Part of: England vs. Croatia - More Markets

Spread: England (-1.5)

16 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,129.

Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer, Games

Notable Trades

One-sided England cluster

Moderately interesting due to one-sided cluster flow and a very active cross-market bettor, though the wallet's edge is modest and the market has moved against the entry.

  • Three wallets bought England on the spread in the same window, totaling $11.1K.
  • This bettor is a high-volume sports trader with 1,037 resolved bets and positive lifetime profit.
  • Entry at 31¢ implies a high-upside view, though the market has since slipped to 24¢.

$1,550 on England | Wallet win rate: 57%

Profitable whale plus linked cluster

High-scoring alert with a profitable high-volume trader joining a linked 6-wallet England cluster amid a major volume spike and price move.

  • This bettor is up about $4.0M lifetime across massive volume and is backing England to cover.
  • Six wallets are all buying the same England side, with two linked by a shared funder.
  • The market saw a 15x volume spike and a 26-point move, suggesting strong one-sided momentum.

$5,433 on England | Wallet win rate: 55%

Coordinated Croatia flow

High composite from coordinated Croatia buying, a 28.6x volume spike, and major price movement, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term record.

  • Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $19.5k on Croatia.
  • Market activity spiked 28.6x above normal with a large 25-point price move.
  • This specific wallet is not proven sharp, but the broader one-sided flow is notable.

$1,067 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 53%

Six-wallet spread steam

Six wallets pushed the Croatia spread side in the same window, with meaningful price impact and support from profitable or experienced cross-market sports traders.

  • Six wallets bought the same side for $15.2k, with most entries around 53–56¢ before it jumped to 80¢.
  • One bettor in the flow is up $632k lifetime across 938 resolved bets.
  • This matches broader event positioning from a serial cross-market trader with a 63% win rate across 166 events.

$39,332 on Croatia

Profitable serial sports trader

Profitable serial cross-market sports trader is effectively buying England -1.5 into a major pre-game volume spike and 16-point price move.

  • This bettor is up $115k across 104 resolved markets, despite a modest 56% hit rate.
  • They have traded 64 markets across 27 events and are now positioned across 4 markets in this game.
  • England -1.5 has already moved 16 points today, alongside an 88x pre-event volume spike.

$2,572 on England | Wallet win rate: 59%

New profitable wallet, clustered flow

Very new profitable wallet is buying Croatia +1.5 alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a 28x pre-event volume spike.

  • This 3-hour-old wallet is already up $16.5K and has gone 4-for-4 on resolved bets.
  • Five wallets bought the same Croatia side for $14.6K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
  • Market volume spiked 28x before kickoff, and this bettor entered at 68¢.

$1,200 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 89%

New profitable wallet, clustered flow

Very new profitable wallet is buying Croatia +1.5 alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a 28x pre-event volume spike.

  • This 3-hour-old wallet is already up $16.5K and has gone 4-for-4 on resolved bets.
  • Five wallets bought the same Croatia side for $14.6K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
  • Market volume spiked 28x before kickoff, and this bettor entered at 68¢.

$3,000 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 89%

5-wallet linked sports cluster

A 5-wallet cluster, including 2 linked wallets and several profitable high-volume bettors, is buying the same England spread side during a major volume spike and sharp price move.

  • Five wallets put $13.6k on the same side, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
  • The market saw a 28.6x volume spike and England moved up 27 points during the flow.
  • Several wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up about $4.0M and another up $629k.

$13,619 on England

75% winner joins Croatia flow

Surface because one wallet in the Croatia cluster has a strong 75% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L, despite the overall market being liquid and other wallets less proven.

  • The strongest wallet in this cluster wins about 75% of resolved bets and is up $151k lifetime.
  • Three wallets bought $5.7k of Croatia at 63–73¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
  • This is a sports spread market with heavy volume, so the edge is the proven bettor’s track record rather than bet size alone.

$5,702 on Croatia

Profitable serial sports sharp

Surfaced because a highly profitable serial sports trader with a 76% win rate and $1.85M lifetime profit bought England -1.5 amid a pre-event volume spike.

  • This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.85M lifetime.
  • They have traded 202 markets across 160 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
  • Entry at 31¢ implies they see England covering -1.5 as a strong payout opportunity.

$1,750 on England | Wallet win rate: 76%

Top Holders

  1. 0x9243...658e Outcome 82586570, $226,525 (93% win rate)
  2. 0x3dfb...abaf Outcome 82586570, $178,202 (52% win rate)
  3. 0xa8e0...ad50 Outcome 82586570, $33,000 (58% win rate)
  4. 0xfd0e...9884 Outcome 82586570, $19,785 (81% win rate)
  5. 0x1569...bf0c Outcome 82586570, $18,050 (62% win rate)
  6. 0xec8d...dd71 Outcome 82586570, $14,499 (72% win rate)
  7. 0x7a23...4454 Outcome 82586570, $11,520 (89% win rate)
  8. 0x37d3...709a Outcome 82586570, $10,591 (56% win rate)
  9. 0x1eaf...9bf0 Outcome 82586570, $10,000 (62% win rate)
  10. 0x27f7...44b0 Outcome 82586570, $7,198 (88% win rate)

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Spread: England (-1.5)

ResolvedEngland vs. Croatia - More Markets$95,129 tracked16 signalsFIFA World CupSportsSoccerGames

In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 17 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "England" if England win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Croatia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on fifa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.

Notable Trades

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,550 on England at 31¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$5,433 on England at 47¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,067 on Croatia at 57¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$39,332 on Croatia at 59¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$2,572 on England at 46¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,200 on Croatia at 68¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$3,000 on Croatia at 68¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$13,619 on England at 47¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$5,702 on Croatia at 69¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,750 on England at 31¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$7,000 on England at 32¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,963 on Croatia at 69¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$4,967 on Croatia at 69¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,000 on England at 32¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$1,024 on England at 32¢

Spread: England (-1.5)

3d ago

$3,950 on England at 31¢

Related Theses