a highly profitable esports bettor with a perfect 32/32 resolved record is effectively buying Bilibili Gaming at 47¢ against T1.
- This bettor has won 32 of 32 resolved positions and is up $182k lifetime.
- They are a serial cross-market trader across 41 events with a perfect resolved record.
- Selling T1 at 53¢ is the same as buying Bilibili Gaming at 47¢, slightly below the current 48¢ market price.
$3,416 on Bilibili Gaming | Wallet win rate: 100%
95% win-rate esports bettor
Sharp esports bettor with a 95% resolved win rate and strong lifetime profit bought T1 at roughly even odds.
- This bettor wins 95% of resolved trades and is up $26.3K lifetime.
- They bought T1 at 51¢ in a still-small market with only $6.8K traded today.
- Entry near even odds implies they see T1 as meaningfully mispriced.
$1,490 on T1 | Wallet win rate: 95%
Top Holders
- 0xd967...1409 — Bilibili Gaming, $62,770 (100% win rate)
- 0x7e5e...7315 — T1, $21,526 (54% win rate)
- 0x515e...8309 — T1, $20,000 (94% win rate)
- 0x67b6...00bc — T1, $8,000 (45% win rate)
- 0xdd88...dadb — T1, $7,000 (70% win rate)
- 0x84cf...2f63 — T1, $6,686 (46% win rate)
- 0xf184...c2d7 — Bilibili Gaming, $5,000 (100% win rate)
- 0x6768...4ef1 — Bilibili Gaming, $5,000 (53% win rate)
- 0x6b97...8d30 — Bilibili Gaming, $4,500 (82% win rate)
- 0x183f...85e3 — Bilibili Gaming, $4,000 (58% win rate)
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