Part of: England vs. Croatia - More Markets
Spread: England (-1.5)
16 smart money signals detected, totaling $95,129.
Categories: FIFA World Cup, Sports, Soccer, Games
Notable Trades
One-sided England cluster
Moderately interesting due to one-sided cluster flow and a very active cross-market bettor, though the wallet's edge is modest and the market has moved against the entry.
- Three wallets bought England on the spread in the same window, totaling $11.1K.
- This bettor is a high-volume sports trader with 1,037 resolved bets and positive lifetime profit.
- Entry at 31¢ implies a high-upside view, though the market has since slipped to 24¢.
$1,550 on England | Wallet win rate: 57%
Profitable whale plus linked cluster
High-scoring alert with a profitable high-volume trader joining a linked 6-wallet England cluster amid a major volume spike and price move.
- This bettor is up about $4.0M lifetime across massive volume and is backing England to cover.
- Six wallets are all buying the same England side, with two linked by a shared funder.
- The market saw a 15x volume spike and a 26-point move, suggesting strong one-sided momentum.
$5,433 on England | Wallet win rate: 55%
Coordinated Croatia flow
High composite from coordinated Croatia buying, a 28.6x volume spike, and major price movement, though the individual wallet has a weak long-term record.
- Four wallets bought the same side, totaling $19.5k on Croatia.
- Market activity spiked 28.6x above normal with a large 25-point price move.
- This specific wallet is not proven sharp, but the broader one-sided flow is notable.
$1,067 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 53%
Six-wallet spread steam
Six wallets pushed the Croatia spread side in the same window, with meaningful price impact and support from profitable or experienced cross-market sports traders.
- Six wallets bought the same side for $15.2k, with most entries around 53–56¢ before it jumped to 80¢.
- One bettor in the flow is up $632k lifetime across 938 resolved bets.
- This matches broader event positioning from a serial cross-market trader with a 63% win rate across 166 events.
$39,332 on Croatia
Profitable serial sports trader
Profitable serial cross-market sports trader is effectively buying England -1.5 into a major pre-game volume spike and 16-point price move.
- This bettor is up $115k across 104 resolved markets, despite a modest 56% hit rate.
- They have traded 64 markets across 27 events and are now positioned across 4 markets in this game.
- England -1.5 has already moved 16 points today, alongside an 88x pre-event volume spike.
$2,572 on England | Wallet win rate: 59%
New profitable wallet, clustered flow
Very new profitable wallet is buying Croatia +1.5 alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a 28x pre-event volume spike.
- This 3-hour-old wallet is already up $16.5K and has gone 4-for-4 on resolved bets.
- Five wallets bought the same Croatia side for $14.6K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 28x before kickoff, and this bettor entered at 68¢.
$1,200 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 89%
New profitable wallet, clustered flow
Very new profitable wallet is buying Croatia +1.5 alongside one-sided flow from 5 wallets and a 28x pre-event volume spike.
- This 3-hour-old wallet is already up $16.5K and has gone 4-for-4 on resolved bets.
- Five wallets bought the same Croatia side for $14.6K total, suggesting coordinated conviction.
- Market volume spiked 28x before kickoff, and this bettor entered at 68¢.
$3,000 on Croatia | Wallet win rate: 89%
5-wallet linked sports cluster
A 5-wallet cluster, including 2 linked wallets and several profitable high-volume bettors, is buying the same England spread side during a major volume spike and sharp price move.
- Five wallets put $13.6k on the same side, with 2 wallets sharing a funder.
- The market saw a 28.6x volume spike and England moved up 27 points during the flow.
- Several wallets are lifetime profitable, including one up about $4.0M and another up $629k.
$13,619 on England
75% winner joins Croatia flow
Surface because one wallet in the Croatia cluster has a strong 75% resolved-bet record and positive lifetime P&L, despite the overall market being liquid and other wallets less proven.
- The strongest wallet in this cluster wins about 75% of resolved bets and is up $151k lifetime.
- Three wallets bought $5.7k of Croatia at 63–73¢, and the market has already moved to 76¢.
- This is a sports spread market with heavy volume, so the edge is the proven bettor’s track record rather than bet size alone.
$5,702 on Croatia
Profitable serial sports sharp
Surfaced because a highly profitable serial sports trader with a 76% win rate and $1.85M lifetime profit bought England -1.5 amid a pre-event volume spike.
- This bettor wins 76% of resolved trades and is up $1.85M lifetime.
- They have traded 202 markets across 160 events, showing a long track record rather than a one-off bet.
- Entry at 31¢ implies they see England covering -1.5 as a strong payout opportunity.
$1,750 on England | Wallet win rate: 76%
Top Holders
- 0x9243...658e — Outcome 82586570, $226,525 (93% win rate)
- 0x3dfb...abaf — Outcome 82586570, $178,202 (52% win rate)
- 0xa8e0...ad50 — Outcome 82586570, $33,000 (58% win rate)
- 0xfd0e...9884 — Outcome 82586570, $19,785 (81% win rate)
- 0x1569...bf0c — Outcome 82586570, $18,050 (62% win rate)
- 0xec8d...dd71 — Outcome 82586570, $14,499 (72% win rate)
- 0x7a23...4454 — Outcome 82586570, $11,520 (89% win rate)
- 0x37d3...709a — Outcome 82586570, $10,591 (56% win rate)
- 0x1eaf...9bf0 — Outcome 82586570, $10,000 (62% win rate)
- 0x27f7...44b0 — Outcome 82586570, $7,198 (88% win rate)
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